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Monetary Aggregate Targeting vs. Inflation Targeting: the Case of the Philippines

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Monetary Aggregate Targeting vs. Inflation Targeting: the Case of the Philippines
Chapter 1: Introduction and Background of the Study

1.1 Background of the Study: In almost all countries, monetary authority is governed by a central bank. In some countries, it is called federal reserve or reserve bank. Other countries like Andorra, Monaco and North Korea do not have a central bank due to various reasons. The central bank has always been responsible in managing the nation's money supply or its monetary policy through managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during financial crisis. In the past years, central banks in industrialized countries have made great pace in the regulation of monetary policy. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas or BSP is the central bank of the Republic of the Philippines. It was established on July 3, 1993 which it took over from the Central Bank of Philippines or CBP. The BSP enjoys fiscal and administrative autonomy from the national government in the pursuit of its mandated responsibilities. And because the central bank is the one implementing monetary policy, which they discuss in detailed, the primary objective of BSP's monetary policy is to promote a low and stable inflation conducive to a balanced and sustainable economic growth. In order for the BSP to better achieve this objective, the inflation targeting framework for monetary policy was adopted in January 2002 after the monetary aggregate targeting framework. Under the monetary aggregate targeting, the BSP fixes money growth so as to minimize expected inflation. However, under the current framework, BSP sets monetary policy so that price level is not just zero in expectation but is also zero regardless of latter shocks (Gochoco-Bautista, 2001).
The inflation rate of a country has always been one of the most significant economic indicators. It indicates how well the economy is doing and how well the economy is going to do in the future. According to the Department of Economic Research of



Bibliography: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas. Inflation Report. Retrieved November 10, 2012, from http://www.bsp.gov.ph/publications/regular_inflation.asp. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas. Overview of the BSP. Retrieved November 10, 2012, from http://www.bsp.gov.ph/about/overview.asp. Bernanke, B.S., and Ilian M. (1997). What Does the Bundesbank Target?. Bernanke, B.S., Laubach T., Posen A.S. and Mishkin F.S. (1999). Inflation Targeting: Lessons from the International Experience Princeton University Press Caglaya, E., (2010) Debelle, G. and Lim, C.H. (1998). Preliminary Considerations of an Inflation Targeting Framework of the Philippines Economy Watch. (2010). Inflation and Unemployment. Retrieved February 1, 2013, from http://www.economywatch.com/inflation/economy/ Gottschalk, J. and Moore, D. (2001). Implementing Inflation Targeting Regimes: The Case of Poland Heakal, R. (2010). What is the Quantity Theory of Money?. Retrieved January 21, 2013, from Hoover, K. Phillip’s Curve. Retrieved February 1, 2013, from, http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/PhillipsCurve.html. Index Mundi. Philippines Unemployment Rate. Retrieved November 10, 2012, from, http://www.indexmundi.com/philippines/unemployment_rate.html. Industrial Relations Counselors. (1998). Low Inflation and Low Unemployment: How Can It Be? Jha, R. (2008). Inflation Targeting in India: Issues and Prospects. International Review of Applied Economics, Vol Lim, J. (2008). Central Banking in the Philippines: From Inflation Targeting to Financing Development Mishkin, F.S. (2000). From Monetary Targeting to Inflation Targeting: Lessons from the Industrialized Countries Retrieved November 10, 2012, from http://www.nscb.gov.ph/secstat/d_labor.asp. Riley G. (2006). Monetarism and the Quantity Theory of Money. Eton College. Riley G. (2012). Economic Growth. Retrieved November 10, 2012, from http://www.tutor2u.net/economics/revision-notes/as-macro-economic Retrieved November 10, 2012, from http://www.ukessays.com/ World Bank. GDP Growth Rate. Retrieved November 10, 2012, from World Bank. Inflation. Retrieved November 10, 2012, from Table 8. Inflation Rates and Unemployment Rates (1993- 2012) | Input Y - Inflation Rates Input X - Unemployment Rates | | |

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