Research Project Management Skills
February 2011
By Emmanouil Kaldis,
Student: Emmanouil Kaldis 090043443
Subject: THE DISPOSITION EFFECT
Behavioral finance and stock trading: what does the empirical evidence tell us about the disposition effect?
INTRODUCTION.
One will think that when a stock is considered a winner the investor will be willing to hold this stock and try to get rid of the loser stocks. In contrast, studies have indicated that there is an anomaly affecting the investor’s behavior on stock trading. In Hersh Shefrin and Mein Statman’s report (1985) this anomaly is referred as a disposition effect and it is related to investors’ tendency on selling assets whose price has substantially increased too quickly but also holding losers too long. In other words, investors have a propensity to recognize gains while in the same time are less willing to recognize losses. Due to this fact, several papers have been published to illustrate the outcome the disposition effect has on several aspects of stock trading. Taking this in consideration, this paper focuses on the features of this effect in the extend of the angles these economists have presented their empirical evidence.
LITERATURE REVIEW Following the Prospect Theory raised by Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman (1986), Shefrin and Statman (1985) take a further step and try to examine the decisions that might have a crucial impact on the decision making on realizing gains and losses in a market setting. Through their empirical evidence they include elements such as mental accounting, self-control, regret aversion and tax consideration in order to perceive these results and widen the prospect theory. In addition, Shefrin and Statman (1985) taking into consideration the work of Constantinides(1985), who studied a strategic optimization of short term- gains and losses through US tax code, came up the December effect. Constantinides(1985) argued that the returns on an
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