FIW Working Paper N° 121 April 2013
China 's Pure Exporter Subsidies
Fabrice Defever1 and Alejandro Riaño2
Abstract
One third of Chinese exporters sell more than ninety percent of their production abroad. We argue that this distinctive pattern is attributable to the widespread use of subsidies that require firms to export the vast majority of their output. We study this type of subsidy in the context of a heterogeneousfirm model, and show that it is worse from a welfare standpoint than a regular export subsidy, partly because it increases protection of the domestic market. A counterfactual analysis suggests that eliminating these subsidies would result in a welfare gain for China comparable to that of halving its trade costs. JEL: Keywords: F12, F13, O47 Trade Policy; Export Subsidies; Heterogeneous Firms; China
Authors
University of Nottingham, GEP, CESifo and CEP/LSE. Email: fabrice.defever@nottingham.ac.uk 2 University of Nottingham, GEP, CFCM and CESifo. Email: alejandro.riano@nottingham.ac.uk
1
FIW, a collaboration of WIFO (www.wifo.ac.at), wiiw (www.wiiw.ac.at) and WSR (www.wsr.ac.at)
China’s Pure Exporter Subsidies∗
Fabrice Defever†, Alejandro Ria˜o‡ n December 22, 2012
Abstract One third of Chinese exporters sell more than ninety percent of their production abroad. We argue that this distinctive pattern is attributable to the widespread use of subsidies that require firms to export the vast majority of their output. We study this type of subsidy in the context of a heterogeneous-firm model, and show that it is worse from a welfare standpoint than a regular export subsidy, partly because it increases protection of the domestic market. A counterfactual analysis suggests that eliminating these subsidies would result in a welfare gain for China comparable to that of halving its trade costs. Keywords: Trade Policy; Export Subsidies; Heterogeneous Firms; China. JEL classification: F12, F13, O47.
We thank Daniel
References: Bajona, C. and T. Chu (2010): “Reforming State Owned Enterprises in China: Effects of WTO Accession,” Review of Economic Dynamics, 13, 800–823. Bernard, A. B., J. Eaton, J. B. Jensen, and S. Kortum (2003): “Plants and Productivity in International Trade,” American Economic Review, 93, 1268–1290. Bernard, A. B., S. J. Redding, and P. K. Schott (2007): “Comparative Advantage and Heterogeneous Firms,” Review of Economic Studies, 74, 31–66. Brandt, L., J. van Biesebroeck, and Y. Zhang (2012): “Creative Accounting or Creative Destruction? Firm-level Productivity Growth in Chinese Manufacturing ?” Journal of Development Economics, 97, 339–351. Broda, C. and D. E. Weinstein (2006): “Globalization and the Gains from Variety,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 121, 541–585. Cheng, W., J. Morrow, and K. Tacharoen (2012): “Productivity as if Space Mattered: An Application to Factor Markets Across China,” Manuscript, London School of Economics. Chor, D. (2009): “Subsidies for FDI: Implications From a Model with Heterogeneous Firms,” Journal of International Economics, 78, 113–125. Dai, M., M. Maitra, and M. Yu (2011): “Unexceptional Exporter Performance in China? The Role of Processing Trade,” Manuscript, Columbia University. Demidova, S. (2008): “Productivity Improvements And Falling Trade Costs: Boon Or Bane?” International Economic Review, 49, 1437–1462. Demidova, S. and A. Rodr´ ıguez-Clare (2009): “Trade Policy Under Firm-level Heterogeneity in a Small Economy,” Journal of International Economics, 78, 100–112. di Giovanni, J., A. A. Levchenko, and J. Zhang (2012): “The Global Welfare Impact of China: Trade Integration and Technological Change,” IMF Working Paper 12/79. Farole, T. (2011): Special Economic Zones in Africa: Comparing Performance and Learning from Global Experience, Washinton DC: The World Bank. Feenstra, R. C. (1998): “One Country, Two Systems: Implications of WTO Entry for China,” Manuscript, University of California, Davis. Feenstra, R. C., Z. Li, and M. Yu (2011): “Exports and Credit Constraints Under Incomplete Information: Theory and Evidence from China,” NBER Working Papers 16940. Felbermayr, G., B. Jung, and M. Larch (2012): “Optimal Tariffs, Retaliation and the Welfare Loss from Tariff Wars in the Melitz Model,” Journal of International Economics, 89, 13–25. Felbermayr, G., J. Prat, and H.