Steve Phelps
MGT/521
April 23, 2012
3M Business Analysis III
To answer the question of how current economic trends are affecting 3M and what
strategies 3M is using to adapt to the those economic trends, it is necessary to understand what
the current state of the United States economy is, then define what economic trends exist.
The Economy
The best ways to understand what encompasses the economy in the United States is to
first look the Gross Domestic Product. This statistic measures the country’s total output.
According to the Gross Domestic Product, the United States economy is everything produced by
every company and person in the United States. This year the Gross Domestic Product was
totaled just over $15 trillion, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
The Gross Domestic Product is made of four primary components: Personal
Consumption Expenditures, which measures consumer spending; Business Investments, which is
basically purchases that companies make to produce consumer goods; Government Spending;
and Net Exports of Goods and Services, which measures what is added and subtracted to the
Gross Domestic Product with exports and imports, respectively. Of these four components,
it is the Personal Consumption Expenditures that is probably the most important of the Gross
Domestic Product, as it accounts for a large part of the United States economy. Over 60% of
what the United States produces is for personal consumption according to the Bureau of Labor
and Statistics.
The Current State of the Economy
While the United States has experienced some economic highs and lows, overall the
United States economy was the model of a healthy robust economy. However, for close to ten
years the United States economy has experienced a gradual downturn. This downtown has
cumulated into what many believe is a recession for the United States economy. What that
means in terms of the Gross Domestic Product is that it has been decreasing and not growing for
a consistent period of time.
The beginning of this downturn can be traced to the early 2000’s with the “housing
bubble”. This was a period where many people agreed to house mortgages that they proved
unable to afford. There was high speculation in the housing market where many believed
housing prices would continue to increase. In 2006 housing prices begin to decrease, and many
homeowners was faced with the prospect of losing money by selling their homes for far less
than their mortgage. As a result they foreclosed. This trend of mortgage foreclosure spread
nationwide. Many banks and fund managers that had large investments in mortgage-backed
securities also faced the prospect of large losses.
After 2006, banks didn’t want those foreclosed loans as collateral and causes banks to not
want to lend to each other. This, in turn, led to the government backed bailout of institutions
like AIG, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. By 2008, employment had declined faster than in the
2001 recession.
In 2009, a government backed stimulus plan was enacted, essentially curbing the four
quarter decline in the Gross Domestic Product, effectively ending the recession. Unemployment
continued to rise and many business leaders expected to feel the effects of the recession through
the end of 2010.
Current Economic Trends
Some resulting economic trends that the United States economy is experiencing are the
non-growth in the Gross Domestic Product, which means job creation will not be stimulated; the
value of the dollar is declining, which means the dollar can buy fewer foreign goods thus
increasing the price for imports and causing inflation; home prices are lowering; employment is
low and unemployment is high, which mean less consumer spending; and the trade deficit is
high, which means our nation’s economy is financed with a large amount of foreign debt, which
means that if one of this country’s lenders decided they wanted repayment, the United States
faces the prospect of defaulting on a loan and all the consequences of that. These trends are all
connected and affect each other, but the decline of the dollar and high trade deficit are especially
connected in that since the dollar value is lowered, export prices to other countries are cheaper.
However, because the dollar value is lowered and fewer imports are bought from other countries
as well.
Strategy for Current Economic Trends
Clearly there are economic challenges for any business today. 3M’s business strategy is
to embrace those challenges. Their mission statement is “It’s Never a Steady-State World.” 3M
has determined that sales will always be driven or affected by factors including natural market
growth; natural attrition and cannibalization; above market organic growth and resultant
share growth, which is driven by new-to-the-world products; acquisitions; net prices, some
markets will be down/some markets will be up; supply chain transients, which are driven by
changes in end-market demand then amplified in the supply chain; and “Black Swans” or rare,
high impact events that is difficult to forecast. (Buckley, George, 3M Outlook Meeting, 2012)
3M is approaching their situation with the current economy as an issue of supply chain
transientness. Their belief is that a “company whose sale model includes distribution always sees
temporary amplification of increases or declines in sales when the end-market changes
rapidly” (Buckley, George, 2012). Their metrics have suggested to them that their revenue is
simply a reflectiom of the negative transientness that they are experiencing. And if their
calculations are correct, when the transient dies down, the end market will rebound but the
demand will also be lower as well.
They also accept that their calculations are not necessarily accurate, only the best they
can produce based on the information they have. However, they have determined that those
winners in business, especially given this climate, will be those “that are highly cash generative;
have the ability to re-invent and differentiate themselves constantly; are willing to adapt to a
new, more global competitive mode; have powerful and trusted brands; maintain a strong
presence in more rapidly growing emerging markets; ability to compete with/beat tough Asian
competition; and deliver steady dividends through a thoughtful capital allocation mode”
(Buckley, George, 2012).
