Preview

Economic Forecasting Paper Essay Example

Good Essays
Open Document
Open Document
333 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
Economic Forecasting Paper Essay Example
The most important resource that we felt that would be used to gather historical economic data as well as economic forecast data would be surveys of various consumers finances. The consumer finance survey would be used to calculate all income of each individual family. These surveys of consumer finances for each individual family in the United States would be considered a qualitative type of research, but at times can also be a quantitative research as well. During these surveys we notices that the qualitative aspect of them can determine their results with the help of other research and studies, whereas the quantitative aspects of the survey’s results are made up of all the numerical numbers from each question.

The various factors of demand and supply are Exchange rates, the distribution of income, Expectations, and Monetary and fiscal policies. Another shift factor of aggregate supply is a change in the productivity of the factors of production such as labor. Other shift factors are changes in import prices of final goods and changes in excise and sales taxes. Economists spend a lot of time tracking these shift factors because they are central to whether the economy will have an inflation problem. Aggregate demand management policy attempts to influence the level of output in the economy by influencing aggregate demand and relying on the multiplier to expand any policy-induced change in aggregate demand.

The effectiveness of changes in fiscal policies using Keynesian and Classical models are, economists who focused on long-run issues such as growth were called Classical economists and economists who focused on the short run were called Keynesian economists. Classical economists believed in the market’s ability to be self-regulating through the invisible hand. A Classical economist takes a laissez-faire approach, and believes the economy is self-regulating. A Keynesian economist takes an interventionist approach, and believes that equilibrium output can

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Good Essays

    When viewed through the perspective of the Keynesian model (which focuses entirely on the short-run) these policies currently in use are having the desired effect on the economy. Lower interest rates and creating more money are encouraging spending which, in turn, are holding prices and employment within manageable levels. On the other hand, when viewed through the perspective of the Classical model there is a problem with this policy, interest rates cannot be lowered…

    • 1227 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    eco365

    • 1056 Words
    • 5 Pages

    There are some factors that can affect the supply and demand that are not just price and this is what is called shift factors. The shift factors in demand can include things such as, prices of other products, tastes, the expectations and also the taxes. Shift factors in supply would include the price of inputs, technologies. There is a difference in demand and quantity demand, demand is described as a good that will be bought at various prices as on the other hand quantity demand is a good that can be bought at a specific price. The movement along the demand curve is when there is a change in the price which changes the quantity demand. The shift in the demand curve is when there is a change in anything other than the price that will end up affecting the demand and will change the entire demand curve. The difference between the movement along the demand curve and shift of the demand curve is when something changes the price it will change the demand which is the movement along, and when something affects or changes anything other than the price it is considered a shift in demand.…

    • 1056 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    What is the "current macroeconomic situation" in the U.S. (e.g. is the U.S. economy currently concerned about unemployment, inflation, recession, etc.)? What fiscal policies and monetary policies would be appropriate at this time?…

    • 621 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    Economics Outline Ch 17

    • 474 Words
    • 2 Pages

    * The term fiscal policy refers to the federal government’s deliberate use of its taxation rates and expenditures to affect overall business activity. The Keynesian economists and the supply-side economists have two theories about how to obtain stabilization. Keynesian economists advocate the use of government spending to stimulate economic activity and reduce unemployment during recessions. A simple circular flow of income and output model is given. Supply-side economists advocate reductions in tax rates to stimulate private investment and employment.…

    • 474 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Economic indicators and forecasts are an integral part of any corporation 's everyday business. They help management implement present and future endeavors. This information can be used to make adjustments to improve present situations or to determine plans for future plans.…

    • 1769 Words
    • 8 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    1984 Essay

    • 843 Words
    • 4 Pages

    The determinants of aggregate supply are as fallows: Changes in inflation, changes in resource price, changes in actions of government, and changes in productivity. Changes in inflationary expectations are when peoples expectations are raised or lowered. For example, if an increase in AD leads people to expect higher prices in the future then this would decrease labor and resource cost and decrease aggregate supply. Change in resource price is when a resource becomes cheaper or more expensive. For example if there was an oil surplus there would a lower price on gasoline as a result of the higher supply. Changes in actions of government is government actions such as taxes that does not include government spending. An example would be taxes or government regulations. Change in productivity would be any factor affecting the production process. For example a change in technology would change the amount produced.…

    • 843 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    Economic forces will ensure that what people want and will pay to get will match what is available. This is the concept of supply and demand. If the prices are such that people are not willing to pay it to obtain an item or service, they will choose to buy less of it, not buy it, or buy a substitute. This is the working of the law of demand. The price affects both supply and demand. When prices increase, the demand decreases, and when prices decrease, the demand increases. In the law of supply, however, if prices increase, individuals and companies will increase the supply because the opportunity cost of not producing the product rises with the price (Colander, 2010). There are factors other than price that can lead to changes in supply as well as changes in demand. These could be government policies, taxes, income, social norms or expectations, political forces, tastes, and prices of other goods, to name a few.…

