The Quantity of output supplied = natural rate of output + a (actual price level expected price level) Shortrun AS curve might shift
1. Changes in labor, capital, natural resources, technology
2. Expected price level increases, AS curve shifts left
3. Causes of economic fluctuations:
a. Assumption:
i.
Economic begins in longrun equilibrium
b. LongRun equilibrium:
i.
intersection of AD and LRAS:
1. Outputnatural rate
2. Actual price level
4. Intersection of AD and short run AS curve:
a. Expected price level = actual price level
b.
Shift in Aggregate demand:
1. Wave of pessimism ⇒ AD shifts left
2.
# Econ 20B Lecture 22 2
3.
4. Short Run:
a. Output falls, price level falls
5. Long Run:
a. SRAS shifts right
b. Output natural rate
c. price level falls
6. Steps for analyzing fluctuations:
a. Start in equilibrium
b. Determine which curve will shift
c. Find the effect in the short run
d. Find the longrun equilibrium
Shifts in AS
1. Firms increases in production costs
a. AS curve shift left
2. ShortRun: stagflation
a. Output falls
b. Price level increase
c.
# Econ 20B Lecture 22 3
3. LongRun:
a. If AD is held constant
i.
Output natural rate ii. price level decreases
b. If AD shifts to right (Policy)
i.
Output natural rate ii. Price level increase
iii.
Problem 1: (P 754)
1. 2. Output falls, price level also decreases, unemployment rate increases
3. Nominal wages constant, the price level decreases, the real wages increases,