Scoping Mission for DFID Uganda July 2008
S
0 INTERNATIONAL
LTS International
LTS International has been supporting sustainable development worldwide for 35 years. We offer dynamic, multi-disciplinary teams of experienced professionals to meet the bespoke requirements of the assignment, be it poverty reduction, commercial viability, improved equity and governance or any other facet of sustainable resource management or international development.
Contact details
LTS International Ltd.
Pentlands Science Park Bush Loan, Penicuik Edinburgh EH26 0PL, Scotland www.ltsi.co.uk Tel: (+44) 131 440 5500 Fax: (+44) 131 440 5501
Main author
Nick Hepworth Senior Consultant LTS International Ltd. nick-hepworth@ltsi.co.uk,
+ 44 (0) 7906 083 222
Contributing author
(Box 2 Implications of climate change for Lake Victoria and Nile flows and technical review)
Marisa Goulden
Senior Research Fellow
Overseas Development Group
University of East Anglia
Norwich, UK NR4 7TJ
Citation Reference:
Hepworth, N. and Goulden, M., 2008, Climate Change in Uganda: Understanding the implications and appraising the response, LTS International, Edinburgh
Front plates: top left, main author; top right, bottom left and right, Uganda NAPA, Ministry of Water and Environment
Executive summary 1. Uganda’s climate is naturally variable and susceptible to flood and drought events which have had negative socio-economic impacts in the past. Human induced climate change is likely to increase average temperatures in Uganda by up to 1.5 °C in the next 20 years and by up to 4.3 °C by the 2080s. Such rates of increase are unprecedented. Changes in rainfall patterns and total annual rainfall amounts are also expected but these are less certain than changes in temperature. The climate of Uganda may become wetter on average and the increase in rainfall may be unevenly distributed and occur as more extreme or
References: Ellis, F., 2000. Rural livelihoods and diversity in developing countries. Oxford University Press. Nakicenovic, N. (2000). Special report on emissions scenarios : a special report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, IPCC, Cambridge University Press. National Planning Authority, 2007, PEAP Revision / Preparation of the 5 year National Development Plan, Guidelines for Developing Thematic working papers, November 2007 Orindi, V.A., and Murray, L Orindi, V.A., and Eriksen, S., 2005, Mainstreaming adaptation to climate change in the development process in Uganda, African Centre for Technology Studies (ACTS) Ecopolicy Series no Oxfam, 2008, Another inconvenient truth: how biofuel policy is deepening poverty and accelerating climate change, Oxfam Briefing Paper 114, June 2008 Oxfam, 2008, Turning Up the Heat: Climate Change and Poverty in Uganda, July 2008, Oxfam GB Schipper, E. L., 2007, Climate Change Adaptation and Development: Exploring the Linkages, Tyndall Centre Working Paper No.107 July 2007, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, UK Sutcliffe, J Tate, E., J. Sutcliffe, D. Conway and F. Farquharson (2004). Water balance of Lake Victoria: update to 2000 and climate change modelling to 2100. Hydrological Sciences Journal-Journal Des Sciences Hydrologiques 49(4): 563-574. Thornton PK, Jones PG, Owiyo T, Kruska RL, Herrero M, Kristjanson P, Notenbaert A, Bekele N and Omolo A, with contributions from Orindi V, Otiende B, Ochieng A, BhadwalS, Anantram K, Nair S, Kumar V and Kulkar U (2006) Tynjala, T., and Annies, A., 2008, Kenya Capacity Building for CDM Authorities Final Report of the Project Identification Mission, June 2008, Ministry for Foreign Affairs of Finland Appendices DFID Uganda’s Performance Framework and Deliver Plan (2006/07 - 2008/09) is included as appendix A. [ 2 ]. See Sutcliffe and Petersen (2007) [ 3 ]