Table 1. Cases against time.
Date | Number of cases by area. | Total number of cases | | Town A | Town B | Village Y | Farm K | | 5th July | | | 1 | | 1 | 11th July | 2 | | 2 | | 4 | 12th July | 3 | | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13th July | 5 | | 3 | | 8 | 14th July | 1 | 1 | 1 | | 3 | 15th July | 1 | | | | 1 | 16th July | 1 | | | | 1 | 18th July | | | 2 | | 1 | 19th July | | | 1 | | 1 |
From the data summarised above, it is clear that statistically most reported cases were notified to the Proper Office between the 11th and 14th July, peaking with a modal value on the 13th July.
At the point in time when the above data was released there was no information available on the potential bacterium that could be leading to the outbreak, however there was information on symptoms, with nearly all patients reporting a sudden onset of diarrhoea and only half or less from vomiting and headaches. Therefore before using this data to suggest when a common exposure date may have occurred it is important to consider 2 points; firstly the incubation period (the time between consuming a contaminated product and the first signs of illness) and secondly the symptoms commonly seem as a result from the ingestion of food poisoning bacterium.
Using the information available and symptom charts from Sprenger, R. (2008: 24-25) it would be reasonable to rule out the infections being caused by bacterium such as Staphylococci, Bascillus or Campylobacter spp. due to the fact that diarrhoea is not a typically common symptom for these strains of bacteria, yet was experienced by 98% of the known suffers. On the same grounds the infection is also unlike to have been caused by bacterium of Shigella or Escherichia spp. as although