Case Study Dc Sniper

D.C. Sniper Exercise

During the course of our case study, Group J, employed three analytical techniques to the D.C. Sniper (Beltway Sniper attacks) to generate a possible hypothesis of the offender. The three techniques are Key Assumption analysis, Quadrant Crunching and Multiple Hypothesis Generator. Upon assessment of these techniques similar results where found yet each method came with its own issues. By examining how the techniques where used by the group where achieved a greater understanding of not only the techniques but how the individual in the group contribute to the result.

Case Study
The DC Snipe case consisted of fourteen armed attacks in February 2002. Of these, thirteen were shotting of people with no direct connection in
Evidence of this technique used for the D.C. Snipe case is found in Figure .2. Factors that were considered known were deemed “solid” while other assumptions has either contradicting variable or no evidence to support just historically relied upon statistics.

Use of this technique was found to be the quickest way to narrow down or eliminate fundamental assumptions from the evidence presented. During the exercise, six factors were identified and deemed relevant to the exercise. Upon examining the possible contradicting factors, non-existing factors, it allowed for a more accurate analysis of the evidence. Regardless of their accuracy, this tool also gave the most vague response. As seen in Figure .2 there was only one factor held to be “solid”. The accuracy of this response was simply due to the inability to eliminate any other factor.

By developing contradicting factors or rationales, we where able to assist the separate assumptions without prejudice. Dispute the attempt to narrow the known elements the results did not assist in determining a viable hypotheses rather just the elimination of factors, which did not, for our group, present a workable
The time sensitive investigation undertaken by the F.B.I. resulted in a profile based on their knowledge, experience and available evidence. The result in this case proved that this experience and knowledge could still result in a plausible but ultimately incorrect assessment. The focus on a white single male by the F.B.I in this circumstance can be attributed to the idea of confirmation bias. This is the tendency for groups and individuals to focus on information that supports pre-existing hypotheses. This was also found in the group exercise as the group reliance on the assumed superior knowledge of criminal