Preview

Comparison Between Gold Rates and Sensex

Good Essays
Open Document
Open Document
479 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
Comparison Between Gold Rates and Sensex
Correlation and Regression Analysis : Comparison between Gold rates and Sensex

Correlation : Correlation is a statistical technique that can show whether and how strongly pairs of variables are related. Correlation is computed into what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. Perfect positive correlation (a correlation co-efficient of +1) implies that as one security moves, either up or down, the other security will move in lockstep, in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if one security moves in either direction the security that is perfectly negatively correlated will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the movements of the securities are said to have no correlation; they are completely random.

Regression analysis: It involves identifying the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables.

Case Analysis

The initial analysis compares two Asset index prices the SENSEX and the GOLD. The Sensex has the top 30 stocks. The Gold is an important Asset in terms on Investment as it also offers the benefit on diversifying the Portfolio risk.

To apply the Correlation and regression concept, we consider an investor who plans to invest in Gold looking at the rise in the gold prices. He is still reluctant if he should choose Gold as an investment option or if he should consider investing in some other investment options based on Sensex. as on 15th September 2012.

Hence, he plans to carry out a research on the same, for which he attends a seminar on “Investment Opportunities”. There was a debate amongst the Financial Analysts - “Does Sensex rates affect Gold prices?”

Analyst1 : Gold prices have been on an uptick since 2000, while the stock market declined from 2000 to 2003

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Satisfactory Essays

    linear regression

    • 5446 Words
    • 29 Pages

    5. Correlation analysis is a group of statistical techniques used to measure the strength of the relationship (correlation) between two variables.…

    • 5446 Words
    • 29 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    Considering on the market without hedging program, when the price of gold changed 1 percent, the net income and cash flow from operation will be changed 3.56 percent and 1.69 percent, respectively. The net income also caused the changed in shareholder’s book value, 0.35 percent change according to 1 percent change in gold price. Therefore, if the gold price increased, it would increase the net income and shareholder’s book value. The stock will be more attractive to the investors and drive the stock price increasing. By contrary, if the gold price decreased, the shareholder’s book value would be decreased and the stock price would be decreased, also. (See table II)…

    • 1037 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    This research methodology involves determining the strength of the relationship between two or more variables (e.g. are violent video games correlated with aggression in children).…

    • 647 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    The analysis shows that the changes in DJI and DJUSTC together explain a very highly significant proportion of the variation in AAPL. The coefficient of correlation is 0.56 which equals the proportion of variance explained by the regression model. The standard error of estimate is 0.011796385, which indicates the typical size of errors made in predicting AAPL using the regression model.…

    • 402 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    Gold coins are the hottest commodity in India these days. The fact that the price of gold rose steadily by around 300% from 4395 in 2000 to 16800 in 2010 is attracting more and more customers for investment. These non-perishable items are sold like hot cakes during festivals. Indian banks started trading in gold coins in 2004. They are sold in different denominations like 0.5 gm, 1 gm, 2 gm, 2.5 gm, 5 gm, 8 gm, 10 gm, 20 gm, 50 gm and 100gm. Even though investment-led demand accounts for 30 percent of gold sales, it is growing faster than the jewellery segment. Many Indians these days prefer gold coins and bars as investment options. The customer preference of gold buyers in India is changing fast. All these years, buying gold…

    • 711 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    three types of research

    • 697 Words
    • 3 Pages

    Atheor y is a well-established principle that has been developed to explain some aspect of the natural word. A theory arises from repeated observation and testing and incorporates facts, laws, predictions, and tested hypotheses that are widely accepted.…

    • 697 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    Tata Group Going Global

    • 20153 Words
    • 81 Pages

    • To do a relative analysis between BSE Sensex and the share price of the TATA Group of companies…

    • 20153 Words
    • 81 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    Eviews Forecast

    • 3122 Words
    • 13 Pages

    This demonstration illustrates the basic features of EViews. It represents a typical application, and is not meant to be a comprehensive description of the capabilities of the program.…

