Demographic Transition Model

Recently the aging population along with decreasing birth rate in the United States today has become a major concern. In United States a major decrease in birth rate caused by a lack of fertility in addition to the low death rate and increasingly elder population the US has become one of the only few to be a part of stage four in the traditional demographic transition model developed by Warren Thompson in 1929. A large part to being in stage four of the DTM, or demographic transition model, can be related back to the baby boomer generation, increased healthcare, and new technology widely available to the public of all demographics in the United States population. Highly dependent on these things, with hardly fluctuating death rates, and birth rates, The
In the coming future, after surpassing stage four in the DTM, the United States could dangerously be entering the fifth stage of the “New Demographic Transition Model”. After experiencing an extended time period of low birth rate and low death rate equilibrium, eventually the death rate will surpass the birth rate after the population experiences an even lower birthrate than it has ever seen before. The problem created when this point in time occurs is a slow but steady natural decrease in overall population in part by a new decline in birthrate. The population in this stage of the country’s well-being may see newfound lack in the younger generation’s ability to replace the older population in the workforce and the formation of a contracting demographic pyramid.

America todays, experiencing stage four in the DTM has created a large growth in the elder population and Elderburbs. Elderburbs or Elderburbia according to Philip B. Stafford is making a community “elder-friendly” where retirees and the elder population can access and have every necessity within the community they live in. Elderburbs today are definitely