In any P5F analysis, one must examine the following:
1. The threat of new entrants
2. The bargaining power of buyers/customers
3. The threat of substitute products
4. The amount of bargaining power suppliers have
5. The amount of rivalry among competitors
1. The threat of new entrants
In most markets, the capital and expertise needed to setup an auto or parts manufacturing facility, would be a great enough barrier to entry to prevent many new entrants from setting up.
However, given India's incredible growth forecasts, infrastructure progress (especially new and better roads), and ever-expanding financing options to rural residents, the market is attractive. As such, we expect the threat of new entrants to be high.
Result: Unfavorable
2. The bargaining power of buyers/customers
Buyers in India have a wide variety of choice. There are more than 20 foreign manufacturers selling in India (including ultra high-end such as Rolls-Royce and Lamborghini). Of course there are also a plethora of incredibly cheap choices, like the famous Tata Nano.
Result: Unfavorable
3. The threat of substitute products
India is famous for its two-wheelers (bikes and mopeds) and three-wheelers. These are very real and obvious threats to auto manufacturers.
Result: Unfavorable
4. The amount of bargaining power suppliers have
It is likely that the suppliers to the manufacturers have considerable bargaining power. They are not held ransom by one single manufacturer as they can market their products to any of the others in India.
Result: Unfavorable
5. The amount of rivalry among competitors
High. The industry is not yet in its shake-out phase