LESSON 1
Lesson 1:
Step 1 Population Number Starting Number of Contagious People Sick Days Reported Contagious Contagion Rate
Prediction 200 5 60 5 5
Simulation Run 1 600 3 51 0 0
Simulation Run 2 600 3 85 0 1
Simulation Run 3 600 3 28 0 0
Lesson 1:
Step 2 Population Number Population Density Starting Number of Contagious People Sick Days Reported Contagious Contagion Rate
Prediction 1 (low) 125 Low 5 90 250 1.5
Simulation Run 1 200 Low 3 340 2 1.7
Simulation Run 2 200 Low 3 366 2 1.8
Simulation Run 3 200 Low 3 474 3 2.4
Prediction 2 (high) 490 High 5 2000 20 7.0
Simulation Run 1 900 High 3 3661 3 4.1
Simulation Run 2 900 High 3 4002 3 4.4
Simulation Run 3 900 High 3 4121 1 4.6
Responses to Questions:
1. No, the number gets lower each time I run the simulator. More vaccines and people develop stronger immune system. Also I think it might depend on the disease that the population had to face.
2.
DATA TABLES: DISEASE
LESSON 1
Lesson 1:
Step 1 Population Number Starting Number of Contagious People Sick Days Reported Contagious Contagion Rate
Prediction 200 5 60 5 5
Simulation Run 1 600 3 51 0 0
Simulation Run 2 600 3 85 0 1
Simulation Run 3 600 3 28 0 0
Lesson 1:
Step 2 Population Number Population Density Starting Number of Contagious People Sick Days Reported Contagious Contagion Rate
Prediction 1 (low) 125 Low 5 90 250 1.5
Simulation Run 1 200 Low 3 340 2 1.7
Simulation Run 2 200 Low 3 366 2 1.8
Simulation Run 3 200 Low 3 474 3 2.4
Prediction 2 (high) 490 High 5 2000 20 7.0
Simulation Run 1 900 High 3 3661 3 4.1
Simulation Run 2 900 High 3 4002 3 4.4
Simulation Run 3 900 High 3 4121 1 4.6
Responses to Questions:
1. No, the number gets lower each time I run the simulator. More vaccines and people develop stronger immune system. Also I think it might depend on the disease that the population had to face.
2.