Spring 2012 Update
Milan, 7th May 2012
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent
2011: a new peak for luxury goods consumption
WORLDWIDE PERSONAL LUXURY MARKET EVOLUTION (1995-2011E, €B)
Sept 11 SARS $/€ Subprime & Japan financial crisis earthquake Socio-Economic Turbulence
191 170 159 147 128 108 77 85 92 96 133 133 128 136 167 153 173
+10% +13%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011E
2
Holiday season confirmed strong
PERSONAL LUXURY GOODS MARKET BY QUARTER HOLIDAY SEASON • Another strong holiday season
€173B
4,8
4,8
3,5
4,7 €191B
- Shoppers have been lured with doorbuster deals weeks in advance - High footfall in department stores
• Asian market driving growth, especially China and Hong Kong
+10%
• Mature markets keeping pace
- US positive results, record of Black Friday retail sales - First signals of slow down in Italy and Spain
2010 Q1
QoQ 12% growth
Q2
12%
Q3
8%
Q4 2011E
10%
• Boom of on-line sales starting from November
3
2011: No signs of slow down for the booming Asian market, and mature markets showing real strength
WORLDWIDE PERSONAL LUXURY GOODS MARKET BY AREA YoY ‘10 vs ‘09 YoY ‘11E vs ‘10
@K @K
+13%
+8%
+10% +10% +27% +2%
+13%
Rest of World Asia-Pacific Japan
+16% +28% ±0%
+9%
+11%
+21%
+29%
-6%
+4%
Americas
+16%
+10%
+9%
+12%
Europe
+10%
+4%
+7%
+10%
4
2011: The rebound of hard luxury is the key contributor to market growth
WORLDWIDE PERSONAL LUXURY GOODS MARKET BY CATEGORY
YoY ‘10 vs ‘09
+13%
YoY ‘11E vs ‘10
+10% +3% +19%
Art de la table Hard Luxury Perfume and Cosmetics
+2% +23%
+6%
+4%
Accessories
+17%
+13%
Apparel
+12%
+8%
5
2012: