Gregory Marchwinski, Analyst Institute of Intelligence Studies at Mercyhurst University
IISMU: Entry-Level Analyst Hiring Projections for the U.S. I.C., 2012-2013
US Intelligence Community Entry-Level Analyst Hiring Likely Reduced Over Next 12 Months; Cyber Intelligence Prospects Still High
Executive Summary Due to uncertainty over federal government deficit reduction initiatives and a decreasing military presence globally, it is highly likely that overall hiring of entry-level intelligence analysts within the US Intelligence Community (IC) will decrease significantly from recent levels until the next budget cycle begins in October of 2013. The only exception to this general trend is cyber-related positions which are likely to see a moderate increase despite budget cuts. Additionally, it is highly likely that sequestration throughout the IC will significantly limit hiring entry-level intelligence analysts in all analytic functions until defense funding negotiations are resolved.
Discussion In a recent survey to intelligence professionals in the national security sector with direct or significant indirect knowledge of hiring plans, 57.1 percent of respondents said that they either strongly disagree or somewhat disagree that hiring for entry-level analysts is likely to increase over the next 12 months.1 Of those same respondents, a similar 57.1 percent also disagreed that their agency or company would likely increase entry-level analyst hiring over the next 12 months. These responses are slightly elevated from last year’s survey results in which 51 percent of respondents replied strong or somewhat disagreement over entry-level analyst hiring will increase in national security, and 55 percent of respondents disagreed that hiring would increase at their agency or company within the next 12 months.2 The results from this year’s survey and professional environment factors