Preview

Volatility and Risk Return Implication of Global Financial Meltdown for the Nigerian Stock Exchange.

Good Essays
Open Document
Open Document
9068 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
Volatility and Risk Return Implication of Global Financial Meltdown for the Nigerian Stock Exchange.
VOLATILITY AND RISK RETURN IMPLICATION OF GLOBAL FINANCIAL MELTDOWN FOR THE NIGERIAN STOCK EXCHANGE.

By

Ifeanyi O. Nwanna
Reg. No:2006417001P

Being a Seminar Paper Presented to the Department of Banking And Finance, Faculty Of Management Sciences, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the award of Doctor of Philosophy(Ph.D) in Banking and Finance

Course Code: Fin 703- Theory and Practice of Money and Capital Markets

SUPERVISOR: Prof. B.C Osisioma

April, 2010
Abstract

This study attempts to place in the Nigerian perspective for the period of 1989 and 2008, the role of the stock market in the supply of new funds to the economy. The volatility and risk return implication for the Nigerian Stock Exchange as international portfolio investors withdraw their funds in the face of the global financial meltdown was considered. With the help of the Minitab software and gathering some notable stock market development indicators such as market capitalization, NSE-All share index, New Issues, Consumer Price Index, Inflation rate. Dollar-Naira Exchange rates and GDP figures the relationship between stock market development and New Issues was found to be positive and significant. This finding contrasts with previous studies in this area The costs of raising new funds in the Nigerian Stock market was found to be 6.25% of total amount raised, which is above international best practice.. This study therefore suggests that for a significant increase in the supply of new issues that are necessary for growth in the real sector of the Nigerian economy to be achieved, the focus of policy should be on measures that promote growth and sustain development in the stock market.

1.0 Introduction
The stock market is an economic institution, which promotes efficiency in capital formation and allocation.



References: African Development Bank, African Union and United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (2008), Ministerial Conference on the Financial Crisis: Briefing Note 1 (November 12) Alile, H Beakaert, G. and C. Harvey (2002), ‘Research In Emerging Markets Finance: Looking To The Future’, Emerging Markets Review, 3(4): 429–48. ——— (2003), ‘Emerging Markets Finance’, Journal of Empirical Finance, 10(2): 3–56. BGL, (2007), Quarterly Financial Monitor, June 2007. Bolbol, A. and M. Omran (2005), ‘Investment and The Stock Market: Evidence From Arab Firm-Level Panel Data’, Emerging Market Review, 6(3): 85–106. Chan, L.K.C., Y. Hamao and J. Lakonishok (1991), ‘Fundamentals and Stock Returns In Japan’, Journal of Finance, 46: 1739–1764. Chossudovsky, M (2008), Global Financial Meltdown, Global Research (September 18) Claessens, S., S Daniel, K. and S. Titman (1997), ‘Evidence on the Characteristics of Cross-Sectional Variation in Stock Returns’, Journal of Finance, 52(2): 427–65. Demirgüç-Kunt, A. and V. Maksimovic (1998), ‘Law, Finance and Firm Growth’, Journal of Finance, 53(5): 2107–37. Erb, C., C. Harvey and T. Viskanta (1995), ‘Country Credit Risk And Global Portfolio Selection’, Journal of Portfolio Management, Winter, 74–83. ——— (1996a), ‘Expected Returns And Volatility In 135 Countries’, Journal of Portfolio Management, Spring, 46–58. ——— (1996b), ‘Political Risk, Financial Risk and Economic Risk’, Financial Analysts Journal, 52(3): 28–46. ——— (1998), ‘Risk In Emerging Markets’, The Financial Survey, July/August, 42–46. Ezea, K. (2008), “An Overview of Establishment and Role of the Investments and Securities Tribunal (IST) in the Capital Market” in Stock Trend by Hebron Integrated services Ltd. Abuja. June-July 2008. Fama, E.F. (1970), ‘Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work’, Journal of Finance, 25(2): 383–417. Girard E. and M. Omran (2007), ‘What are the Risks When Investigating in Thin Emerging Equity Markets: Evidence from the Arab World’. The Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money, 17(1): 102–23. Harvey, C. and A. Roper (1999), ‘The Asian Bet’, in Alison Harwood, Robert E. Litan and Michael Pomerleano (eds), The Crisis in Emerging Financial Markets, New York: Brookings Institution Press, pp. 29–115. Harvey, C., B. Solnik and G. Zhou (2002), ‘What Determines Expected International Asset Returns?’, Annals of Economics and Finance, 3(1): 249–98. Heliso, S (2009), Africa: to Integrate or to Delink? Global Future: a World Vision. Journal of Human Development 1: 6-9 Inanga and Emenuga (1997), Capital Market in Nigeria, Issues and Perspective, Oredo Printers, Mala, R. and Reddy M. (2007), “Measuring Stock Market Volatility in an Emerging Economy” International Research Journal of Finance and Economics. Issue 8 (2007) Nyony, B Issue 2 (1997) Levine, R Lin, J. (2008), The Impact of the Financial Crisis on Developing Countries, Being paper Presented at the Korea Development Institute (Seoul, October 31) Lyn, E Oijen, P. and E. Perotti (2001), ‘Privatization, Market Development and Political Risk in Emerging Economies’, Journal of International Money and Finance, 20(2): 43–69. Patel, S. (1998), ‘Cross-Sectional Variation In Emerging Markets Equity Returns’, January 1988-March 1997, Emerging Markets Quarterly, 2(2): 57–70. Poterba, J. (2000), “Stock Market Wealth and Consumption”, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 14(2): 99-118 Ramcharran, H. (2004), ‘Returns and Pricing in Emerging Markets’, The Journal of Investing, Spring, 51–68. Rouwenhorst, K.G. (1999), ‘Local return factors and turnover in emerging stock markets’, Journal of Finance, 54(4): 1439–64. Rude, C (2008), The Global Financial Crisis: What needs to be Done, Friefrich Ebert Stiftung Dialogue on Globalization Briefing Papers 12 (November) Seiler, M.J Soludo, C.C, (2007) Nigeria’s Financial System Strategy 2020 Plan “Our Dream” Paper Presented At The FSS 2020 International Conference, Abuja, June 2007 Soludo, C.C, (2009) Banking in Nigeria at a Time of Global Financial Crisis. Presentation at the Special Interactive Session on the Banking System at Victoria Island, Lagos 2009 Velde, D (2008), The Global Financial Crisis and Developing Countries: Which Countries are at Risk and What can be Done? Overseas Development Institute Background Note (October)

