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Risk Management
“Risk Management in Banks: The AHP way”

By: Diksha Arora
PG Candidate, Class of PGDM-2010
BIMTECH, India

Abstract

Risk is inherent in every walk of life. Banks are, by definition, in the business of taking and managing risk. The paper deals with the study of Risks associated with commercial banks like risk revolving on capital, credit risk, market risk, liquidity risk, earnings risk, business strategy risk, environmental risk, operational risk, group risk, internal control risk, organizational risk, management risk and compliance risk. In the global scenario, the degree to which the models have been incorporated into the Risk Management and economic capital allocation process varies greatly between banks. Through this paper an attempt was made to construct an optimal model using Analytical Hierarchy Programming to find the risk rating of a bank. This model will bring uniformity and help in assessing performance of a bank vis-a-vis another which also forms a part of RBI supervision.

Introduction

The etymology of the word "Risk" can be traced to the Latin word "Rescum" meaning Risk at Sea or that which cuts. Risk is inherent in every walk of life. Banks are, by definition, in the business of taking and managing risk. With growing competition and fast changes in the operating environment impacting the business potentials, banks are compelled to encounter various kinds of financial and non-financial risks. Risk is associated with uncertainty and reflected by way of charge on the fundamental/ basic i.e. in the case of business it is the Capital, which is the cushion that protects the liability holders of an institution.

The various risks that a bank is bound to confront is divided into two categories namely business risks and control risks. Business risk involves the risks arising out of the operations of the bank, the business it is into and the way it conducts its operations. It consists of 8 types of risks namely capital, credit, market, earnings,



References: • Ajit, D. and Bangar, R.D (1998): The Role and Performance of Private Sector Banks in India- 1991-92 to 1996-97, Political Economy Journal of India 7:1 and 2, 7-20 • Arpa M., Giulini I., Ittner A. and Pauer F.(2001), The Influence of Macro-economic Developments on Austrian Banks: Implications For Banking Supervision, BIS Papers, n • Bessis, Joel (2002), Risk Management in Banking,Wiley; 2nd edition • Berger, A.N • Berger, A. N. and Udell, G. F. (1993), Securitization, Risk, and the Liquidity Problem in Banking, • Structural Change in Banking, M • BIS Publication (2001), The Second Consultative Document, The New Basel Capital Accord • _______(2001), Standardised Approach to Credit Risk, Supporting Document to the New Basel Capital Accord • BCBS (2001), Working Paper on the Regulatory Treatment of Operational Risk • _______(2000) Principles for Management of Credit Risk • _______(2000) Range of practice in Banks’ Internal Ratings Systems, Discussion Paper • _______(2001) Potential Modifications to the Committee’s Proposal • Caouette, John B Great Financial Challenge, Wiley • Coyle, Brian (2000), Credit Risk Management: Measuring Credit Risk, Global Professional Analysis of Banking Systems in Distress, IMF Working Paper No. 156, Washington D.C • Demirguc-Kunt, Asli and Huizinga, Harry (1998), Determinants of Commercial Bank Interest • Elmer Funke Kupper (2000), Risk Management in Banking, Discussion Paper Gambera M. (2000), "Simple Forecasts of Bank Loan Quality in the Business Cycle", in Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Supervision and Regulation Department, Emerging Issues Series SandR-2000-3, Downturns?”, in Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, St. Louis, (March-April) • Rajaraman, I., S.Bhaumik and N.Bhatia (1999) NPA Variations across Indian Commercial Banks: Some Findings, Economic and Political Weekly, 34: 3 and 4, 16-23 • RBI Guidance note on Credit risk Management (September 2001). • RBI Guidelines, Risk Management Systems in Banks (October 1999) • RBI Master Circular, Prudential Norms on Capital Adequacy (August 2001). • Salas, V. and Saurina, J. (1999a), Deregulation, Market Power and Risk Behaviour in Spanish Banks", (1999a) • Saunders, Anthony (1998), Credit Risk Measurement: New approaches to Value at Risk and other paradigms, Wiley, USA • Shaffer, S. (1998), The Winner 's Curse in Banking, Journal of Financial Intermediation, 7, pp.

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