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Jacobson and Mizik 2009

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Jacobson and Mizik 2009
Vol. 28, No. 5, September–October 2009, pp. 809–818 issn 0732-2399 eissn 1526-548X 09 2805 0809

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doi 10.1287/mksc.1090.0495 © 2009 INFORMS

INFORMS holds copyright to this article and distributed this copy as a courtesy to the author(s). Additional information, including rights and permission policies, is available at http://journals.informs.org/.

The Financial Markets and Customer Satisfaction: Reexamining Possible Financial Market Mispricing of Customer Satisfaction
Robert Jacobson
Diogenes Consulting, Seattle, Washington 98109, bob.jacobson@diogenesconsulting.com

Natalie Mizik
Graduate School of Business, Columbia University, New York, New York 10027, nm2079@columbia.edu

W

e investigate the association between information contained in the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) metric and future stock market performance. Some past research has provided results suggesting that the financial markets misprice customer satisfaction; i.e., firms advantaged in customer satisfaction are posited to earn positive future-period abnormal stock returns. We reexamine this relationship and find that statistically significant evidence of financial market mispricing of customer satisfaction is limited to firms in the computer and Internet sector. The results suggest that the mispricing anomaly reported in past research appears not to stem from a systemic failure of the financial markets to impound the financial implications of customer satisfaction into current stock price, but rather from abnormal returns achieved by a small group of satisfaction leaders in the computer and Internet sector over the period of study. Analyses based on unconditional risk covariates and analyses using conditional risk covariates estimated from short-window, high-frequency data support this finding. Key words: marketing metrics; valuation; mispricing; customer satisfaction; financial performance; efficient markets History: Received: January 12, 2009; accepted: February



References: Aksoy, L., B. Cooil, C. Groening, T. L. Keiningham, A. Yalçın. 2008. The long-term stock market valuation of customer satisfaction. J. Marketing 72(4) 105–122. Barber, B. M., J. D. Lyon. 1997. Detecting long-run abnormal stock returns: The empirical power and specification of test statistics. J. Financial Econom. 43(3) 341–372. Carhart, M. 1997. On persistence in mutual fund performance. J. Finance 52(1) 57–82. Chambers, D. J., R. Jennings, R. B. Thompson. 2002. Excess returns to R&D-intensive firms. Rev. Accounting Stud. 7(2–3) 133–158. Chan, L. K. C., J. Lakonishok, T. Sougiannis. 2001. The stock market valuation of research and development expenditures. J. Finance 56(6) 2431–2456. Chow, G. C. 1960. Tests of equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regressions. Econometrica 28(3) 591–605. Daniel, K., S. Titman. 2003. Market reactions to tangible and intangible information. NBER Working Paper 9743. http://www.nber.org/papers/w9743.pdf. Daniel, K., D. Hirshleifer, A. Subrahmanyam. 1998. Investor psychology and security market under- and overreactions. J. Finance 53(6) 1839–1885. Dewald, W. G., J. G. Thursby, R. G. Anderson. 1986. Replication in empirical economics: The journal of money, credit and banking project. Amer. Econom. Rev. 76(4) 587–603. Eberhart, A. C., W. F. Maxwell, A. R. Siddique. 2004. An examination of long-term abnormal stock returns and operating performance following R&D increases. J. Finance 59(2) 623–650. Fama, E. F. 1998. Market efficiency, long-term returns, and behavioral finance. J. Financial Econom. 49(3) 283–306. 818 Jacobson and Mizik: Reexamining Possible Financial Market Mispricing of Customer Satisfaction Marketing Science 28(5), pp. 809–818, © 2009 INFORMS INFORMS holds copyright to this article and distributed this copy as a courtesy to the author(s). Additional information, including rights and permission policies, is available at http://journals.informs.org/. Fornell, C., S. Mithas, F. V. Morgeson III, M. S. Krishnan. 2006. Customer satisfaction and stock prices: High returns, low risk. J. Marketing 70(1) 3–14. Hauser, J. R., D. I. Simester, B. Wernerfelt. 1994. Customer satisfaction incentives. Marketing Sci. 13(4) 327–350. Lewellen, J., S. Nagel. 2006. The conditional CAPM does not explain asset-pricing anomalies. J. Financial Econom. 82(2) 289–314. McAlister, L., R. Srinivasan, M. Kim. 2007. Advertising, research and development, and systematic risk of the firm. J. Marketing 71(1) 35–48. Mizik, N., R. Jacobson. 2007. Myopic marketing management: Evidence of the phenomenon and its long-term performance consequences in the SEO context. Marketing Sci. 26(3) 361–379. O’Sullivan, D., M. C. Hutchinson, V. O’Connell. 2009. Empirical evidence of the stock market’s (mis)pricing of customer satisfaction. Internat. J. Res. Marketing 26(2) 154–161. Pástor, L., P. Veronesi. 2007. Technological revolutions and stock prices. Working paper, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago, Chicago.

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