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Powerful Essays

    The Global Banking Financial Crisis 's and Its Impact on Developing Nations: Case Study Africa…

    • 3195 Words
    • 13 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Shafer, J. R. (1986), Managing Crisis in the Emerging Financial Landscape, OECD Economic Studies, pp. 56 – 77.…

    • 1730 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    List of abbreviations List of tables Acknowledgements Abstract 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Introduction Problem statement Objectives and hypothesis of the study Literature review Structure and performance of the financial sector in Kenya Methodology Empirical results Conclusions and policy implications 1 3 4 5 13 20 23 37 40…

    • 21064 Words
    • 85 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    backdrop of banking crisis due to highly undercapitalization deposit taking banks; weakness in the regulatory and supervisory framework; weak management practices; and the tolerance of deficiencies in the corporate governance behaviour of banks (Uchendu, 2005). Banking sector reforms and recapitalization have resulted from deliberate policy response to correct perceived or impending banking sector crises and subsequent failures. A banking crisis can be triggered by weakness in banking system characterized by persistent illiquidity, insolvency, undercapitalization, high level of non-performing loans and weak corporate governance, among others. Similarly, highly open economies like Nigeria, with weak financial infrastructure, can be vulnerable to banking crises emanating from other countries through infectivity.…

    • 9482 Words
    • 38 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Spss

    • 3407 Words
    • 14 Pages

    Effect Of Macroeconomic Variables On Stock Market Returns For Four Emerging Economies: Brazil, Russia, India, And China…

    • 3407 Words
    • 14 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Paginas Amarelas Case Study

    • 7435 Words
    • 31 Pages

    Erb C, Harvey C, Viskanta T; (1995), Country Risk and Global Equity Selection, The Journal of Portfolio Management, Winter.…

    • 7435 Words
    • 31 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Best Essays

    Karachi Stock Exchange guarantee Limited. (2009). introduction. Retrieved February 2010, from Kararchi Stock Exchange website: http://www.kse.com.pk/aboutus/introduction.php?id=7&sid=7.01…

