Da Nang Q1/2012
Presented by:
THAO LE
Da Nang Research
Opening Remarks from:
ADAM BURY
Senior Manager
CB Richard Ellis (Vietnam) Co., Ltd.
Friday, April 20th, 2012
TIEN CAO
Da Nang Research
OPENING WORDS
Da Nang 2012 – Continued
Signs of Growth
Hyatt Regency Da Nang
Da Nang International Airport
The Summit
Harmony Tower
All Pictures – Source: CBRE Vietnam. Date 19th April, 2012
2 CBRE RESEARCH & CONSULTING
MARKET INSIGHTS FROM CBRE’s DA NANG QUARTERLY UPDATES | APRIL 2012
VIETNAM ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
Q1/2012 PERFORMANCE
3.5
3.0
Inflation surged
20
Monetary controls took effect
2.5
15
2.0
10
1.5
CPI (% m-o-m)
CPI (% y-o-y) / Interest rates (%)
25
CPI, VN (% y-o-y))
CPI, VN (% m-o-m)
Refinancing rate (%)
Rediscounting rate (%)
1.0
5
0
Jan-10
Monetary controls on interest rates
Mar-10
May-10
Jul-10
Sep-10
Nov-10
Jan-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-11
0.5
0.0
Sep-11
Nov-11
Jan-12
Mar-12
Q1/2012
Q4/2011
GDP (% y-o-y)
4%
6.1%
CPI (% y-o-y, e-o-p)
14.15%
18.13%
Exchange rate (e-o-p)
20,828
20,828
Export (US$ Bn)
24.52 (23.6% y-o-y)
26.23 (31.7% y-o-y)
Import (US$ Bn)
24.77 (6.9% y-o-y)
28.9 (23.4% y-o-y)
FDI Implemented (US$ Bn)
2.5 (-0.8% y-o-y)
2.8 (-5.1% y-o-y)
International Arrivals (million arrivals)
1.9 (24.5% y-o-y)
1.7 (29.3% y-o-y)
Retail and Services Turnover (trillion dong)
569.7 (21.8% y-o-y)
611.5 (47.2% y-o-y)
Source: General Statistics Office
3 CBRE RESEARCH & CONSULTING
MARKET INSIGHTS FROM CBRE’s DA NANG QUARTERLY UPDATES | APRIL 2012
VIETNAM ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
INFLATION
Time
9-Aug-10
24-Feb-11
29-Mar-11
26-Aug-11
29-Mar-12
A95
A92
Chg
Pct. Chg
16,900 16,400
410 2.56%
19,800 19,300 2,900 17.68%
21,800 21,300 2,000 10.36%
21,300 20,800
(500) -2.35%
23,400 22,900 2,100 10.10%
Inflation continuing