$132,240/(1.08)5=$90,000
Duration of the bond=5years
Thus, I need to buy 90units of the bond to immunize against the invest rate risk.
1/3*{$80(1.079)4+$80(1.079)3+$80(1.079)2+$80(1.079)+$80+$1080/1.079}*90
+1/3*{$80(1.08)4+$80(1.08)3+$80(1.08)2+$80(1.08)+$80+$1080/1.08}*90
+1/3*{$80(1.081)4+$80(1.081)3+$80(1.081)2+$80(1.081)+$80+$1080/1.081}*90
=1/3*($132,240+$132,240+$132,240)
=$132,240
2. Consider a 6-year 5.5% coupon bond that is rated BBB when issued at par (i.e. $1,000) at the beginning of this year. Assume that the recovery rate is 46% of the face value in the case of default.
Rating one year later Probability Yield
AAA 0.03 4.43
AA 0.21 4.56
A 4.56 4.8
BBB 89.38 5.5
BB 4.82 9.45
B 0.68 11.7
CCC 0.24 15.15
Default 0.08 -
(a) Plot the probability distribution of the bond value one year later, where the first-year coupon is included. What do you find?
Rating Probability Value
AAA 0.03 $1,102.06
AA 0.21 $1,096.2
A 4.56 $1,085.47
BBB 89.38 $1,055
BB 4.82 $903.14
B 0.68 $829.83
CCC 0.24 $723.66
Default 0.08 $460
(b) What is the expected value of the bond one year later? What is the standard deviation of the bond value one year later?
Expected value of the bond one year later
=0.03%*$1,102.06+0.21%*$1,096.2+4.56%*$1,085.47+89.38%*$1,055+4.82%*$903.14+0.68%*$829.83+0.24%*$723.66+0.08%*$460=$1,046.37
(c) If you plan to hold this bond for one year, what is the VAR in