-J. Schmerer (2011): “Globalization and Labor Market Outcomes: Wage Bargaining, Search Frictions, and Firm Heterogeneity,” Journal of Economic Theory, 146, 39–73. Ghironi, F. and M. J. Melitz (2005): “International Trade and Macroeconomic Dynamics with Heterogeneous Firms,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120, 865–915. 37 Hamada, K. (1974): “An Economic Analysis of the Duty Free Zone,” Journal of International Economics, 4, 225–241. ˜ Heid, B., M. Larch, and A. Riano (Forthcoming): “The Rise of the Maquiladoras: A Mixed Blessing,” Review of Development Economics. Helpman, E., M. J. Melitz, and S. R. Yeaple (2004): “Export Versus FDI with Heterogeneous Firms,” American Economic Review, 94, 300–316. Hong Kong Trade Development Council (2003): Guide to Doing Business in China, HKTDC Business Edition, available at www.hktdc.com. ——— (2009): Turning from Export Processing to Domestic Sales, HKTDC Business Edition, available at www.hktdc.com. Hsieh, C.-T. and P. J. Klenow (2009): “Misallocation and Manufacturing TFP in China and India,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 124, 1403–1448. Hsieh, C.-T. and R. Ossa (2011): “A Global View of Productivity Growth in China,” NBER Working Papers 16778, National Bureau of Economic Research. Ianchovichina, E. (2007): “Are Duty Drawbacks on Exports Worth the Hassle?” Canadian Journal of Economics, 40, 881–913. Khandelwal, A. K., P. K. Schott, and S.-J. Wei (Forthcoming): “Trade Liberalization and Embedded Institutional Reform: Evidence from Chinese Exporters,” American Economic Review. Lau, L. J., Y. Qian, and G. Roland (2000): “Reform without Losers: An Interpretation of China’s Dual-Track Approach to Transition,” Journal of Political Economy, 108, 120–143. Levinsohn, J. and A. Petrin (2003): “Estimating Production Functions Using Inputs to Control for Unobservables,” Review of Economic Studies, 70, 317–341. Li & Fung Group (2012): What do Expert Say? Ten Highlights of Chinas Commercial Sector, 2011-2012, Li & Fung Research Centre, available at www.funggroup.com. Lu, D. (2010): “Exceptional Exporter Performance? Firms,” Manuscript, University of Chicago. Evidence from Chinese Manufacturing Lu, J., Y. Lu, and Z. Tao (2011): “Pure Exporter: Theory and Evidence,” MPRA Paper 29966, University Library of Munich, Germany. Ma, Y., H. Tang, and Y. Zhang (2011): “Factor Intensity, Product Switching, and Productivity: Evidence from Chinese Exporters,” Discussion Papers Series, Tufts University 0761. Manova, K. and Z. Yu (2012): “Firms and Credit Constraints along the Value-Added Chain: Processing Trade in China,” Manuscript, Stanford University. Manova, K. and Z. Zhang (2012): “Export Prices Across Firms and Destinations,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 127, 379–436. Melitz, M. (2003): “The Impact of Trade on Intra-Industry Reallocations and Aggregate Productivity,” Econometrica, 71, 1695–1725. 38 Miyagiwa, K. F. (1986): “A Reconsideration of the Welfare Economics of a Free-trade Zone,” Journal of International Economics, 21, 337–350. Naughton, B. (1996): “China’s Emergence and Prospects as a Trading Nation,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 27, 273–344. ——— (2007): The Chinese Economy: Transitions and Growth, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Olley, G. S. and A. Pakes (1996): “The Dynamics of Productivity in the Telecommunications Equipment Industry,” Econometrica, 64, 1263–1297. Panagariya, A. (1992): “Input Tariffs, Duty Drawbacks, and Tariff Reforms,” Journal of International Economics, 32, 131–147. Schminke, A. and J. van Biesebroeck (2011): “Using Export Market Performance to Evaluate Regional Preferential Policies in China,” Center for Economic Studies Discussion Paper 11.33, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven. Standard Chartered Bank (2007): “On the Ground, China,” Standard chartered research paper. Wang, J. (Forthcoming): “The Economic Impact of Special Economic Zones: Evidence from Chinese Municipalities,” Journal of Development Economics. Wang, Z. and Z. Yu (Forthcoming): “Trading Partners, Traded Products, and Firm Performance: Evidence from China’s Exporter-Importers,” The World Economy. 39