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Chad Camerron Case Analysis

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Chad Camerron Case Analysis
Chad Cameroon Pipeline

Q.1. How are the sponsors financing this deal? How does the financing of the field

The fulldifferent project was planned for $3.7b of system from the financing the export system?
 Field System attributed to $1.5b, and the
Export System for $2.2b


Field System
 300

oil wells

 Financed

by TOTCO

 Corporate


Finance to be applied

Export System
 1070

km pipeline with monitoring mechanism

Q.2. What is the world bank/ifc's role in this deal? Are they likely to be successful? 

IFC provided $100m loan and upto $300m in syndicated loan to TOTCO and COTCO



Helped $900m of financing from Export credit agencies 

$400 bond issue from intl capital market



Commercial lenders would have extended support only with involvement from World Bank



Handled the Revenue management program

Q.3. Analyse the risk and returns to Chad, Cameroon and the Private Sponsors? How were the returns calculated? Are the risks and returns fair from each party's perspective?




Chad :


High risk – Environmental impact, Resistance from people/residents



Political impact



Exploration of oil doesnt always come with development



Expected Returns - $1.8b


Income taxes (16%)



Royalties



Dividends

Cameroon


High risk - Environmental impact, Resistance from people/residents,
Ground water contamination



Returns - $535m


Transit

Required Returns
CAPM model to calculate Return On Assets

Given Asset B=0.6; ERP=6%; Risk free rate =
6%; debt/equity ratio = 60%

CAPM r=r(tax free)* B*ERP
Equity B = 0.6 * (1+0.6)=0.96
Required Retun On Equity = 6+0.96*6=11.76%
Required Return On Asset = 6+0.6*6 =9.6%

Q.4. Will the Revenue Management Plan work?
Are there aspects of the plan that you think should be changed?


Concept – Optimise product availability, Max
(Revenue Growth)



Sell right product to right consumer at best price 

Components
 Poverty

alleviation

 Transparency
 Participation


reg use of revenue

from -govt,

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