3M’s plan to be one of those business winners with a four-pronged strategy with each
“prong” as important as the other (Buckley, George, 2012). That includes growing their core
businesses, acquisitions of companies that compliment the core business, building new business,
and international growth.
Each prong is detailed and is needed by the other. Starting with growing their core
business, which essentially is the applying of coatings to backings (that has broadened to include
optical applications, medical applications and fuel cells). 3M is a business that grew with a
philosophy of slow, incremental growth. This first “prong” seeks to upgrade that philosophy to a
more aggressive approach to expansion. This “prong” has levels that includes Defending Their
Core; Expanding Their Presence Across Various Tiers, Relentless Penetration, Rebuilding Their
Research and Development Department and Building Scale and Market Share.
3M has a history of acquisition and will continue to do so with a focus on those
companies that compliment what their core businesses produce. 3M has identified less obvious
applications to their core competency and has entered those markets. Those less obvious
markets include filtration systems, used for fluid processing; energy & minerals extraction;
power transmission, used for utility company cables; and track & trace systems, used for supply
chain tracking and management. This “prong” will be used to solidify the core, move into
adjacent markets and create new platforms. Those adjacent acquisitions will be closely
monitored and if it is determined that overtime scale cannot be built, differentiation cannot be
made through 3M technology, the base technology is at its “end life”; or a risk assessment
determines that another owner could extract more value than 3M, then those acquisitions will be
divested. 3M will also have a focus on competitors that are prime for acquisition and pursue
those with a strategy of “defensive acquisition”.
3M is a multinational conglomerate. But at their core they will always be entrepreneurs
first with a focus on constant innovation. With that in mind, the next “prong” of their strategy is
to build new businesses. Those innovations include improvements on their current businesses,
like their abrasives product…a top selling core product line that will now have a longer product
lifecycle with self sharpening surface features. 3M has also identified “megatrends’ for the near
future that they intend to capitalize on. Some of those trends are “changing consumption, rapid
pace of technology change, shifting demographics, economic setbacks, global inter-connectivity
and growing emerging markets” (Buckley, George, 2012). Those “megatrends” are likely to
yield high-growth markets that include bioplastics, next generation health monitoring, nanotech
drug delivery and biocompatible materials.
3M has had a presence outside the United States for at least 20 years. As of 2006, 3M
estimates that over 60% of sales come from outside the United States. Their plan for
international growth was focused on all countries but especially Brazil, Russia, India, China
Poland, with much activity in Eastern/Western Europe, Japan, and Australia. 3M expected much
of their outside-United States growth to come from Brazil, Russia, India, China and Poland and
planned for a significant increase in capital expenditures to those developing countries.
International growth was expected to grow 2 to 3 times the rate of Untied States growth. China
was expected to grow with a compound annual growth rate of 35%; India was expected to grow
at 40%; double digit growth was expected in Eastern Europe (Buckley, George, An Emerging
Strategy for Growth, 3M Investor Meeting, 2006).
The housing “crises” that brought the economic downturn of the United States had a
direct effect on countries outside of the United States, as well. Many countries also had
investments in the United States housing market and experienced the profits and (ultimately)
losses that the United States experienced. This created a domino effect where the expected
economic growth of developing countries like India, China, and Brazil instead experienced
economic slowdowns that lowered trade between countries.
For the international growth “prong” of 3M’s overall strategy, they adjusted their growth
strategy to include ALL developing countries. Their strategy will include increased
localizations in the countries where they have a presence, and expanding their brand in all
developing markets with “no country left behind.”
With their four-pronged strategy, 3M is expecting the China market to grow as their
slowdown stabilizes; sales in Latin America growing approximately 3%; some growth in Japan
despite some economic challenges in that region; their worldwide industrial production index is
likely to worsen; slow but positive growth in the United States; but overall 3M sales growth to be
between 2-6%. Again, all with the philosophy that, “It’s Never a Steady-State World” but with
the assumption that there will be no “Black Swans” (Buckley, George, 2012).
The Role of Human Resources
Though not mentioned in their four-pronged strategy, human resources places an
important part in the strategy’s effectiveness as the correct human capital will be needed. 3M’s
focus in the face of current economic trends will be innovation and growth. Using the Pearson
Prentice Hall Personality Assessment Scale, for this innovation to occur, human resources should
have their focus on their human capital that exhibits the personality types of ENTP and/or ISTP,
with of course the correct professional credentials. The ENTP personality type is likely best
suited for the task of developing innovation as their personality leans toward mechanics and
invention. The ISTP personality type is also likely to well-suited for the task of developing
innovation as this personality tends to excel at analyzing situations and finding the root of a
problem to implement change or correction.
