Nguyen Ngoc Anh
Ministry of Finance – Vietnam
11/2009
A YOUNG AND GROWING MARKET
•
The Vietnam bond market development was boosted when Vietnam entered WTO in 2006. Total market capitalsisation is now at
15% of GDP.
>500 government bonds outstanding on some USD 12 billion
After 2008 foreign exodus the market today is predominantly Vietnamese with a handful of big players. In the absence of mutual funds and pension funds, banks dare key players.
BOND GROWTH 2001-2008
Oustanding bo nds (VNDbn, LHS)
200,000
Outstanding bo nds/GDB (RHS)
160,000
8.97%
120,000
14%
12%
10%
8%
5.16%
80,000
40,000
Secondary market trade value of VDB and Treasury bonds
(USDmn)
16%
14.82% 14.50%
3.53%
2.22%
0.57% 0.79%
-
6%
4%
2%
120
2,500
Outstanding bonds/GDP
240,000
Outstanding bonds
•
Monthly volume (LHS)
2,000
100
Daily Average (RHS)
80
1,500
60
1,000
40
500
20
0%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
-
0
Jan-06
Jul-06
Jan-07
Source: DC
Jul-07
Jan-08
Jul-08
Jan-09
Jul-09
2
THE MARKET
Issuers
•
Government bonds: Issued by the Satte Treasury and authorised issuers such as Vietnam Development Bank (policy bank)
•
Municipal bonds: issued by city municipalities and provincial governments.
•
Corporate bonds: issued by SOE’s and private enterprises
Investors
•
Domestic investor base still small. Ability to absorb supply and demand shocks limited •
Off-shore investors still limited (no limitation on foreign holdings of bonds)
Municipal
5%
State Treasury
41%
Corporate
23%
Product range
●
Mostly plain vanilla fixed coupon bonds
●
Pseudo floaters fixed with 12m average deposit rate quoted by 4 big SOCB’s.
●
Callable tier 2, convertibles although mostly with mandatory conversion.
VDB
31%
Date: April 2009
Secondary market although on the increase, still thin
●