Preview

Reflecting Uncertainty in Valuations for Investment Purposes

Powerful Essays
Open Document
Open Document
6957 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
Reflecting Uncertainty in Valuations for Investment Purposes
Reflecting uncertainty in valuations for investment purposes
A brief guide for users of valuations
Nick Bywater MRICS

rics.org/valuation

This guide is prepared for the benefit of valuers and other users of valuations to provide a general understanding of the concept of uncertainty and the methods by which uncertainty, in valuations for investment purposes, may be identified and communicated with clarity. It is not intended to provide training in valuation techniques but rather to give valuation surveyors, and other users of valuations, a general understanding of the matters that need to be taken into account.

Reflecting uncertainty in valuations for investment purposes

Uncertainty is a feature of investment in real estate regardless of geographical location. Although this guide has been written from a UK perspective, with examples based on UK investments, the fundamental principles are universal. Uncertainty as a concept does not vary and this guide can be applied to investment properties in all markets around the world.

03 3

Reflecting uncertainty in valuations for investment purposes

Risk and return
Valuation methodology is largely focussed on estimation of Market Value, as defined by relevant international valuation standards. This definition is widely accepted and is founded on the principle that valuers are estimating the contract price that a willing buyer and seller would agree in an arm’s length transaction on the open market. The valuation techniques that are employed around the world vary both in overall approach and complexity but, ultimately, all seek to represent the price at which an investment would sell for at a particular moment in time. Thus Market Value is distinguished from Investment Value, or Worth, which represents the value of a property to a particular investor, or a class of investors, for identified investment objectives, which may not necessarily be representative of the market as a whole. In the UK, where the

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Satisfactory Essays

    1. What are the three approaches to value used by the appraisal profession? What types of property would be expected to generate the most reliable market value estimate for each approach?…

    • 1571 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Hsc300 Week 1 Assignment

    • 320 Words
    • 2 Pages

    The value of raw and even improved land can wildly vary based on external and market forces beyond the developer’s control. For instance, land values could increase on the news of a proposed shopping center, but plummet on the finding of nearby environmental contamination. On the other hand, vertical development or a structure will have a reasonable and definite value, even when accounting for location and design (place and space). As a result, with less volatility, and yes more certainty, lenders are willing to lend more…

    • 320 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    Peca, S. (2009). Real Estate Development and Investment: A Comprehensive Approach. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.…

    • 584 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    Revere Street Solutions

    • 879 Words
    • 4 Pages

    * First, we should do market research on the target area. For example, we should figure out the demand and supply, the trading volume, and the environment in neighboring. After knowing these information, we should also estimate the possible trend of the property value.…

    • 879 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    BUFN750 syllabus

    • 1243 Words
    • 5 Pages

    valuation – the intrinsic valuation and the relative valuation. We will explore two types of discounted…

    • 1243 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    290.177 Certain valuations do not involve a significant degree of subjectivity. This is likely the case where the underlying assumptions are either established by law or regulation, or are widely accepted and when the techniques and methodologies to be used are based on generally accepted standards or prescribed by law or regulation. In such circumstances, the results of a valuation performed by two or more parties are not likely to be materially…

    • 73 Words
    • 1 Page
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Keywords Market surveys, Real estate, Forecasting, Estimation, Assets valuation Abstract The valuation of real estate is a central tenet for all businesses. Land and property are factors of production and, as with any other asset, the value of the land flows from the use to which it is put, and that in turn is dependent upon the demand (and supply) for the product that is produced. Valuation, in its simplest form, is the determination of the amount for which the property will transact on a particular date. However, there is a wide range of purposes for which valuations are required. These range from valuations for purchase and sale, transfer, tax assessment, expropriation, inheritance or estate settlement, investment and financing. The objective of the paper is to provide a brief overview of the methods used in real estate valuation. Valuation methods can be grouped as traditional and advanced. The traditional methods are regression models, comparable, cost, income, profit and contractor 's method. The advanced methods are ANNs, hedonic pricing method, spatial analysis methods, fuzzy logic and ARIMA models.…

    • 8223 Words
    • 33 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Valuation Multiples

    • 16718 Words
    • 67 Pages

    This is the first in a series of primers on fundamental valuation topics such as…

    • 16718 Words
    • 67 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Finance exam outline

    • 1483 Words
    • 6 Pages

    BUS 3303 Finance Course review Ale Previtero AGENDA 1. Overview of valuation cases 2. WACC • Cost of equity, choosing beta, choosing weights, when to use premium. 3. Valuation using Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)…

    • 1483 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Investment in Real Estate

