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Power Generation
Energy Conversion and Management 43 (2002) 1187–1198 www.elsevier.com/locate/enconman Keynote paper

Thoughts about future power generation systems and the role of exergy analysis in their development
Noam Lior
*

Department of Mechanical Engineering and Applied Mechanics, University of Pennsylvania, 297 Towne Building, 220 South 33rd Street, Philadelphia, PA 19104-6315, USA

Abstract In face of the likely doubling of the world population and perhaps tripling of the power demand over the next 50 years, this paper (1) presents some thoughts on the possible ways to meet the power demands under the constraints of increased population and land use while holding the environmental impact to a tolerable one, and (2) outlines the ways exergy analysis may be effectively used in the conception and development of such processes. To effectively develop the innovative power generation systems needed in the 21st century, irreversibility and exergy analysis should be much more focused on the intrinsic process details. Ó 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Power generation; Second law analysis; Exergy analysis; Nuclear power; Space power

1. Introduction The expected large rise in power demand during the coming 21st century is accompanied by mounting problems with power plant siting, environmental impact, resource shortages, and increasing shortage of available space for fuel and power generation and distribution. Although industry, often assisted by government, is making gradual progress in addressing these problems, the pace of the progress, when extrapolated into the future, is not likely to meet humanity’s needs. Even worse, if not accelerated, it may lead to irreversible harm to the environment and to the ability of future generations to continue their progress towards improved living conditions.

*

Tel.: +1-215-898-4803; fax: +1-215-573-6334. E-mail address: lior@seas.upenn.edu (N. Lior).

0196-8904/02/$ - see front matter Ó 2002



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In: Proceedings of the 25th IECEC, vol. 1. 1990. p. 61–70. [28] Peterson RB. Size limits for regenerative heat engines. In: Microscale thermophysical engineering, vol. 2. New York: ASME; 1998. p. 121–31. [29] Szargut J, Morris DR, Steward FR. Exergy analysis of thermal, chemical and metallurgical processes. New York (NY): Hemisphere; 1988. [30] Bejan A, Tsatsaronis G, Moran M. Thermal design and optimization. New York: Wiley; 1996. [31] Ishida M. The role and limitation of endoreversible thermodynamics. Energy 1999;24:1009–14. [32] Moran MJ. On second-law analysis and the failed promise of finite-time thermodynamics. Energy 1998;23:517–9. [33] Dunbar WR, Lior N, Gaggioli R. The component equations of energy and exergy. ASME J Energy Resour Technol 1992;114:75–82. [34] Tsatsaronis G, editor. Invited papers on exergoeconomics. Energy 1994;19:279–381. [35] El-Sayed Y, Gaggioli RA. A critical review of second law costing methods. Parts I and II. ASME J Energy Resour Technol 1989;111:1–15. [36] Dunbar WR, Lior N. Sources of combustion irreversibility. Combust Sci Technol 1994;103:41–61. [37] Siegel K. Exergie-analyse heterogener Leistungsreaktoren. Brennst-W€rme-Kraft 1970;22:434–40. a [38] Von Pruschek R. Die Exergie der Kernbrenstoffe. Brennst-W€rme-Kraft 1970;22:429–34. a [39] Dunbar WR, Moody SD, Lior N. Exergy analysis of an operating boiling-water-reactor nuclear power station. Energy Convers Manage 1995;36:149–59. [40] Lior N. Energy, exergy and thermoeconomic analysis of the effects of fossil-fuel superheating in nuclear power plants. Energy Convers Manage 1997;38:1585–93. [41] Gyftopoulos EP, Beretta GP. Thermodynamics: foundations and applications. New York: McMillan; 1991. [42] Dunbar WR, Gaggioli RA, Lior N. Thermodynamic reference datums for nuclear reactions. In: Valero A, Tsatsaronis G, editors. International symposium ECOS’92; Zaragoza, Spain. New York: ASME; 1992. p. 49–59. [43] Prokhorov IA. 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