article‚ ‘What I Was Wrong About This Year” by David Leonhardt‚ explains the misconceptions and realities of probabilities‚ mainly through a number of real life examples. Leonhardt begins with an initial example‚ the probability of a “full-scale war” occuring in Syria. Initially‚ Israel used classic intelligence reports‚ but‚ after years of leaders manipulating these reports to justify any event occurring‚ they decided to present leaders with estimated probabilities of different events. With this new
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What is considered normal? Everyone today yearns to be considered normal‚ but what exactly are they striving for? Found in the dictionary‚ the definition of normal is: an adjective; usual; conforming to the usual standard‚ type‚ or custom. But‚ how can anything be considered normal if no two people are exactly the same? Norms form a society. They are the standards by which people live by. Growing up in Rhode Island‚ my experience has been with the American contemporary society. Our society
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What is Trypanophobia? This phobia is a common phobia for most people out there in the world‚ what this phobia means is that people are afraid of Needles or Injections. Some people can handle needles or injections but others just can’t they get so worked up over these things that they eventually just avoid the doctors or some medical treatment or just faint. Being afraid of theses sharp objects can cause a lot of medical concerns to doctors because if something bad happens to the patient such as
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Egypt had two regions. Upper Egypt which started from the first cataract that was one hundred miles away from the opening of the Mediterranean Sea. Lower Egypt covered a lot of the delta region where the Nile supplies the Mediterranean Sea. In the year of three thousand one hundred the government put both upper and lower egypt together and would go down and up the Nile to go see the other
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What is Bullwhip effect? Bullwhip Effect can in short be described as the variability in orders in a supply chain system moving up from consumers to core manufacturers. It is also known as the whiplash or whipsaw effect. The causes of this Bullwhip effect have been identified as:- Demand forecast In any company order is placed with the suppliers based on the demand graph. The order is placed to fulfill the current demand and also keeping in mind any unpredictable sale‚ which is the safety stock
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professional Australians who are drinking exceedingly‚ causing indescribable suffering to themselves and others. In this essay‚ I will discuss why drinking culture prevalent in Australia‚ the effects alcoholism and solutions. In this circumstance that is spreading drinking culture‚ I think‚ the hazard of alcohol problems cannot be overemphasized. Firstly‚ the most noticeable and prompt effects of alcohol are on the brain. Astonishingly‚ our brain are felt within about five minutes of alcohol being taken
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S1 Jan 2001 1) The students in a class were each asked to write down how many CDs they owned. The student with the least number of CDs had 14 and all but one of the others owned 60 or fewer. The remaining student owned 65. The quartiles for the class were 30‚ 34 and 42 respectively. Outliers are defined to be any values outside the limits of 1.5(Q3 – Q1) below the lower quartile or above the upper quartile. On graph paper draw a box plot to represent these data‚ indicating clearly any outliers
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Rats! Most people would only see these little critters as pests. But‚ did you know rats have been domesticated rats for over hundred years. These domesticated rats contribute so many things for the advancement of mankind. Not only are domesticated rats used for research in medical science but they are also kept as pets by many people. Yes‚ pets‚ there are actually people who keep rats as pets. Domesticated rats are great pets for adults and even children. Rats are extremely intelligent pets. They
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1. What skills were used to create this product? Outline one of the skills and how it is performed correctly. The skills used to create this product was rubbing the butter into the flour‚ creaming the butter and sugar together and strecking the gulten in the dough. Rubbing the butter into the flour is important because it is coating the grains in the flour with butter and because of this the other grains can slide over to form air in the dough. When the dough is in the oven it rises and becomes fuffy
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Transfer of Food Preference in Rats after Initial Taste Preference ---------- --------------- Abstract Rats are animals known to be neophobic‚ fearful of new experiences and tend to show behaviors of avoidance to eat novel foods. However‚ there are high chances that rats will eat novel foods if they have reasons to expect that the food is safe to consume and not harmful. The social transmission of food preference paradigm (STFP) was tested in 28 male rats that were about 5 months old
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