Theorem 1: Suppose Y = ln X is a normal distribution with mean m and variance v, then X has mean exp( m + v /2 ) Proof: The density function of Y= ln X
Therefore the density function of X is given by
Using the change of variable x = exp(y), dx = exp(y) dy, We have
= Note that the integral inside is just the density function of a normal random variable with mean (m-v) and variance v. By definition, the integral evaluates to be 1.
Proof of Black Scholes Formula
Theorem 2: Assume the stock price following the following PDE
Then the option price
for a call option with payoff
is given by
1
Proof: By Ito’s lemma,
If form a portfolio P
Applying Ito’s lemma
Since the portfolio has no risk, by no arbitrage, it must earn the risk free rate,
Therefore we have
Rearranging the terms we have the Black Scholes PDE
With the boundary condition
To solve this PDE, we need the Feynman-Kac theorem: Assume that f is a solution to the boundary value problem:
Then f has the representation:
2
Where S satisfies the following stochastic differential equation
Proof: Suppose that is the solution to the PDE. Let
Applying the Ito’s lemma
Since the last term involves only second order terms only,
Collecting terms we have got
As the first term is simply the PDE, it is zero. Therefore
Integrating from 0 to T
Taking expectation on both side,
Since the integral is a limiting sum of independent Brownian motions increments, i.e. =0 it is zero. Recall that W has independent and stationary increment with a zero mean, i.e. is normally distributed with zero mean. 3
Therefore In other words
End of Proof.
By the Feynman Kac Theorem, the solution to the Black Scholes PDE is given by
Where S follows
Consider Z = ln S, by Ito’s lemma,
Integrate both side from 0 to T, We have
Recall that with mean
has a normal distribution with mean 0, and variance T, and variance ,