propaganda
Vincent Frankini 12/11/13
Mrs. Coleman Internal Assessment
Mathematics in an NFL Offense When my Teacher Mrs. Coleman told my class that we were going to be writing a 6-12 page paper on mathematics in real life, I was upset with the idea because I didn’t think I would be able to find any ideas that I would enjoy researching. At first, I thought long and hard about many different topics but weren’t able to come up with anything. This was until I was watching football with my dad and he disagreed with a play call that the New York Jets ran. He said, “Are you kidding me, what are the chances that play actually works?” This gave me the idea to my topic, which I can actually relate to. For my project I decided that I wanted to find out probabilities of plays working and correlation between stats, wins, players and successful plays. The entire NFL is too broad of a sample group to do when trying to find out information such as this so I choose one team, my favorite team, the Houston Texans. I am going to base all my information for this project off of the players and stats for the 2012 regular season. I choose to pick last years team because the season is still going so there will be more information on last years team and also this year the team is unfortunately at a league’s worst 2-11 which would result in a relatively small correlation when interpreting wins in with almost any stat.
Texans Quarterbacks 2012
Name
ATT
COMP
AVG
YARDS
TDS
INTS
SACKS
RATE
PCT
Matt Schaub
544
350
7.4
4008
22
12
27
90.7
64.3
T.J. Yates
10
4
3.8
38
0
1
1
11.7
40.0
Texans Rushing
NAME
ATT
YARDS
AVG
20+
TDS
FUM
1D
YDS/G
Arian Foster
351
1424
4.1
9
15
3
78
89.0
Justin Forsett
63
374
5.9
3
1
0
14
23.4
Ben Tate
65
279
4.3
2
2
1
17
25.4
Matt Schaub
21
-9
-.04
0
0
1
0
-0.6
Keshawn Martin
4
53
13.3
1
0
0
3
3.3
James Casey
1
6
6
0
0
Mrs. Coleman Internal Assessment
Mathematics in an NFL Offense When my Teacher Mrs. Coleman told my class that we were going to be writing a 6-12 page paper on mathematics in real life, I was upset with the idea because I didn’t think I would be able to find any ideas that I would enjoy researching. At first, I thought long and hard about many different topics but weren’t able to come up with anything. This was until I was watching football with my dad and he disagreed with a play call that the New York Jets ran. He said, “Are you kidding me, what are the chances that play actually works?” This gave me the idea to my topic, which I can actually relate to. For my project I decided that I wanted to find out probabilities of plays working and correlation between stats, wins, players and successful plays. The entire NFL is too broad of a sample group to do when trying to find out information such as this so I choose one team, my favorite team, the Houston Texans. I am going to base all my information for this project off of the players and stats for the 2012 regular season. I choose to pick last years team because the season is still going so there will be more information on last years team and also this year the team is unfortunately at a league’s worst 2-11 which would result in a relatively small correlation when interpreting wins in with almost any stat.
Texans Quarterbacks 2012
Name
ATT
COMP
AVG
YARDS
TDS
INTS
SACKS
RATE
PCT
Matt Schaub
544
350
7.4
4008
22
12
27
90.7
64.3
T.J. Yates
10
4
3.8
38
0
1
1
11.7
40.0
Texans Rushing
NAME
ATT
YARDS
AVG
20+
TDS
FUM
1D
YDS/G
Arian Foster
351
1424
4.1
9
15
3
78
89.0
Justin Forsett
63
374
5.9
3
1
0
14
23.4
Ben Tate
65
279
4.3
2
2
1
17
25.4
Matt Schaub
21
-9
-.04
0
0
1
0
-0.6
Keshawn Martin
4
53
13.3
1
0
0
3
3.3
James Casey
1
6
6
0
0