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Accounting
Anand Mohan Goel
Anjan V. Thakor
University of Michigan

Why Do Firms Smooth Earnings?*

I.

Introduction

Corporate earnings management has been much in the news lately. For example, Business Week has recently run two cover stories, one titled “Who Can You Trust?”
(October 5, 1998) and the other titled “The Numbers
Game” (May 14, 2001), that suggest that the credibility of earnings reports is being eroded by earnings management. Arthur Levitt, Jr., chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), commented in 1998:
“Too many corporate managers, auditors, and analysts are participants in a game of nods and winks. In the zeal to satisfy consensus earnings estimates and project a smooth earnings path, wishful thinking may be winning the day over faithful representation.”1
Earnings management means manipulating reported earnings so that they do not accurately represent economic earnings at every point in time. Earnings smoothing is a special case of earnings management involving intertemporal smoothing of reported earnings relative to economic earnings; it attempts to make earnings look less variable over time. Earnings smoothing is extensively documented (see Beidlerman 1973; Bannister

* The authors thank Sugato Bhattacharyya, Ronen Israel, David
Hirshleifer, participants at a finance workshop at the University of
Michigan Business School, and three anonymous referees for their helpful comments.
1. See CPA Journal (December 1998), pp. 14–19, quote on p.
14. See also Collingwood (2001) for a discussion of the evidence on earnings management.
(Journal of Business, 2003, vol. 76, no. 1)
᭧ 2003 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved.
0021-9398/2003/7601-0007$10.00
151

We explain why a firm may smooth reported earnings. Greater earnings volatility leads to a bigger informational advantage for informed investors over uninformed investors. If sufficiently many current shareholders are uninformed and may need to



References: Allen, F. 1993. Stock markets and resource allocation. In C. Mayer and X. Vives (eds.), Capital Markets and Financial Intermediation Allen, F., and Gale, D. 1999. Diversity of opinion and financing of new technologies. Journal of Financial Intermediation 8 (January–April): 1–22. Bannister, J. W., and Newman, Harry A. 1996. Accrual usage to manage earnings towards financial forecasts Barnea, A.; Ronen, J.; and Sadan, S. 1975. The implementation of accounting objectives: An application to extraordinary items Beidlerman, C. R. 1973. Income smoothing: The role of management. Accounting Review 48 (October): 653–67. Boot, A. W. A., and Thakor, A. V. 1993. Security design. Journal of Finance 48 (September): 1349–78. Boot, A. W. A., and Thakor, A. V. 1997. Financial system architecture. Review of Financial Studies 10 (Fall): 693–733. Boot, A. W. A., and Thakor, A. V. 2001. The many facets of information disclosure. Review of Financial Studies 14 (Winter): 1021–57. Bowen, R. M.; Burgstahler, D.; and Daley, L. A. 1987. The incremental information content of accrual versus cash flows Brennan, M. J., and Thakor, A. V. 1990. Shareholder preferences and dividend policy. Journal of Finance 45 (September): 993–1018. Collingwood, H. 2001. The earnings game: Everyone plays, nobody wins. Harvard Business Review 79 (June): 65–77. Dechow, P. M. 1994. Accounting earnings and cash flows as measures of firm performance: The role of accounting accruals Defond, M. L., and Park, C. W. 1997. Smoothing income in anticipation of future earnings. Dye, R. A. 1988. Earnings management in an overlapping generations model. Journal of Accounting Research 26 (Autumn): 195–235. Fudenberg, D., and Tirole, J. 1995. A theory of income and dividend smoothing based on incumbency rents Jiambalvo, J.; Rajgopal, S.; and Venkatachalam, M. 2002. Institutional ownership and the extent to which stock prices reflect future earnings Kreps, D. M., and Wilson, R. 1982. Sequential equilibria. Econometrica 50 (January): 863–94. Kyle, A. S. 1985. Continuous auctions and insider trading. Econometrica 53 (November): 1315–36. Lambert, R. A. 1984. Income smoothing as rational equilibrium behavior. Accounting Review 59 (October): 604–18. Michelson, S. E.; Jordan-Wagner, J.; and Wooton, C. W. 1995. A market based analysis of income smoothing Moses, O. D. 1987. Income smoothing and incentives: Empirical tests using accounting changes. Potter, G. 1992. Accounting earnings announcements, individual investor concentration, and common stock returns Ross, S. A. 1977. The determination of financial structure: The incentive signaling approach. Rozycki, J. J. 1997. A tax motivation for smoothing earnings. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 37 (Summer): 563–78. Subramanyam, K. R. 1996. The pricing of discretionary accruals. Journal of Accounting and Economics 22 (August–December): 250–81. Trueman, B., and Titman, S. 1988. An explanation of accounting income smoothing. Journal of Accounting Research 26, suppl.: S127–S139.

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