    • 155117 Words
    • 621 Pages

    When I tell people that property is not just as good as other investments, not just a little better, and not even just a lot better, but tens or even hundreds of times better than other investments, most people do not believe it.”…

    • 155117 Words
    • 621 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Risk Analysis Investment

    • 10258 Words
    • 42 Pages

    References: H. Bierman and S. Schmidt (1971), “The Capital Budgeting Decision” (McMillan Press, third edition). R. Brealy and S. Myers (1991), “Principles of Corporate Finance” (McGraw Hill, fourth edition). Graham Glenday (1989), Monte-Carlo Simulation Techniques in the Valuation of Truncated Distributions in the Context of Project Appraisal (Harvard Institute for International Development). C. J. Hawkins and D. W. Pearce (1971), “Capital Investment Appraisal” (MacMillan Press). David B. Hertz (1979), “Risk Analysis in Capital Investment”, Harvard Business Review, 57(5), September-October. David B. Hertz and Howard Thomas (1983), “Risk Analysis and its Applications” (John Wiley and sons). David B. Hertz and Howard Thomas (1984), “Practical Risk Analysis” (John Wiley and sons). Glenn Jenkins and Arnold Harberger (1991), “Cost-Benefit Analysis of Investment Decisions” (Harvard Institute for International Development). Donald R Lessard (1988), “Risk-bearing and the choice of contract forms for oil exploration and Development”, The Energy Journal, 5(1). H. Levy and M. Sarnat (1978), “Capital Investment and Financial Decisions” ( Prentice-Hall). James T.S. Porterfield (1965), “Investment Decisions and Capital Costs” (Prentice-Hall). Louis Y. Pouliquen (1970), “Risk Analysis in Project Appraisal” World Bank Staff Occasional Papers no.11 (The John Hopkins University Press). Shlomo Reutlinger (1970), “Techniques for Project Appraisal under Uncertainty”, World Bank Staff Occasional Papers no. 10 (The John Hopkins University Press).…

    • 10258 Words
    • 42 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Research Methods

    • 5630 Words
    • 23 Pages

    Mr. & Mrs. John Smith, Anystreet, Anytown, Any Province Dear Mr. & Mrs. Smith: We have been asked to provide an Opinion of Value of fair market value on ABC Ltd. as of…

    • 5630 Words
    • 23 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    Thus valuation cannot be tied up by rigid laws of nature or science. It also cannot work under fixed and inflexible set up of principles because it has great dependence in human nature and individual' thinking. It can not be said that vacant flats are always required to be valued on comparable sales method. Sometimes circumstances may demand value estimation by Rental Method. Hence two flats in the same building may have different values for the same area.…

    • 1878 Words
    • 8 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Advance Investment Appraisal

    • 2900 Words
    • 12 Pages

    Investment appraisal is one of the eight core topics within Paper F9, Financial Management and it is a topic which has been well represented in the F9 exam. The methods of investment appraisal are payback, accounting rate of return and the discounted cash flow methods of net present value (NPV) and internal rate of return (IRR). For each of these methods students must ensure that they can define it, make the necessary calculations and discuss both the advantages and disadvantages. The most important of these methods, both in the real world and in the exam, is NPV. A key issue in the Paper F9 syllabus is that students start their studies with no knowledge of discounting but are very rapidly having to deal with relatively advanced NPV calculations which may include problems such as inflation, taxation, working capital and relevant/irrelevant cash flows. These advanced NPV or indeed IRR calculations have formed the basis for very many past exam questions. The aim of this article is to briefly discuss these potential problem areas and then work a comprehensive example which builds them all in. Technically the example is probably harder than any exam question is likely to be. However, it demonstrates as many of the issues that students might face as is possible. Exam questions, on the other hand, will be in a scenario format and hence finding the information required may be more difficult than in the example shown. The problem areas Inflation Students must be aware of the two different methods of dealing with inflation and when they should be used. The money method is where inflation is included in both the cash flow forecast and the discount rate used while the real method is where inflation is ignored in both the cash flow forecast and the discount rate. The money method should be used as soon as a question has cash…

    • 2900 Words
    • 12 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Comparison of EP and FCF

    • 1741 Words
    • 7 Pages

    When an investment is appraised, it is necessary to find suitable valuation methods to apply based on the company’s internal and external conditions. There are many different valuation approaches. However all those valuation methods can be categorized into 4 types based on the sources of input and valuation process. Figure 1 shows the list of the four main valuation approaches and different models involved in each approach (B. Steens 2013, sheet page 79).Figure: 1…

    • 1741 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Powerful Essays