Lectures 1 & 2
Statistics for Econometrics
POPULATION AND SAMPLE
Population – the group of ALL people or objects that are under study
Sample – a sub-set of the population
Parameter – a numerical characteristic of a population
1. Population & Sample Means
2. Expected Values
3. Population & Sample Variances
4. Population & Sample Covariances
5. Population & Sample Correlation Coefficients
6. Estimators
Statistic – a numerical characteristic of a sample
Statistical inference – drawing conclusion about a population based on information contained in a sample
Random sample – every sample of the same size in the population has the same chance of being selected
1
2
POPULATION MEAN AND SAMPLE MEAN
Set of all possible values of a random variable X
Parameters: population mean µ
2
population variance σ X
Given a random variable X (e.g. IQ scores, weights of all students, salaries of all workers, outcomes from tossing a die)
We consider a random sample of size n the sample containing n observations of X denoted by
x1 , x2 , x3 ....,xn
Sample mean = X =
Take many random samples of size n
1 n
∑ xi n i =1
Population mean of X =
µ
For each random sample of size n drawn from the population,
Statistics: sample mean
X
sample variance s 2
= E(X )
X
More on expected values later…
3
Set of all possible values X
…follows a normal distribution, if there are more than 30 random samples
4
1
EXPECTED VALUE OF A RANDOM VARIABLE X
EXPECTED VALUE OF A RANDOM VARIABLE X (continued)
Expected value of X = E(X)
If X is a continuous random variable:
E ( X ) = ∫All x x f ( x ) dx
If X is a discrete random variable: n E ( X ) = x1 p1 + ... + xn pn = ∑ xi pi
xi
i =1
= all possible values of X
f(x) = the probability density function, p.d.f
xi = all possible values of X pi = the probability associated with it n = the number of observations
Note