Course Title: Emerging Issues in Accounting Research-2
Term Paper on “Assessing risk from financial statements: An Essay”
Submitted to: Prof. V.K Gupta
Submitted by: Pankaj Gupta (FPM 1109)
Abstract
This paper presents insights for assessment of accounting risk from financial statements. Financial statement is only a source of information for external users not the exact presentation of the activities of a firm. The main purpose of this paper is to highlight those accounting variables which are needed to estimate the risk profile of a firm and various accounting issues related.
1) Introduction
Since long we have been preparing, presenting and publishing financial statements but what is the purpose of external financial statements? The answer can be providing information to the stockholders. Instead of stock holders we may find it useful for stakeholders. Like, it can be useful for debt holders to estimate the probability of default or suppliers of goods and services, who may be interested in the return and risk of the dealing with the firm. So, why external statements is necessary only for stockholders? Financial statements help stock holders to decide the market price of the firm’s stock. Since the stock holders are the owners of the firm and by determining stock prices they can take the decision regarding the resource allocation for the firm. Other stake holders may access the information from other sources but these are the shareholders whose basic source of information is the annual reports including balance sheet and income statements (external accounting statements) Earlier, accounting statements designed to measure the level of earnings as a performance measure i.e. return measure. But after Markowitz (1952/March) Roy (1952), risk was introduced as second aspect of performance. So does the financial statements are properly designed to estimate the risk? Even if we accept that financial statements are
References: A History of Theory of Investment by Mark Rubinstein Abdelghany, K. E. (2005). Disclosure of market risk or accounting measures of risk: an empirical study. Managerial Auditing Journal, 20(8), 867-875. Farrelly, G. E., Ferris, K. R., & Reichenstein, W. R. (1985). Perceived risk, market risk, and accounting determined risk measures. Accounting Review, 278-288. Alexander, S. S. (1949). The Effect of Size of Manufacturing Corporation on the Distribution of the Rate of Return. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 229-235. Lintner, J. (1965). The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risky investments in stock portfolios and capital budgets. The review of economics and statistics, 47(1), 13-37. Beaver, W. H. (1966). Financial ratios as predictors of failure. Journal of accounting research, 71-111. Horrigan, J. O. (1966). The determination of long-term credit standing with financial ratios. Journal of Accounting Research, 44-62. Lev, B. (1974). On the association between operating leverage and risk. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 627-641. Gonedes, N. J. (1975). A Note of Accounting-Based and Market-Based Estimates of Systematic Risk. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,10(02), 355-365. Basu, S. (1977). Investment performance of common stocks in relation to their price‐ earnings ratios: A test of the efficient market hypothesis. The Journal of Finance, 32(3), 663-682. Eskew, R. K. (1979). The forecasting ability of accounting risk measures: Some additional evidence. Accounting Review, 107-118. Hill, N. C., & Stone, B. K. (1980). Accounting betas, systematic operating risk, and financial leverage: A risk-composition approach to the determinants of systematic risk. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 595-637. Bettis, R. A., & Hall, W. K. (1982). Diversification Strategy, Accounting Determined Risk, and Accounting Determined Return. Academy of Management Journal, 25(2), 254264. Mandelker, G. N., & Rhee, S. G. (1984). The impact of the degrees of operating and financial leverage on systematic risk of common stock. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 19(1), 45-57. O 'Hanlon, J., & Steele, A. (2000). Estimating the equity risk premium using accounting fundamentals. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 27(9‐10), 1051-1083. Nickel, M. N., & Rodriguez, M. C. (2002). A review of research on the negative accounting relationship between risk and return: Bowman 's paradox. Omega,30(1), 1-18. Grody, A., Hughes, P., & Toms, S. (2009). Risk Accounting-A Next Generation Risk Management System for Financial Institutions. Available at SSRN 1395912. Kogan, S., Levin, D., Routledge, B. R., Sagi, J. S., & Smith, N. A. (2009, May). Predicting risk from financial reports with regression. In Proceedings of Human Language Technologies: The 2009 Annual Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics (pp. 272-280). Association for Computational Linguistics. Toms, Steve, Accounting Based Risk Measurement: An Alternative to CAPM Derived Discount Factors (May 26, 2012). University of York Management School Working Paper No. 68