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Monetary in Vietnam: Alternatives to Inflation Targeting

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Monetary in Vietnam: Alternatives to Inflation Targeting
Monetary Policy in Vietnam: Alternatives to Inflation Targeting

Le Anh Tu Packard (tu.packard@gmail.com)

Fifth Draft July 2007

Paper prepared for the Political Economy Research Institute (PERI) at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst with support from the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UNDESA). Earlier versions of this paper were presented to the May 2005 CEDES/Amherst Research Conference in Buenos Aires and the July 2005 Da Nang Symposium on Continuing Renovation of the Economy and Society. Financial support for this project has been provided by the Ford Foundation, UNDESA, and the Rockefeller Brothers Foundation. My gratitude and thanks go to two anonymous referees, Gerald Epstein, Erinc Yeldan, Jaime Ros, Lance Taylor, Per Berglund, and Phillipe Scholtes for their insightful comments and valuable ideas, and also to numerous colleagues in Vietnam including Dang Nhu Van for their helpful feedback. I am responsible for all remaining errors and omissions.

List of Acronyms and Abbreviations
ASEAN BFTV BIDV CEPT CIEM CMEA CPRGS DAF FDI FIE GC GDI GDP GNP GSO HDI IMF JV NEER ODA PE PER PRGF PRSC RCC REER ROSCA SBV SOCB SOE UCC UNDP VCP VLSS WTO Association of South East Asian Nations Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam Bank for Investment and Development of Vietnam Common Effective Preferential Tariff Central Institute for Economic Management Council of Mutual Economic Assistance Comprehensive Poverty Reduction and Growth Strategy Development Assistance Fund Foreign Direct Investment Foreign-Invested Enterprise General Corporation Gender-related Development Index Gross Domestic Product Gross National Product General Statistical Office Human Development Index International Monetary Fund Joint Venture Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Official Development Assistance Private Enterprise Public Expenditure Review Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility Poverty Reduction Support Credit Rural Credit Cooperative Real Effective Exchange



References: Bernanke, Ben and Frederic Mishkin. 1997. “Inflation Targeting: A New Framework for Monetary Policy?” Journal of Economic Perspectives 11, 2. Spring 1997. Carare, Alina, Andrea Schaechter, Mark Stone and Mark Zelmer. 2002. “Establishing Initial Conditions in Support of Inflation Targeting.” IMF Working Paper WP/02/102. June 2002. Camen, Ulrich. 2006. “Monetary Policy in Vietnam: the case of a transition country.” BIS Papers No. 31. December 2006. Hauskrecht, Andreas and Nguyen Thanh Hai. 2004. “Dollarization in Viet Nam.” International Monetary Fund. 1998. “Vietnam: Selected Issues and Statistical Annex.” IMF Staff Country Report No. 98/30. April 1998. International Monetary Fund. 1999. “Vietnam: Selected Issues.” IMF Staff Country Report No. 99/55. July 1999. International Monetary Fund. 2003. Statement by Sean Nolan (Division Chief, IMF Asia and Pacific Department) at the Consultative Group Meeting for Vietnam. December 2003. International Monetary Fund. 2004. “Staff Report for the 2004 Article IV Consultation.” November 2004. Kovsted, Jens, John Rand, Finn Tarp, Nguyen Dinh Tai, Nguyen Van Huong, and Ta Minh Thao. 2002. “Financial Sector Reforms in Vietnam: Selected Issues and Problems.” CIEM/NIAS Discussion Paper No. 0301. Hanoi, Vietnam. Le Xuan Nghia. 2005. “Orientations of the Banking Sector Development Strategy towards International Integration.” Paper presented at the January 18, 2005 Seminar on “Preparation for the 2006-2010 Five Year Social Economic Development Plan in the Banking Sector”. Monetary Authority of Singapore. 2001. “Singapore’s Exchange Rate Policy”. (Available at www.mas.gov.sg.) Nguyen Duc Thao. 2004. “Strategy for the Development of Banking Services in Vietnam in the Context of International Economic Integration.” Project VIE/02/009 Banking Service Sector. Hanoi, Vietnam. August 2004. Tran Van Tho, Nguyen Ngoc Duc, Nguyen Van Chinh, and Nguyen Quan. 2000. Kinh Te Vietnam. 1955 – 2000. Tinh Toan Moi, Phan Tich Moi (Vietnam Economy. 1955 – 2000. New Estimates, New Analysis). Statistical Publishing House. Hanoi. December 2000. UNIDO. 2004. “Vietnam Agenda 21. National Conference and Forum on Sustainable Development in Vietnam. Forum on Sustainable Industry and Business.” Hanoi. December 2004. Document prepared by UNIDO Country Office in Vietnam. Vo Tri Thanh, Dinh Hien Minh, Do Xuan Trong, Hoang Van Thanh, and Pham Chi Quang. 2001. Exchange Rate in Vietnam: Arrangement, Information Content and Policy Options. Central Institute for Economic Management. Hanoi. February 2001. World Bank. 1991. Transforming a State Owned Financial System. A Financial Sector Study of Vietnam. Washington, D.C. Report No. 9223-VN. Washington, D.C. April 1991. World Bank. 1992. Vietnam:Restructuring Public Finance and Public Enterprises. Washington, D.C. Report No. 10134-VN. Washington, D.C. April 1992.

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