from a pool of individual mortgage loans. A problem with these bonds was borrowers could pay off their loans anytime they pleased. Borrowers typically repaid loans when the interest rates declined and they could refinance to a lower rate. This led bond makers to divide these bonds up in units called tranches. Tranches were segments of the bond payments ordered by risk. The highest risk tranche was giving the highest interest rate but had the highest chance of loan prepayment. Standards were governed by agencies Freddie Mac, Fannie, Mae and Ginnie Mae. As these bonds became even more popular, bond makers started combining high risk mortgage loans into subprime mortgage bonds. Oppenheimer became a leader in mortgage bond market. Eisman became a leader also. He was able to hire a team of people to work for him. He hired Vinny Daniel. Vinny was from Queens and had a lower class childhood. He was highly skeptical of everyone. During the time Vinny was hired, Eisman lost his son in an accident at his home. This changed the way Eisman looked at the world. He realized that anything could happen to anyone at any time.
Eisman was favorable to the subprime mortgage bond market but knew something was wrong.
He and Vinny noticed that the subprime mortgage industry only stated their earnings and very little after that. Delinquency rates were not stated. Vinny realized that something was off as well. Eisman began calling out each subprime loan originators. After quiting at Oppenheimer, Eisman went to Chilton Investment. Since all of the subprime mortgage companies went out of business, he focused on Household Finance Corp. He found they were making dishonest mortgage loans. They were also making a high number of them. He teamed up with ACORN to take action against HFC. They found that the US Attorney General had also investigated but didn’t release their findings. The subprime industry grew to the top companies in mortgage lending. Lehman bros., Bear Sterns, Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley. Eisman and Vinny watched the market for the right time to
short.
Michael Burry, in 2004, studied the bond market and how subprime mortgage bonds worked. He read several prospectuses. He could see the lowering standard of lending. They lowered standards to increase volume. He began looking for tools to bet against subprime loan bond market. He used corporate credit default swaps, a tool traditionally used for hedging. He contacted large investment banks such as Morgan Stanley and Bank of America to start offering credit default swaps for subprime