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    ----------------------------------- spootyhead Apr 17‚ 2007 Arundel Partners Case Analysis ----------------------------------- Arundel Partners Case Analysis Executive Summary: A group of investors (Arundel group) is looking into the idea of purchasing the sequel rights associated with films produced by one or more major movie studios. Movie rights are to be purchased prior to films being made. Arundel wants to come up with a decision to either purchase all the sequel rights for

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    The proposal was to create a new investment group‚ Arundel Partners‚ that would exist solely for the purpose of purchasing sequel rights to motion pictures produced by major U.S. movie studios. The proposal was unusual in that studios rarely sold rights to sequels prior to 1992‚ and interesting in the sense that it did not target specific movies or negotiate prices based on performance of the first movie. Instead‚ Arundel wanted to create a portfolio of options to produce all sequels at a studio for

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    [Type the company name] | Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project | Advanced Corporate Finance Case Analysis I | ZUBOV‚Vasily 1072582 LI‚Xinyuan 05403613 WU‚Yun 08426959 LU‚Yuan 08426975 9/21/2009 | Executive summary In 1992‚ an unusual business idea came into the eye of David A. Davis‚ a movie industry analyst in Los Angeles. The idea

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    Proponents of this venture believe that Arundel should be able to make money by buying options to movie sequel rights as a portfolio of rights rather than on a film-by-film basis because they are diversifying their risk by spreading their options across multiple projects rather than a single movie. Arundel avoids trying to forecast how well the movie will do by purchasing the options to a group of movies ahead of time‚ thus they minimize the risk of moviegoers preferences changing. Past performances

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    Why This is an Attractive Project The Arundel Partners’ believe that they can make money on this project as it allows them to capitalize on the idiosyncratic risk of the motion picture business. Producing and distributing motion picture films is a risky business due to the uncertainty of moviegoers’ tastes and a studio never knows if they have a blockbuster on their hands until after the movie has started production or even later after it has been released. The financial resources of even the largest

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    Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project 1. Executive Summary “Nobody knows anything”. This famous line coined by William Goldman‚ a well known Hollywood screenwriter‚ simply but honestly sums up the movie industry. Numerous academic studies have tried to gauge the determinants of movie success but have yet failed to deliver a satisfying answer. Ravid A. (1999) for example finds that neither stars nor big budgets contribute to profitability of a movie. This case study investigates the case of buying

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    Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project Case Talking points Submitted by: Marc Brands‚ Hajime Tamachi‚ Rani Vainateya‚ Nobuyasu Sugimoto‚ Kunihiro Takahashi‚ Yasuhisa Tsurumi Our group performed a Monte Carlo simulation (attached spreadsheet). We have taken into consideration the data of all studios provided in Exhibit 7. We have assumed that the sequel production and success of the sequel is spread evenly across all the studios. We assume that the past data reflects the future probabilities

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    Case 1. Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project 1. Why do the principals of Arundel Partners think they can make money buying movie sequel rights? Why do the partners want to buy a portfolio of rights in advance rather than negotiating movie-by-movie to buy them? The principals at Arundel Partners believe that there is value that is not captured in a discounted cash flow when analyzing the launching of a film. They believe that by launching a new film‚ there is immediately an option to launch a sequel

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    Assignment: Arundel Partners You should prepare the Arundel Partners case for class discussion. I will ask several members of the class to present their analyses of the case issues‚ and we will discuss the pros and cons of each approach. In particular‚ one might think of analyzing this case using the real options perspective‚ and/or one might think of analyzing this case using the traditional analysis perspective (DPL‚ @Risk‚ etc.). Choose one or both of these ways of thinking about the problem

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    Executive Summary Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project They would be interested in purchasing the sequel rights for one or more studiosˇ entire production over an extended period of not less than a year. If a particular film was a hit‚ and Arundel thought a sequel would be profitable‚ it would exercise its rights by producing the sequel. Alternatively‚ they can sell the rights to the highest bidder. Inevitably‚ the performance of the original films would not justify sequels‚ and for them the sequel

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