Predictable Mistakes In The Criminal Justice System

Predictable surprises boil down to not being prepared in the face of disasters whether they are predicted by way of natural causes or onset due to human causes. Irons (2005) cites Bazerman and Michael defining predictable surprises as “failure to take preventive action in the face of known threats. According to Iron (2005), organizational processes are central to being effective or not in rational decision-making when responding to predictable surprises. Iron (2005) writes about the low probability of certain events happening and thus, time and resources are not spent on preparing for practical solutions to the event. Heuristic uses the emotions we must guide the choices we make as opposed to having those emotions drive our choices Iron (2005). The affective heuristic can either limit or enhance decision-making. Leaders have a great responsibility to identify points of interest when considering how their organization attempts to avoid, or mitigate the encounters of predictable surprises.
Predictable surprise relates to the criminal justice system in many ways. Throughout history, there have been riots because of improper procedures or the disparity in how the criminal justice system applies justice unevenly. There
One of the ramifications is that the events present day are not as clear as they were before. With the rise of Isis, what once seemed like a horrific crime act now has an added element of determining if the act was a terrorist act against the country or just an individual terrorist act. The increase of homegrown terrorist supporting other countries is growing which is also adding to the complications of solving the intentions behind the actions. There has been a consorted effort of Americans aligning with the enemy and because they are Americans there are undetected by law enforcement unless Homeland Security has identified them through their online