    • 3122 Words
    • 13 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    ABSTRACT India is among the top 5 producer of the most of the commodities in addition to being a major consumer of bullion and energy products. Agriculture contributes more than 23% to be GDP of Indian economy. It employees around 57% of the labor force on a total of 185 million hectares of land. Agriculture sector is an important factor to achieving a GDP growth of 8.10. All this indicates that India can be promoted as a major center for trading of commodity derivatives. It is important to understand why commodity derivatives are required and the role they can play in risk management. It is common knowledge that prices of commodities, metals, shares and currencies fluctuate over time. The possibilities of adverse price change in future create risk for business. Derivatives are used to reduce or eliminate price risk arising from unforeseen price change. A derivative is a financial contract whose price depends on, or is derived from the price of other assets. The present study focuses primarily on how gold can be used as a commodity tool for hedging portfolio, medium of exchange, savings and investment. It first explains what is commodity, the structure of commodity market, the various types of derivative market. The study also explains the functioning of the derivative market. The various exchange for commodity market like NCDEX, MCX etc. are described. Keywords: Gold, Commodity Derivative, Hedging, Relative Strength Index, Open Interest. INTRODUCTION The high volatility in equity market with high risk and the arrival of low interest rates have increased the investor presence in alternative investments such as gold. In India, gold has traditionally played a multi-faceted role. Apart from being used for ornament purpose, it has also served as…

    • 6629 Words
    • 27 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Gold Etfs in India

    • 591 Words
    • 3 Pages

    The aim is to study Gold ETF as an investment option with a focus on Indian market using the skills, knowledge and tools learnt during KSOU UBS Executive MBA curriculum.…

    • 591 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    In recent years, precious metals have played an important role as an investment asset. Many investors are interested in precious metals as a financial investment due to a several criteria which present a security for therm. Among all precious metals, gold has been attracted most of the media and press. This popular metals has long been considered as a symbol of wealth and prosperity furthermore it has characterized by the similar properties as money due to its historical uses as a currency. It historically has moved independently with other assets in this order it could be used to diversify portfolios and for risk management (Baur and lucey (2010) and Baur…

    • 1053 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Gold Price Fluctuation

    • 509 Words
    • 3 Pages

    The topic is selected for the project is the Gold price fluctuations and gold as a investment. I selected this topic because of the change in the price of gold and people’s interest in investing in gold as an investment. This topic is selected due to the fluctuating nature of gold and changing trend of gold price. Nowadays people tend to invest their money in gold so as they can increase their investment according to the price of gold at that particular period.…

    • 509 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    Indian Gold industry

    • 7648 Words
    • 31 Pages

    “Gold” India’s most popular metal has shown three times increase in its price since the year 2007 till the year 2011. History of gold indicates that Gold price certainly follow ascending price pattern but these abnormal change in price have never occur before. This case study says about, what can be the various reasons or factors of this sudden change in the price trend. This report examines the relationship of gold price with various independent variables like Sensex, Interest rate, Inflation, value of the dollar and exchange rate. The study uses the London data in US Dollars since the year 2007 till date. It also shows the factors which affect the price of gold globally. The future of the gold & gold price movements are determined by the perception of gold as a store of value rather than its fundamentals as a commodity.…

    • 7648 Words
    • 31 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Hello

    • 1456 Words
    • 6 Pages

    ; gold has its reputation for being a reliable long-term investment. according to ., when the market fluctuates or when there are some changes in stock prices in the stock market, gold acts as a safeguard which stays uneffected by those situations;therefore, people can always be sure that gold will remain valuable even when the crisises arise. Secondly, as it is a reliable reserve asset, it's always can be traded for cash. Some investors consider it as a kind of investment that can be exchanged for money instantly when they need it. In conclusion, the fact that gold has a secure value and it is ; gold has its reputation for being a reliable long-term investment. according to ., when the market fluctuates or when there are some changes in stock prices in the stock market, gold acts as a safeguard which stays uneffected by those situations;therefore, people can always be sure that gold will remain valuable even when the crisises arise. Secondly, as it is a reliable reserve asset, it's always can be traded for cash. Some investors consider it as a kind of investment that can be exchanged for money instantly when they need it. In conclusion, the fact that gold has a secure value and it is ; gold has its reputation for being a reliable long-term investment. according to ., when the market fluctuates or when there are some changes in stock prices in the stock market, gold acts as a safeguard which stays uneffected by those situations;therefore, people can always be sure that gold will remain valuable even when the crisises arise. Secondly, as it is a reliable reserve asset, it's always can be traded for cash. Some investors consider it as a kind of investment that can be exchanged for money instantly when they need it. In conclusion, the fact that gold has a secure value and it is ; gold has its reputation for being a reliable long-term investment. according to ., when the market fluctuates or when there are some changes in stock prices in the stock market, gold acts…

    • 1456 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Powerful Essays

     Regression is probably the single most important tool What is regression analysis?  It is concerned with describing and evaluating the relationship between a given variable (usually called the dependent variable) and one or more other variables (usually known as the independent variable(s)).…

    • 1876 Words
    • 8 Pages
    Powerful Essays