are many decisions which have to be made. One such decision opportunity arose about one week ago. The question was what to do with a major cable which is in the way of a guard rail that the Department of Transportation is installing. In this paper‚ the decision on what to do with this cable will be solved using a decision tree. The discussion will include the major factors involved in making the decision and also show how the final decision was made. Decision tree The decision tree is an effective
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Decision Trees for Decision Making The management of a company that I shall call Stygian Chemical Industries‚ Ltd.‚ must decide whether to build a small plant or a large one to manufacture a new product with an expected market life of ten years. The decision hinges on what size the market for the product will be. Possibly demand will be high during the initial two years but‚ if many initial users find the product unsatisfactory‚ will fall to a low level thereafter. Or high initial demand might
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What did you do? To get a deeper insight into creating decision trees on the laptop‚ I started to inform myself about possible supporting tools that can be used. As I am using an Apple MacBook‚ I found out that the software “XMind” cannot just help for drawing decision trees‚ but also for developing flowing charts‚ mind maps or to-do-lists. I thought about using Microsoft Excel as a tool for sorting the data. However‚ I finally looked up the necessary information in the given table without using
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A M BORISON Applied Decision Analysis. Inc. 27W Sand Hill Road Mcnio Park. California 94025 Oglethorpe Power Corporation (OPC) provides wholesale power to consumer-owned distribution cooperatives in Georgia. Late in 1990‚ OPC managers learned that Florida Power Corporation wanted to expand its connections to Georgia with another transmission line. To decide whether to build this line‚ OPC worked with Applied Decision Analysis‚ Inc. to conduct a comprehensive decision analysis in less than two
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Decision Tree Psy/410 The scenario chosen for this portfolio involves a woman seeking help with her addiction to methamphetamines. She wants to free her life from drugs but does not know how or where to start. Missouri offers several organizations and hotlines to help individuals get clean and sober. Center for addictions‚ SIGMA house‚ and Carol Jones alternative opportunities are all rehabilitation centers that offer both in and outpatient treatment. The Burrell center has a collaboration of
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Assignment: Arundel Partners You should prepare the Arundel Partners case for class discussion. I will ask several members of the class to present their analyses of the case issues‚ and we will discuss the pros and cons of each approach. In particular‚ one might think of analyzing this case using the real options perspective‚ and/or one might think of analyzing this case using the traditional analysis perspective (DPL‚ @Risk‚ etc.). Choose one or both of these ways of thinking about the problem
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Executive Summary Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project They would be interested in purchasing the sequel rights for one or more studiosˇ entire production over an extended period of not less than a year. If a particular film was a hit‚ and Arundel thought a sequel would be profitable‚ it would exercise its rights by producing the sequel. Alternatively‚ they can sell the rights to the highest bidder. Inevitably‚ the performance of the original films would not justify sequels‚ and for them the sequel
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I 1.1 Chapter Outline A Decision Tree Model and Its Analysis • The following concepts are introduced through the use of a simple decision tree example (the Bill Sampras ’ summer job decision): Decision tree Decision node Event node Mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive set of events Branches and final values Expected Monetary Value (EMV) Optimal decision strategy • Introduction of the folding back or backward induction procedure for solving a decision tree. • Discussion on sensitivity
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Decision Tree Portfolio 1 Decision Tree Portfolio Psy 410 Kathleen McCabe University of Phoenix January 21‚ 2012 Lara Ashbaugh Decision Tree Portfolio 2 The Portfolio for my Decision Tree is concerning a residential fire. The first place that would be called is 911. The dispatchers in our area immediately contact the local and closest fire station(s) to respond. The following takes place after 911 has been called. The 911 dispatchers contact the police and fire departments
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Merck is a global research-driven pharmaceutical company dedicated to putting patients first. Merck’s highest priority areas are Alzheimer’s disease‚ atherosclerosis‚ cardiovascular disease‚ diabetes‚ novel vaccines‚ obesity‚ oncology‚ pain and sleep disorders. In addition‚ and importantly for licensing‚ the following other areas remain of high interest for focused investment in new compounds and mechanisms: antibiotics‚ antifungals‚ antivirals (HCV and HIV)‚ asthma‚ COPD‚ neurodegeneration‚ ophthalmology
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