    • 2522 Words
    • 11 Pages
    Best Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    References: Adebiyi, M.A. (2002), ‘‘Is financial sector liberalization the cause of banking fragility in Nigeria?’’, African Review of Money, Finance and Banking, pp. 23-40. Alawode, A. and Ikhide, S.I. (1991), ‘‘Bank liability management, structural adjustment and monetary policy in Nigeria’’, Nigerian Journal of Economic and Social Studies, Vol. 33 No. 2, pp. 121-36. Arestis, P. and Demetriades, P. (1997), ‘‘Financial development and economic growth: assessing the evidence’’, The Economic Journal, Vol. 107 No. 442, pp. 783-99. Ayadi, O.F. (1996), ‘‘Marketing of bank services, regulation, and bank profitability in an emerging banking system’’, African Review of Money, Finance and Banking, Vol. 1/2, pp. 107-19. Aziakpono, M. and Babtope-Obasa, S. (2003), ‘‘Financial liberalization, currency substitution and savings in Nigeria: evidence from cointegration and error correction modelling’’, paper presented at the 8th Annual Conference on Econometric Modelling for African Econometrics Society, University of Stellenbosch, South Africa. Bandiera, O., Caprio, G., Honohan, P. and Schiantarelli, F. (1999), ‘‘Does financial reform raise or reduce savings?’’, Working Paper No. 2062, World Bank. Caprio, G. and Klingebiel, D. (1995), ‘‘Dealing with bank onsolvencies: cross country experience’’, working paper, World Bank. Chete, L.N. (2001), ‘‘The Nigerian banking crisis: what role did the macroeconomy play?’’, Savings and Development, Vol. 25 No. 1. Cho, Y.J. (1986), ‘‘Inefficiencies from financial liberalization in the absence of well-functioning equity markets’’, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 18 No. 2, pp. 191-99.…

    • 6144 Words
    • 25 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    The financial markets are types of markets designed for the creation and disposition of financial assets. There are two sections of the financial markets in Nigeria, namely: money market and capital market (Central Bank of Nigeria-CBN, 2004; 2007). A financial asset is created when one party in exchange for cash issues a receipt of acknowledgement which entitles the holder a claim of pecuniary nature against future interests of the issuer. Financial assets fall into three general categories namely: a) Money – issued by the Central Bank of a country on behalf of the Government of the country as paper currency and coins; b) Debt – issued by corporate and Government units; and c) Shares – issued by companies. Investment that promotes liquidity and gives immediate income requires short-term funding and varies from few hours and one year. Capital market is a collection of institutions set up for the granting of medium and long term loans (Oloyede, 1999). Unlike the money market, it is a market for government securities, corporate bonds, the mobilization and utilization of long-term funds for development – the long term end of the financial system. One of the greatest achievements of the CBN since it was established in July, 1959 has been the gradual development of the financial system. The system consists primarily of the money market for short term lending and borrowing as well as capital market for long term funding. To Oloyede (1999) organized money market is a market for short-term investible fund where short…

    • 251 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Financial intermediation is an important activity in the economy because it allows funds to be channeled from people who might otherwise not put them to productive use to people who will ultimately put the funds to productive uses. In line with the assumption that banking sector plays an important role in financing the investment projects, successive governments in Nigeria have carried out reforms and institutional innovations in the banking sector. The overall intention of these reforms has been to ensure financial stability so as to influence the growth of the economy and also enhance banks to play a critical role of financial intermediation in Nigeria. However, despite the fact that Nigerian banks have undergone series of restructuring/reforms aimed at strengthening the banks’ ability to efficient service delivery and fund the real sector, problems such as; inefficiency in allocating funds to the real sector, lack of long-dated funding, neglect of the core private sector in terms of credit extension, weak capacity of the banks to fund the real sector, low-level activities of banks, and illiquidity still lingers. This study therefore, examines empirically the impact of financial intermediation on the development of the Nigerian economy with the aim of determining the importance of financial intermediaries and its influence. This study found out that the financial intermediaries (banks) in Nigeria exhibit inefficiency and weak capacity in the allocation of funds to finance the some sectors. On the overall therefore, the study found that the economy Nigeria rely heavily on the banking sector to finance its activities even though the desired expectation is not met by the banks. The study therefore, concluded that financial intermediaries (banks) are important in attaining financial development. The study therefore recommend that banks should ensure greater domestic savings mobilization for investment and growth, using market-determined interest rates, and…

    • 9809 Words
    • 40 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Report from the Committee of African Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors established to monitor the Financial crisis (March 21, 2009),…

    • 560 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Poverty

    • 388 Words
    • 2 Pages

    Large enterprises face some situations when they invest in emerging markets. (Peltonen et al. 2012)…

    • 388 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    Also, increasing evidence suggests a strong positive relationship between the size of an economy and the size of its financial market. In other words, Stock Exchanges the world over are used as a barometer of the economy in which they are domiciled. According to Taba Peterside, head, Listings Sales and Retention at the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE), local and international investors follow the Exchange’s major index as it reflects the overall confidence in all sectors of the economy.…

    • 729 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    “The Global Financial Crisis Challenges to Africa: Kenya experience and perspective” (A presentation by Central Bank of Kenya at the Ministers and Governors Forum in Tunisia 2008).…

    • 5565 Words
    • 23 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Best Essays

    FRM Reading List 14 15

    • 2002 Words
    • 11 Pages

    ESM, Ch. *3 (except the section on the Euro) OR ER, Ch. 2 (except the section on the EMU).…

    • 2002 Words
    • 11 Pages
    Best Essays