Preview

Determinants of Gross Domestic Saving in Ethiopia: a Time Series Analysis

Powerful Essays
Open Document
Open Document
7067 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
Determinants of Gross Domestic Saving in Ethiopia: a Time Series Analysis
Determinants of Gross Domestic Saving in Ethiopia: a time series analysis

Kidane Badeg

Contact:

Kidane Badeg

MoFED

P.o.Box 1905, Addis Ababa , Ethiopia

Email: kbadeg@mofed.gov.et

Abstract

The study conduct a time series analysis of the determinants of gross domestic saving in Ethiopia using co-integration and error correction econometric modeling(ECM), and employed data for the period of 1971-2009 collected from National bank of Ethiopia (NBE), MOFED, CSA and world bank on annual base. The study revealed that GPCI, DR, INF, GTR and GGDS1-t significant influence on GDS in cointegration model. Further more GPC, INF, GTR and GGDS1-t are also significant in ECM model while PCI, RIR and GM2 showed insignificant coefficient in both cointegration and ECM model.

Table Of Contents

Content Page
Abstract i
CHAPTER ONE
1. INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Background of the Study 1
CHAPTER TWO
2. Literature Review 2 2.1 Roles of Saving: Theory and Evidence 2 2.2 Determinants of Saving: Theory and Evidence 3 2.2.1 Theoretical Determinants of saving 3 2.3 Empirical Determinants of Saving 5
CHAPTER THREE
3. Data and Methodology 7 3.1 Data 7 3.2 Model Specification 7
CHAPTER FOUR
4. Estimation procedure and Analysis Empirical Result 8 4.1 Estimation Procedure 8 4.2 Analysis of Empirical Result 11
CHAPTER FIVE
5 Conclusion and Recommendations 13 5.1 Conclusion 13 5.2 Recommendation 13
Reference……………………………………………………………………………………………………14
Appendix……………………………………………………………………………………………………..15
CHAPTER ONE

1 Introduction

1. Background Of The Study

Economic literatures on economic growth models such as Harrod Domar and Solow growth model suggested that saving is an essential factor to the working of any economic growth. As capital formation is an important factor in economic

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Good Essays

    -discuss the role of physical capital in economic growth, the “catch-up” effect and diminishing returns…

    • 544 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    After WW2, in South East Asia there was a high risk of spread of communism. In America's opinion, South East Asia countries were like dominoes: if one of them turned communism, others would follow its example. This is why in 1954 President Eisenhower decided to support South Vietnam in order to stop the spread of communism. By 1963 there were 17000 US advisors in South Vietnam. At that time the president of Vietnam was Diem, disliked by the most of the population, especially Buddhists which were persecuted because of their religion (Diem was catholic). In protest, Buddhist monks marched the streets and set themselves on fire. The same year the coup against Diem was planned and it was supported by the US government.…

    • 1002 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    It is generally recognised that a developed, or developing, economy requires a sophisticated and stable financial system to support future growth. Savings represents future potential for capital investment in productive units. A highly developed and efficient financial system will encourage savings as investors will have confidence to invest in the range of financial assets available. An investor will have a choice of investment opportunities with varying levels of risk, return (yield), liquidity and maturity. Within a stable financial system an investor will be confident of receipt of cash flows attached to an investment; interest payments and principal repayment. At the same time the financial system encourages economic development by providing various sources of funds to borrowers. The system facilitates the efficient allocation of resources to arguably the most productive users of the funds. This is achieved through the market pricing mechanism; that is, the cost of funds.…

    • 860 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Economic Forecasting

    • 323 Words
    • 2 Pages

    The study of macroeconomics demonstrates how individuals purchase, sell, and use raw materials to drive the economy around the globe. A useful source of data could be attained from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) where a person could gather current or historic data. After the collection of the data a researcher could utilize the International Monetary Funds website to see a forecast of any certain country. On the IMF website there are several choices for data such as International Financial Statics, Principal Global Indicators, and World Economic Outlook Databases. This informational data is useful for the inflation of good and services, tracking the market value of goods and services (gross domestic product), and other macroeconomic indicators for more than 200 countries.…

    • 323 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    Circling the idea of stories relating much to another story is clearly demonstrated in the transfer of character comparisons in Macbeth by William Shakespeare with “A Tell Tale Heart” by Edgar Allen Poe is very evident. In the two stories, both of the main characters are not that different then each other; they are both built upon the same characteristics and lead forward by their thriving ambitions. Firstly, in the play before Macbeth’s eyes appears a dagger. This dagger represents much more than death; he seeing this in his mind was what led Macbeth into the room of King Duncan. He was much confused with Banquo proclaiming his loyalty for the King, as he stood there asking “Is this a dagger which I see before me, the handle towards my hand? Come, let me clutch thee/ Mine eyes are made the fools o’th’other senses/ the bell invites me…That summons thee to heaven or to hell (II. i. 32-66). In the short story the main character’s last straw to go forth and finally commit the murder, was the hard beating of the old man’s heart. He/she stood there waiting “but the beating grew louder, louder! I thought the heart would burst. And now the anxiety seized me…the old man’s hour had come! (2). These are very similar scenarios in two different stories; in both the story and the play the protagonists both have a goal and this is like a final string for them, they both imagine these items/senses but yet these made up objects had such a big impact on the protagonist to make them actually commit it. These both revolve around the idea of murder overcoming all senses. Secondly, in the play Macbeth gains confidence through the pervasion of the 3 witches and this leads to his demise. He listens to the witch stating about the forest falling “That will never be: Who can impress the forest, bid the tree unfix his earthbound root? / Macbeth shall live the lease of nature” (IV. i. 93-102). Also in the…

