How Foreign Investment
Affects Host Countries
1745
Foreign direct investment may promote economic development by helping to improve productivity
Magnus Blomström
Ari Kokko
growth and exports in the multinationals’ host countries. But the exact nature of the relationship between foreign multinational corporations and their host economies seems to vary between industries and countries.
The World Bank
International Economics Department
International Trade Division
March 1997
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER 1745
Summary findings
Foreign direct investment may promote economic development by helping to improve productivity growth and exports in the multinationals’ host countries, conclude Blomstrom and Kokko, after reviewing the empirical evidence. But the exact relationship between foreign multinational corporations and their host economies seems to vary between industries and countries. Multinational corporations mainly enter industries where barriers to entry and concentration are relatively high, and at first they increase the number of firms in the host country market. In the long run, they may contribute to a more concentrated market, although
efficiency may improve, especially if protection does not guarantee an easy life for the multinational affiliate.
However, most available evidence has to do with multinationals’ entry into host countries’ industries rather than with their presence — the dynamic aspects of multinationals’ relationship to their competition in host country markets.
Most evidence on multinationals’ effects has to do with effects in industrial countries, and it is impossible to disregard the risk that the multinationals’ entry into developing countries may replace local production and force local firms out of business, rather than force them to become more efficient.
This paper— a product of the International Trade Division, International Economics Department — is part of a larger effort
by
References: Aitken, B., G.D. Hanson and A. Harrison (1994), “Spillover, Foreign Investment, and Export Behavior“, NBER Working Paper No Aitken, B. and A. Harrison (1991), ”Are There Spillovers From Foreign Direct Investment? Evidence from Panel Data for Venezuela”, mimeo, MIT and the World Bank, November. Balasubramanyam, U.N. (1973), International Transfer of Technology to India, New York; Praeger. Behrman, J. and H. Wallender (1976), Transfer of Manufacturing Technology within Multinational Enterprises, Cambridge, Mass.; Ballinger. Bergsman, J. (1974), ”Commercial Policy, Allocative Efficiency and 'X-efficiency '”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol Bernstein, J.I. (1988), ”Cost of Production, Intra- and Interindustry R&D Spillovers: Canadian Evidence”, Canadian Journal of Economics, Vol Bernstein, J.I. (1989), ”The Structure of Canadian Interindustry R&D Spillovers, and the Rates of Return to R&D”, Journal of Industrial Economics, Vol Bhagwati, J. (1988), Protectionism, Cambridge; MIT Press. Blomström, M. (1986a), ”Foreign Investment and Productive Efficiency: The Case of Mexico”, Journal of Industrial Economics, Vol Blomström, M. (1986b), ”Multinationals and Market Structure in Mexico”, World Development, Vol Blomström, M. (1989), Foreign Investment and Spillovers: A Study of Technology Transfer to Mexico, London; Routledge Blomström, M. (1990), Transnational Corporations and Manufacturing Exports from Developing Countries, New York; United Nations. Blomström, M. (1991a), ”Host Country Benefits of Foreign Investment”, in D.G. McFetridge, ed., Foreign Investment, Technology and Economic Growth, Toronto and London; Toronto Blomström, M. (1991b), ”Technology Transfer through Various Forms of International Investment: Some Evidence from Swedish MNCs”, in H.W Blomström, M., A. Kokko and M. Zejan (1994), “Host Country Competition and Technology Transfer by Multinationals“, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Band 130, 521-533. Blomström, M. and R.E. Lipsey (1993), ”Foreign Firms and Structural Adjustment in Latin America: Lessons from the Debt Crisis”, in G Blomström, M. and H. Persson (1983), ”Foreign Investment and Spillover Efficiency in an Underdeveloped Economy: Evidence from the Mexican Manufacturing Industry”, World Blomström, M. and E. Wolff (1994), ”Multinational Corporations and Productivity Convergence in Mexico”, in W Brash, D.T. (1966), American Investment in Australian Industry, Cambridge, Mass.; Harvard University Press. Buckley, P.J. and M. Casson (1976), The Future of the Multinational Enterprise, London; Macmillan. Cantwell, J. (1989), Technological Innovation and Multinational Corporations, Oxford; Basil Blackwell. Cantwell, J. (1995), “The Globalization of Technology: What Remains of the Product Cycle Model?“, Cambridge Journal of Economics, Vol Caves, R.E. (1971), ”International Corporations: The Industrial Economics of Foreign Investment”, Economica, Vol Caves, R.E. (1974), ”Multinational Firms, Competition and Productivity in Host-Country Markets”, Economica, Vol Caves, R.E. (1996), Multinational Enterprise and Economic Analysis, Second Edition. Chen, E.K.Y. (1983), Multinational Corporations, Technology and Employment, London; Macmillan. Contractor, F. (1984), ”Choosing Between Direct Investment and Licensing: Theoretical Considerations and Empirical Tests”, Journal of International Business Studies, Vol Corden, W.M. (1967), ”Protection and Foreign Investment”, Economic Record, Vol. 43, 209232. Das, S. (1987), ”Externalities, and Technology Transfers through Multinational Corporations: A Theoretical Analysis”, Journal of International Economics, Vol Davidson, W.H. (1980), Experience Effects in International Investment and Technology Transfer, Ann Arbor; U.M.I Davidson, W.H. (1983), ”Structure and Performance in International Technology Transfer”, Journal of Management Studies, Vol Davidson, W.H. and D.G. McFetridge (1985), ”Key Characteristics in the Choice of International Technology Transfer”, Journal of International Business Studies, Vol Deane, R.S. (1970), Foreign Investment in New Zealand Manufacturing, Wellington; Sweet and Maxwell. Dunning, J. (1958), American Investment in British Manufacturing, London; George Allen & Unwin. Dunning, J. (1973), ”The Determinants of International Production”, Oxford Economic Papers, Vol Dunning, J. (1993), Multinational Enterprises and the Global Economy, Reading; AddisonWesley Publ. Co. Enos, J.L (1989), ”Transfer of Technology”, Asia-Pacific Economic Literature, Vol. 3, 3-37. Evans, P.B. (1977), ”Direct Investment and Industrial Concentration”, Journal of Development Studies, Vol Evans, P. (1979), Dependent Development: The Alliance of Multinational, State and Local Capital in Brazil, Princeton; Princeton University Press. Findlay, R. (1978), ”Relative Backwardness, Direct Foreign Investment, and the Transfer of Technology: A Simple Dynamic Model”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol Fishwick, F. (1981), ”Multinational Companies and Economic Concentration in Europe”, mimeo, Paris; Institute for Research and Information on Multinationals. Flamm, K. (1984), ”The Volatility of Offshore Investment”, Journal of Development Economics, Vol Forsyth, D. (1972), U.S. Investment in Scotland, New York; Praeger. Fransman, M. (1985), ”Conceptualising Technical Change in the Third World in the 1980s: An Interpretive Survey”, Journal of Development Studies, Vol Gabriel, P.P. (1967), The International Transfer of Corporate Skills: Manager Contracts in Less Developed Countries, Cambridge, Mass.; Harvard University Press.