Eric Zivot
April 10, 2012
Outline
• Portfolio Calculations • Risk Budgeting • Reverse Optimization and Implied Returns
Portfolio Risk Budgeting
• Additively decompose (slice and dice) portfolio risk measures into asset contributions
• Allow portfolio manager to know sources of asset risk for allocation and hedging purposes
• Allow risk manager to evaluate portfolio from asset risk perspective
Portfolio Calculations Let 1 denote simple returns on assets, and let 1 denote P portfolio weights such that = 1 =1 Portfolio return:
R = (1 ) w = (1 )0 1 = (1 1)0
= w0R =
=1 X
w01 = 1
Portfolio mean and variance: Let R be a random vector with [R] = μ = (1 )0 (R) = [(R − μ)(R − μ)0] = Then = w0μ 2 =
⎛
Σ
⎜ ⎜ =⎜ ⎜ ⎝
2 12 · · · 1 1 ⎟ 12 2 · · · 2 ⎟ 2 . . . ⎟ ... . . . ⎟ ⎠ 1 2 · · · 2
³ ´ 0Σw 12 w
⎞
w0Σw and =
Example: Portfolio risk decomposition for 2 risky asset portfolio = 11 + 22
2 2 2 = 1 2 + 2 2 + 212 12 1 2
=
³
2 2 1 2 + 2 2 + 212 12 1 2
´12
To get an additive decomposition for 2 write
2 2 2 = 1 2 + 2 2 + 212 12 1 2
=
Here we can split the covariance contribution 21212 to portfolio variance evenly between the two assets and define
2 1 2 + 1212 = 1 2 2 2 + 1212 = 2
³
2 2 1 2 + 1212 + 2 2 + 1212 1 2
´
³
´
variance contribution of asset 1 variance contribution of asset 2
We can also define an additive decomposition for
2 2 1 2 + 1212 2 2 + 1212 1 2 = + 2 2 + 1 1 1 2 12 = sd contribution of asset 1 2 2 2 + 12 12 2 = sd contribution of asset 2
Euler’s Theorem and Risk Decompositions
• When we used to measure portfolio risk, we were able to easily derive an additive risk decomposition.
• If