    • 489 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    Growth Rates

    • 1018 Words
    • 4 Pages

    There are three categories of factors that contribute to a low or high growth rates. These categories are the demand factor, the efficiency factor, and supply factors. Government spending or exports can lead to a higher to aggregate demand and higher economic growth. “Economic growth requires increases in total spending to realize the output gain made available by increased production capacity” (McConnell, 2012, p. 513). One way to accomplish this is by lowering interest rates. Lower interest rates make borrowing cheaper. This encourages consumers to spend more money. Efficiency is attained when resources are used “…in the least costly way to produce the specific mix of goods and services that maximizes people’s well-being” (McConnell, 2012, p. 513). For example, when human resources are not being used to their full potential unemployment will increase. As unemployment increases, total spending will decrease. This will lower growth rates. Supply factors such as increases in natural resources, increases in human resources, increases in the supply of capital goods, and improvements in technology create a higher economic growth rate (McConnell, 2012, p. 512).…

    • 1018 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    The saving “identity” where S=I holds true by definition but it’s complexity is that this does not mean that an increase in savings will automatically increase investment. The relationship is more complex. As discussed in class, to bring S and I in line, the composition of other elements of the economy change when S or I change.…

    • 1967 Words
    • 8 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Best Essays

    Glob

    • 3684 Words
    • 11 Pages

    Hossain, S. and Mitra, R. 2013. The Determinants of Economic Growth in Africa:A Dynamic Causality and Panel Cointegration Analysis. Economic Analysis & Policy, 43(2), pp.217-226.…

    • 3684 Words
    • 11 Pages
    Best Essays
  • Good Essays

    The capital accumulation model is a simple model which has only a few main variables. The main variables included output, current consumption, investment, work hours and leisure. The model has assumed that many individual are identical and exited permanently. The mathematical representation of the agents’ utility is [pic] where consumption and leisure are the variables of the utility function. The agents are maximizing their utility and live forever. Work hours and capital are the variables of calculating the production function. The equation of the production function is [pic]. Since the capital K can be depreciated, the capital stock is describe by [pic], where [pic] is the percentage of depreciated assets.…

    • 723 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    ▪ “Macroeconomic developments in Ethiopia.” Presentation to the Japan business community, July, 2011, NBE, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.…

    • 4535 Words
    • 19 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    At the moment of being ask about their saving, most people will tell that they wish that they saved more (Motika, 2013). Saving is a personal choice and of course individual has the ability to choose differently, instantly at this moment or in the future if they can grasp the art of saving.…

    • 1691 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Better Essays

    marketing

    • 856 Words
    • 4 Pages

    From the work of Field and Keller (1998), there are some relationships among EST, EFT, LST, LFT, duration and TF in an activity-on-node. (See Table 1) Meanwhile, there are some types of dependency, but finish-to-start lag is normal one. In the network diagram drawn, it uses the finish-to-start relationship.…

    • 856 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    We obviously have a real problem saving money, which threatens our national stability and the escalating epidemic even has a name: “Financial Illiteracy.” Evidence of our growing Financial Illiteracy is seen in studies by the Government Accountability Office (GAO), which show that by 2050 a full one-third of Americans will have saved absolutely nothing in 401(k)-style accounts. We also know that a majority of U.S. workers fail to participate in savings programs sufficient to provide for an adequate retirement. While a mere 11% of workers under 35 participate in company 401(k) programs, 25% of all workers save nothing at all and the paltry 34% who do try to save tend…

    • 1223 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    Ethiopia Research Paper

    • 441 Words
    • 2 Pages

    Numerous countries in the world have changed in their political, social, and economic systems over time. One of the countries that changed to a better country is Ethiopia. Ethiopia has over 85 different ethnic groups, each with their own language, customs, clothing and cultural practices. Although they bear some minor similarities, the difference between the past Ethiopia and the present Ethiopia is significant. In the past, 20 years ago, Ethiopia had poor economy and political instability; however, today Ethiopia has a strong economy and more political stability.…

    • 441 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Better Essays

    Understanding the response of personal savings and expenditure to changes in the interest rates is a central to many issues in the economic policy. If personal savings decline as a result, the overall increase in the national savings would be less than the reduction in the budget deficit. Alternatively, contractionary monetary policy generally causes interest rates to rise. It personal saving increase as a result, the corresponding fall in consumer expenditure helps to slow the economy.…

    • 1083 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Better Essays