CREATE Research Archive Published Articles & Papers 1-1-1980 Structuring Decision Problems for Decision Analysis Detlof von Winterfeldt University of Southern California‚ winterfe@usc.edu Follow this and additional works at: http://research.create.usc.edu/published_papers Recommended Citation von Winterfeldt‚ Detlof‚ "Structuring Decision Problems for Decision Analysis" (1980). Published Articles & Papers. Paper 35. http://research.create.usc.edu/published_papers/35 This Article
Premium Decision theory Decision making
Chapter 3 – Question 28 (a) Develop a decision table for this decision? Decision Alternatives | Market (‘000) | | Good | Fair | Poor | Small | 50 | 20 | –10 | Medium | 80 | 30 | –20 | Large | 100 | 30 | –40 | Very Large | 300 | 25 | –160 | (b) What is the maximax decision? Decision Alternatives | Market (‘000) | Maximax decision shall be the maximum value of a row/decision alternatives | Maximax Decision Alternative | | Good | Fair | Poor | | | Small
Premium Probability theory Game theory Expected value
Cognitive Task Analysis Richard E.Clark‚ David F. Feldon‚ Jeroen J. G. van Merriënboer‚ Kenneth Yates and Sean Early October 14‚ 2006 (Final Draft) “Cognitive Task Analysis is the extension of traditional task analysis techniques to yield information about the knowledge‚ thought processes and goal structures that underlie observable task performance. [It captures information about both…] ... overt observable behavior and the covert cognitive functions behind it [to] form an integrated whole.” (p
Premium Knowledge Cognition
Case Problem RC Coleman Activity Description Immediate Predecessor A Determine equipment needs - B Obtain vendor proposals - C Select vendor A‚ B D Order System C E Design new warehouse layout C F Design warehouse E G Design computer interface C H Interface computer D‚F‚G I Install system D‚F J Train system operators H K Test system I‚J (a) (m) (b) Time Activity Optimistic Most Probable Pessimistic A 4 6 8
Premium Normal distribution Probability theory Random variable
Q.5 Solution Bill Denomination (X) Number of Bills (f) X*f X2*f $1 520 520 520 $5 260 1‚300 6500 $10 120 1‚200 12000 $20 70 1‚400 28000 $50 29 1‚450 72500 $100 1 100 10000 Total 1000 5‚970 129520 a. b. c. The probability that a bar containing $50 or $100 bill is purchased is 30 / 1000 = 0.03 Hence customer have to buy 100 bars of soap‚ so that he or she has purchased three bars containing a $50 or $100 bill. d. Given n=1000‚ E(X) = 5.97‚ SD(x) = 9.68912
Premium Probability theory Variance Normal distribution
After reviewing the job postings for entry level customer service in a call center for companies such as Verizon Wireless‚ Adecco‚ and NCO‚ despite them being different industries there were several common tasks and behavioral objectives contained within the the job descriptions and list of duties. They included the ability to respond to customer inquiries‚ handle and resolve customers complaints‚ having excellent written‚ oral‚ and interpersonal skills. Also included was the need to possess computer
Premium Customer service
PART 4A DECISION THEORY AND INFORMATION SYSTEMS 261 QUESTIONS [Fact Pattern #1] Stewart Industries has been producing two bearings‚ components B12 and B18‚ for use in production. B12 B18 ------ ------ Machine hours required per unit 2.5 3.0 Standard cost per unit: Direct material $ 2.25 $ 3.75 Direct labor 4.00 4.50 Manufacturing overhead: Variable
Premium Costs Variable cost Total cost
Decision Analysis Study Decision Analysis Study Introduction This paper will Be providinG a memo that includes many Tasks related To project planning and operations management. All memos are present accordingly to the separated tasks discussed. We will be using the case study of “Shuzworld”. As the operations consultant for Shuzworld‚ we will be following all the tasks and then will provide Recommendations by analyzing the problems given in the task prompts. We will also apply the appropriate
Premium Decision theory Decision tree Project management
DECISION ANALYSIS PROBLEMS Many decision analysis problems can be viewed as having three variables: decision alternatives‚ states of nature‚ and payoffs. • Decision alternatives are the various choices or options available to the decision maker in any given problem situation. On most days‚ financial managers face the choices of whether to invest in blue chip stocks‚ bonds‚ commodities‚ certificates of deposit‚ money markets‚ annuities‚ and other investments. Construction decision makers must
Premium Decision making Decision theory Decision making software
FM-301 Financial Decision Analysis 70 30 100 3Hrs. FM-302 Foreign Exchange Management 70 30 100 3Hrs. FM-303 International Accounting 70 30 100 3Hrs. FM-304 Corporate Taxation 70 30 100 3Hrs. FM-305 Working Capital Management 70 30 100 3Hrs. FM-306 Management of Financial Institutions 70 30 100 3Hrs. FM-307 Security Analysis and Investment Management 70 30 100 3Hrs. FM-301 Financial Decision Analysis Application of Linear Programming; Goal programming; Regression analysis and Simulation
Premium Strategic management Investment