IMPLEMENTATION AND EFFECTS IN NIGERIA*
By
Prof. Aderibigbe S. Olomola
Director, Surveillance & Forecasting Department
Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research (NISER), Ibadan
PAPER PRESENTED AT THE NISER RESESEARCH SEMINAR SERIES
(NRSS) HELD AT THE NIGERIAN INSTITUTE OF SOCIAL AND
ECONOMIC RESEARCH, IBADAN
SEPTEMBER 11, 2012
1
STATE BUDGETARY ALLOCATIONS: AN APPRAISAL OF BUDGET
IMPLEMENTATION AND EFFECTS IN NIGERIA
By
Prof. Aderibigbe S. Olomola
Director, Surveillance & Forecasting Department
Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research (NISER), Ibadan
1. INTRODUCTION
The role of budget in an economy cannot be overemphasized. This is because budget is an important instrument of national resource mobilization, allocation and economic management. It is an economic instrument for facilitating and realizing the vision of the government in a given fiscal year. Since the inception of democratic governance over a decade ago, Nigerians have built up very high expectations that the budget would contain laudable programmes that would lead to poverty reduction in particular and promote their welfare in general. But concern seems to be growing among stakeholders regarding the ability of the budget to fulfill the policy objectives of the government and by implication satisfy the aspirations of the people. The budget can be considered as the engine of the on-going economic reforms. If it is switched off at any time or if it is malfunctioning, the reforms cannot generate the expected outcomes. All the laudable programmes of the government especially in the areas of poverty reduction, infrastructure development as well as development of key sectors of the economy such as agriculture, manufacturing, education, health, communication, tourism and commerce will only bring out the best results if the defects in the budget process are curtailed and eventually eliminated.
The
References: Akande, S. O., Ade S. Olomola and A. Olokesusi (eds) (2012) “Constraints and Opportunities for Effective Budget Implementation in Nigeria” Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Akpan, N. (2005) “Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Nigeria: A Disaggregated Approach Barro, R.J. and Sala-i Martin, X. 2004, "Economic Growth" in MIT Press, Cambridge. Bird, R.M. 1971, "Wagner 's Law of expanding state activity", Public Finance, vol. 26, pp. 1-26. Chang, T.; Lin, W.; Caudil, S.B. (2004) A Re-examination of Wagner’s Law for Ten Countries based on Cointegration and Error Correction Modeling Techniques, Dao, M.Q. 1995, " Government Consumption and Economic Growth in Middle-Income Economies", Journal for Studies in Economic and Econometrics, vol Dependra, S. (2007) Does the Wagner’s Law hold for Thailand? A Time Series Study, Dimitrios, Paparas and Christian Richter (2011) “The Validity of Wagner’s Law in Greece Dutt, S.D. & Ghosh, D. 1997, "An Empirical Examination of the Public Expenditure-Economic Growth Correlations", Southwest Oklahoma Economic Review, vol Fajingbesi AA, Odusola AF, 1999. Public Expenditure and Growth. A Paper Presented at a Training Programme on Fiscal Policy Planning Management in Nigeria, Organized by NCEMA, Florio, M.; Collautti, S. (2005) A Logistic Growth Theory of Public Expenditures: A Study of five Countries over 100 years, Public Choice, 122, pp Folster, S. & Henrekson, M. 2001, "Growth Effects of Government Expenditure and Taxation in Rich Countries ", European Economic Review, vol Georgakopoulos, T. & Loizides, I. 1994, "The growth of the public sector: Tests of alternative hypotheses with data from Greece", Cyprus Journal of Economics, vol Goffman, J.J. & Mahar, D.J. 1971, "The growth of public expenditures in selected developing nations: Six Caribbean nations", Public Finance, vol Gupta, S.P. 1967, "Public expenditure and economic growth; a time series analysis", Public Finance, vol Halicioglu, F. (2003) Testing Wagner’s Law for Turkey, 1960 – 2000, Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, 1(2), pp Henrekson, M. 1993, "Wagner 's Law -A spurious relationship", Public Finance, 48(406-415). Ighodaro, Clement A. U. and Dickson E. Oriakhi (2010) “Does The Relationship Between Government Expenditure And Economic Growth Follow Wagner’s Law In Nigeria?” Annals of Kolluri, B. & Wahab, M. 2007, "Asymmetries in the conditional relation of government expenditure and economic growth", Applied Economics, vol Landau, D. 1983, "Government Expenditure and Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Study", Southern Economic Journal, vol Lin, C.A. 1995, "More evidence on Wagner’s Law for Mexico", Public Finance, vol. 50, no. 2, pp Mann, A.J. 1980, "Wagner’s law: an econometric test for Mexico 1926-1976", National Tax Journal, vol Michas, N.A. 1975, "Wagner 's Law of Public Expenditures: What Is the Appropriate Measurement for a Valid Test?", Public Finance, vol Michas, N.A. 1974, "Application of Covariance Analysis to Public Expenditure Studies", Finanzarchiv, vol Murthy, N.R.V. 1993, "Further evidence of Wagner’s law for Mexico: An application of cointegration analysis", Public finance, vol Musgrave, R.A. 1969, Fiscal Systems, Yale University Press, New Haven. Nurudeen, Abu and A. Usman (2010) “Government Expenditure and Economic Growth In Nigeria, 1970-2008: A Disaggregated Analysis” Business and Economics Journal, Volume 2010: Ogiogio, G.O (1995) Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Nigeria. Journal of Economic Management, 2(1) Olomola, Ade S. (2000) “Budgeting and Fiscal Policy Issues in Nigeria” Invited Paper Presented at a Workshop Organized in NISER for Legislative Attaches, April 12, 2000. Olomola, Ade S. (2002) “Budgeting and Public Expenditure for Social Development in Nigeria”, Invited Paper Presented at the UNICEF/FOS Training Workshop for Programme Olomola, Ade S. and A. A. Adesanya (2004) “Public-Private Partnership in Planning, Budgeting, Implementation and Evaluation of State Economic Empowerment and Development Strategy”, Olomola, Ade S. (2006) “Performance Management and Its Relevance for Effective Budgetary Process in Nigeria” in B Olomola, Ade S. (2007a) “Basic Elements of Popular Participation in Public Sector Budget Process” in Ade S Olomola, Ade S. (2007b) “Adopting the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework in the Nigerian Budget Process: Rationale, Strategies and Prospects” in Ade S Olomola, Ade S. (2009a) Essentials And Modalities of Public Sector Budgeting in Nigeria, Paper Delivered at the Financial Management and Budgeting Course Organized by NISER for the Staff