    • 1078 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    The recent fall of the United States economy has created a society of fear, insecurity, and doubtful investors, retirees, and consumers world-wide. Economists from around the world have come together to solve world-wide economic issues and bring stability back to businesses, households, and the government. Economics teaches you how to approach problems; it does not provide what is right or what is wrong, nor does it provide you with a definitive answer. Consistent evaluation of economic factors like unemployment, economic expectations, consumer income, and interest rates, can prove to be highly effective.…

    • 1636 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Economic Forecasting

    • 323 Words
    • 2 Pages

    The study of macroeconomics demonstrates how individuals purchase, sell, and use raw materials to drive the economy around the globe. A useful source of data could be attained from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) where a person could gather current or historic data. After the collection of the data a researcher could utilize the International Monetary Funds website to see a forecast of any certain country. On the IMF website there are several choices for data such as International Financial Statics, Principal Global Indicators, and World Economic Outlook Databases. This informational data is useful for the inflation of good and services, tracking the market value of goods and services (gross domestic product), and other macroeconomic indicators for more than 200 countries.…

    • 323 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    Macro Assignment 2

    • 994 Words
    • 3 Pages

    Keynesian economist believe that long periods of high unemployment are a result of inadequate overall demand and feel government intervention is a key component of a prosperous economy. The school of thought sees unemployment as an aggregated demand and company profitability. One factor affects another in a sense. If wages are low then consumers have less money to spend which then turns to less of demand for products to be created which then leads to a decrease in investments and staff by employers, ultimately resulting in high unemployment. This supports the idea of cyclical unemployment. Unlike the classical economy, Keynesian focuses on the short run instead of the long run. Therefore to avoid this Keynesian economists support monetary and fiscal policy to stabilize the business cycle.…

    • 994 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Economic Forecast Paper

    • 1557 Words
    • 7 Pages

    As previously outlined in our team 's first project regarding the housing industry, there were six economic indicators which impact the housing industry. These indicators are GDP, the inflation rate, the unemployment rate, discount mortgage interest rates, housing starts and retail sales. Included will be a brief definition of each and its current status.…

    • 1557 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    * The effectiveness of those fiscal policy recommendations from the Keynesian and Classical model perspectives.…

    • 1095 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Economic Advisement Paper

    • 1498 Words
    • 6 Pages

    In the current state of our economy, the expectation of consumers appears to be evolving from substantial fear of rising prices and difficulty obtaining credit to a more optimistic future outlook, although remaining cautious. Consumers have begun spending rather than primarily saving. This has moved the Aggregate Demand curve slightly to the right, from previous years. Rises in median home prices and reductions in foreclosures and unemployment appear to be affecting the consumer mindset in a positive way. Recovery is in progress and a balance of the economy is underway.…

    • 1498 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Two historical economic data where information can be found are Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce and FRED, Economic Time-Series Database. The FRED database comprises the national economic and financial statistics as well as interest rates, consumer price indexes, employment and population and trade data. This database is a valuable source because this consents populaces to see how the country 's financial state is at. The Bureau of Economic Analysis includes estimates concerning national, international, and regional economic activity. It also provides statistics decision influenced by the government officials, business people, households and individuals. The quantitative of each site is that they included tax list information and census return evidence. The Bureau of Economic Analysis and FRED database qualitative used are they both expound on the findings that are encompassed in the database. The area that was not comfortable to me was about the measureable and qualitative. I did not fully comprehend what the real variance is and after reading the material it seem as if they both mean the same. This week focus does relate to my field because I work for a Medicare part D drug plan. Having an indication of how and what the historical records collect it gives me a better understanding of how they regulate the group of people who may qualify for Medicare assistance each year.…

    • 265 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Economic Forecast Paper

    • 1175 Words
    • 5 Pages

    The US economy is expected to grow at a really slow pace given the fiscal outlook and government cuts in spending. It is unlikely that there will be a government stimulus package in 2012 and the reason being a divisive politics in congress and also the piling up of the public debt. Fiscal policy in the past years helped to stimulate the economy especially after the inauguration of Barack Obama. Obama signed into law 787 billion dollar stimulus package in 2009 and helped the economy to gain a boost. The following year the economy stayed kind neutral and in 2011 it was slowing down and losing points gained in the previous years. In 2012 economists are looking forward to the decisions made by government. If the Obama stimulus package that’s about creating jobs, cutting taxes on the middle class people and taxing the rich more will help to neutralize the economy. But that’s unlikely and it will have dragged the current economy to its lowest in three years.…

    • 1175 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Powerful Essays