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Antamina Project

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Antamina Project
Professor: José Tudela Martins
Students: João Pedro Jesus, Maria Kostyunina & Marta Gonçalves

Agenda
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Problem Statement
Antamina Project Overview
Assumptions
Prices Forecast
DCF Valuation: 3 Scenarios
Options Valuation
 Real Options
 Option to Abandon

• Re‐valuation according to changes
 Expropriation
 Block Funds

• Main Conclusions

Location of Antamina

Problem Statement

How much is
Antamina worth?

Impact of a 5% per year risk of expropriation or a possibility of a two years block funds?

Antamina Project Overview
Antamina Mine
Project:
• Peru government wanted to develop a mine
• Antamina project : offered for sale by auction as part of the privatization of Peru state mining company, Centromin
• Mine, located
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