Birmingham, November 2011 Nico Bacharidis
Globally, Tenders & Contracts cover more than half of the Gx market, and also affect around 14% of the patented pharma market . In Mature markets the share of tenders - both patented and protected – is a bit lower.
•Estimated Size1) of Tendered and Contracted Pharma Market ($bn)
•27% of total pharma •$210bn 767 160 Tendered Contracted 141 Generics Total Gx Mar ket
•Tendered and Contracted Market by Gx and Patented
($bn)
210
•Over 50% of the global Generics market is tendered
•(52%) 141
129
•USD billions, 2009
52
270
•(67%)
Tendered or
Contracted Not Tendered
555
Not tendered
•~14% of the global Patented market is tendered
69 Patented •(14%) Total Patent 428 69 497 ed Mar ket Tendered or ContractedTendered Not
•(33%)
Total global market USD bn
•Source: Booz & Company analysis, IMS Data, Expert market interviews in 19 markets worldwide
2
The share of generics, as well as tendering and contracting is significantly higher in Emerging Markets than in Mature markets (Western Europe). We expect both to grow in Western Europe over the coming years.
•% Market Tendered •Mature vs. Emerging Markets
•(2009)
•% Generic Value Share •Mature vs. Emerging Markets
•(2009) 181 585
27% 62%
•$bn Projected Growth •Mature vs. Emerging Markets
+2% •(2009)
100%
•CAGR
640 585
16% 7% 36% Tendered
Generics
158
196
•CAGR
+11% 310
6%
Contracted
77% 57% Not tendered
73% 427 38% Patented 445 181 112
144 Generics
167 Patented 69 Average mature markets Average Emerging markets Average mature markets Average Emerging markets 2009 2014 •Mature Markets Forecast 2009 2014 •Emerging Markets Forecast
•Source: Booz & Company analysis, IMS Data, Expert market interviews in 19 markets worldwide • Data extrapolated for MM region based on data from