For the task of growth, a strong sales force is needed. Human resources should have
their focus on the ESTP, ESFP, ENFP and even the ENFJ as these personalities has qualities
that makes them comfortable with human interaction more than others. The ESTP personality
type has the potential for being effective in sales as this personality is usually effective with
communication and navigating in social arenas. The ESFP personality type tends to also be
highly expressive and enjoys being the center of attention and thus a good candidate for sales.
The ENFP personality type may also prove effective in sales as they are driven to have their
convictions expressed to others and accepted. Though not as fun-loving as the ESTP and ESFP
personality, the ENFP personality has the high energy and force of conviction to be an effective
sales person. There are some sales techniques that are more consultative. This is where the
ENFJ personality type would be best suited. This personality is also expressive, but their
approach is more humanistic with an apparent genuine concern for those they are attempting to
instruct or sale.
Why Invest in 3M
Based on 3M’s length of existence, ability to offer returns on investment and scope of
product line, 3M is a solid company to invest in. 3M has been in business of over 100 years.
They have experienced situations in their early company history that challenged and even
threatened to close their company. They had years of struggle that resulted in learning from
many mistakes that eventually yielded their mastery of quality production and supply chain.
More importantly, it appears that 3M learned the lessons of constant improvement with their
business and intelligent growth through innovations. Their survival, successes and steady
investor returns are testaments to why 3M is a solid company to invest in.
Conclusion
Overall, 3M is the model that other businesses can learn from. From their origin, 3M has
adopted the philosophy of constant innovation/constant improvement. Their original business
plan was to sell one type of mineral to manufactures that made grinding wheels and proved to be
worthless. With their inventory of “worthless” minerals the founders attempted to use that
mineral to produce sandpaper. The sale of the sandpaper grew, but a defect was found that
required the founders to face the prospect of loss due to defective inventory or find a way to
correct the defect and keep the inventory. They found a way to correct the defect and keep their
inventory and later increase sales. This reluctance to accept defeat and innovation has been
the key to 3M success of the over the years.
Rather than stay in a market with a prospect of not succeeding, 3M aggressively finds
ways to use the inventory that they have, innovate and adjust their plans to remain and succeed in
that market. They’ve recognized early the need to be fluid/entrepreneurial with the market.
Their philosophy of “It’s Never a Steady-State World” is what they embrace. This philosophy
propelled 3M to be one of the early adopters of globalization and constant awareness of new
markets and ways their current core business can capitalize on them. Recognizing that while
growth is necessary for survival and successes, they also recognized that controlled, measured
growth is equally important…that growth can be gained through correct analysis, planning,
discipline and execution, no matter the economic environment (all things being equal). By
using benchmarks and intense metrics, 3M has been able to effectively chart the economic
environment they are in, no matter the volatility, and devise an effective plan to grow and
navigate through it. Their longevity, business practices and philosophy make 3M a company
others should learn from.
References
United States Gross Domestic Product reference
Retrieved from: http://www.bea.gov/national/index.htm
Personal Consumption Expenditure reference
Retrieved from: http://www.bls.gov/mlr/1998/06/art3full.pdf
Buckley, George, 3M Outlook Meeting, 2012
Retrieved from: http://media.corporate-ir.net/media_files/irol/80/80574/12062011_George_Buckley_Part_A.pdf
3M History reference
Retrieved from: http://solutions.3m.com/wps/portal/3M/en_US/3M-Company/Information/Resources/History/
Buckley, George, An Emerging Strategy for Growth, 3M Investor Meeting, 2006
Retrieved from: http://www.slideshare.net/finance10/george-w-buckley-chairman-president-and-chief-executive-officer
References: United States Gross Domestic Product reference Retrieved from: http://www.bea.gov/national/index.htm Personal Consumption Expenditure reference Retrieved from: http://www.bls.gov/mlr/1998/06/art3full.pdf Buckley, George, 3M Outlook Meeting, 2012 Retrieved from: http://media.corporate-ir.net/media_files/irol/80/80574/12062011_George_Buckley_Part_A.pdf 3M History reference Retrieved from: http://solutions.3m.com/wps/portal/3M/en_US/3M-Company/Information/Resources/History/ Buckley, George, An Emerging Strategy for Growth, 3M Investor Meeting, 2006 Retrieved from: http://www.slideshare.net/finance10/george-w-buckley-chairman-president-and-chief-executive-officer
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