Vol. 2, No. 2; May 2010
Efficient Market Hypothesis and Market Anomaly: Evidence from Day-of-the Week Effect of Malaysian Exchange
Nik Maheran Nik Muhammad & Nik Muhd Naziman Abd. Rahman
Faculty of Business Management, Universiti Teknologi Mara, Kelantan
Kampus Kota Bharu, 15150, Kota Bharu, Kelantan Malaysia
Tel: 60-12-966-5402
E-mail: nmaheran@kelantan.uitm.edu.my
Abstract
The movements of prices in the stock market are among a few phenomena that have cut across the boundaries of academic disciplines and have cumulative research evidence spanning almost a century. Today the field of financial market research seems to be at the exciting stage of “crisis” – past results are being questioned, and new solutions are being proposed. The preliminary evidence indicates that the initial confidence in the Efficient
Market Hypothesis (EMH) might have been misplaced. Various anomalies and inconsistent results make EMH fail to depict trading operations in real world. The presence of calendar anomalies has been documented extensively for the last two decades in financial markets. However, for the Malaysian market, empirical analyses on the market anomaly were limited and contradicting. Some studies indicated market anomalies exist and some indicated non-exist. Hence, the present study was trying to sought for the answer of following questions: Is the return on common stocks usually distributed, as much as finance theory assumes? How has the volatility of stock returns changed over time? How is the distribution of returns affected by past returns? Generally, it was found that, day of the week-effect exist in Malaysian Exchange but only for the Monday effect.
Keywords: Efficient Market Hypothesis, Market Anomaly, Day of the week effect
1. Introduction
The distribution of returns on common stocks is one of the most widely studied in the financial market and the presence of calendar anomalies has been
References: Abraham, A. and D. Ikenberry. (1994). “The Individual Investor and the Weekend Effect”. Journal of Finance and Quantitative Analysis 29: 263-277. Adam, D. (2004). “Publicized Investment Recommendations: Announcement Effects and Abnormal Returns”. Aggarwal, R., and P. Rivoli. (1989). “Seasonal and Day of the Week Effects in Four Emerging Stock Markets.” Financial Review 24: 541-550. Anuar M. N and Shamser M. (1993). “The Efficiency of the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange: A Collection of Empirical Findings, Malaysia”: Penerbitan Universiti Pertanian. Balaban, E. (1995). “Day of the Week Effects: New Evidence from an Emerging Market.” Applied Economics Letters 2: 139-143. Ball, R.J. and Brown, P. (1968). "An empirical evaluation of accounting income numbers," Journal of Accounting Research 6, 159-178. Barone, E. (1990). “The Italian Stock Market: Efficiency and Calendar Anomalies.” Journal of Banking and Finance 14: 483-510. Bildik, R. (1999). Calendar Effect in Instanbul Stock Market. Journal of Financial Economic. 75(2), 283-317. Chen Y. and Liang, B. (2004). “Timing Ability in the Focus Market of Asian country” Journal of Finance, 59(6): 2871-2901, Claessens, S. and Gooptu, S. (eds.) (1993). Portfolio investments in developing countries, World Bank Discussion Papers, 228. Claessens, S. and Rhee, M. W. (1994). The Effects of Barriers on Equity Investment in Developing Countries, The World Bank Policy Research Papers, 1263. Cornelius, P. K. (1993). A Note on the Informational Efficiency of Emerging Stock Markets, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 129, 820-8. Cross, F. (1973). “The Behavior of Stock Prices on Friday and Mondays.” Financial Analysts Journal 29: 67-69. DeBondt and Thaler. (1990). Do Security Analysts Overreact? American Economic Review, 80(2), 52-57 Dimitrios and Katerina (2003) Dreaman, D.N and Lufkin. (2000). Investor overreaction: Evidence that its basis is psychological, The Journal of Psychology and Financial Markets, Vol Fama, E. F. (1965). The Behavior of Stock Market Prices, Journal of Business, 28, 34-105. French, K.R. (1980). “Stock Returns and the Weekend Effect.” Journal of Finance and Economics 8: 55-70. Fortune, P. (1999). “Are Stock Returns Different Over Weekends? A Jump Diffusion Analysis of the Weekend Effect”.1-19. Gao L. and Gerhard Kling. (2005). Calendar Effects in Chinese Stock Market. Journals of economics and Finance Hakan, B. and K. Halil. (2001). “The Day of the Week Effect on Stock Market Volatility.” Journal of Economics and Finance 25(2): 181-190 Ho, R.Y. and Y. Cheung. (1994). “Seasonal Pattern in Volatility in Asian Stock Markets.” Applied Financial Economics 4: 61-67. Hauser, S., Marcus, M., and Yaari, U. (1994). Investing in Emerging Markets: Is It Worthwhile Hedging Foreign Exchange Risk? Journal of Portfolio Management, (Spring), 76-81. Jaffe, J. and R. Westerfield. (1985). “The Weekend Effect in Common Stock Returns: The International Evidence.” Journal of Finance 40: 433-454. Keim, D. B and R. Stambaugh. (1984). “A Further Investigation of the Week End Effect in Stock Return.” Journal of Finance and Economies 39: 819-835. Kok, K. L. and Y. C. Wong. (2004). “Seasonal Anomalies of Stocks in ASEAN Equity Markets.” Sunway College Journal 1: 1-11. Lakonishok, J. and S. Smidt. (1989). “Are Seasonal Anomalies Real? A Ninety-Year Perspective.” The review of Financial Studies 1: 403-425. Mansor H. Ibrahim. (1997). “New Evidence on Day of-the Week Effect in the Malaysian Stock Market.” Capital Market Reviews 5(1): 23-33. Marashdeh, O. (1994). “Calendar Anomalies: Evidence from Four Asian-Pacific Stock Markets.” KELOLA 7: 138-150. Mullin, J. (1993). Emerging Equity Markets in the Global Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Quarterly Review, 18, 54-83. Paul A., and Theodore P. (2006) “Modeling and Forecasting Volatility of Returns on the Ghana Stock Exchange Using GARCH Models”, Journal of emerging market in finance, 4(2), 115-132 Rogalski, R. (1984). “New Findings Regarding Day of the Week Returns over Trading and Non Trading Periods.” Journal of Finance and Economies 39: 1603- 1614. Sekaran, U. (2003). “Research Methods for Business.” (4th Edition). John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Smirlock, M. and Starks, L. (1986). Day-of-the-week and intraday effects in stock returns, Journal of Financial Economics, 17, 197–210. Solnik, B. and L. Bousquet. (1990). “Day-of-the-week Effect on the Paris Bourse.” Journal of Banking and Finance 14: 461-468. Thomas, H. (2002). “Trends and Calendar Effects in Stock Returns” Australian Technical Analysts Association Journal, 222-234. Wong, K.T. Hui and C.Chan. (1992). “Day-of-the-week effects: Evidence from developing stock markets.” Applied Financial Economics 2: 49-56. Yong, O. (1995). “Influence of the End-of-the week Performances of the New York Stock Exchange and the Tokyo Stock Exchange on the Beginning of-the-week Performance of the KLSE.” Capital Markets Review Table 1. Summary statistic for daily index of KLCI (n=2085) Statistic