Arundel Partners: The Sequel project 1. Why do the principals of Arundel Partners think they can make money buying movie sequel rights? Why do the partners want to buy a portfolio of rights in advance rather than negotiating movie-by-movie to buy them? • The principals of Arundel Partners think they can make money buying movie sequel rights because they can use unpredictability of a movie’s success to their advantage. This can be done by exercising the right if the movie is a success
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Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project Case Talking points Submitted by: Marc Brands‚ Hajime Tamachi‚ Rani Vainateya‚ Nobuyasu Sugimoto‚ Kunihiro Takahashi‚ Yasuhisa Tsurumi Our group performed a Monte Carlo simulation (attached spreadsheet). We have taken into consideration the data of all studios provided in Exhibit 7. We have assumed that the sequel production and success of the sequel is spread evenly across all the studios. We assume that the past data reflects the future probabilities
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new business idea. The idea was to create an investment group‚ Arundel Partners‚ to purchase the sequel rights associated with films produced by one or more major U.S. movie studios. As owner the rights‚ Arundel would wait to see if a movie was successful‚ and then decide whether or not to produce a second film based on the story or characters of the first. One of the unique features of the new idea was that Arundel would purchase sequel rights before the first films were even made and released. Another
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[Type the company name] | Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project | Advanced Corporate Finance Case Analysis I | ZUBOV‚Vasily 1072582 LI‚Xinyuan 05403613 WU‚Yun 08426959 LU‚Yuan 08426975 9/21/2009 | Executive summary In 1992‚ an unusual business idea came into the eye of David A. Davis‚ a movie industry analyst in Los Angeles. The idea
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Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project 1. Executive Summary “Nobody knows anything”. This famous line coined by William Goldman‚ a well known Hollywood screenwriter‚ simply but honestly sums up the movie industry. Numerous academic studies have tried to gauge the determinants of movie success but have yet failed to deliver a satisfying answer. Ravid A. (1999) for example finds that neither stars nor big budgets contribute to profitability of a movie. This case study investigates the case of buying
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Case 1. Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project 1. Why do the principals of Arundel Partners think they can make money buying movie sequel rights? Why do the partners want to buy a portfolio of rights in advance rather than negotiating movie-by-movie to buy them? The principals at Arundel Partners believe that there is value that is not captured in a discounted cash flow when analyzing the launching of a film. They believe that by launching a new film‚ there is immediately an option to launch a sequel
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Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project The maximum per-film price for the sequel rights that Arundel Partners should pay is $5.12M. If Arundel Partners were to use the traditional DCF methods to find the value of the sequel rights‚ the NPV would be -$8.42M loss per-film (see Appendix 1). Calculation Details We assume that Arundel Partners will purchase a portfolio of films similar to one used in the analysis. The average hypothetical net inflow of the sequel ($21.57M) is used to figure out the value
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Assuming that Arundel Partners is a purely financial company with no experience in the movie industry whatsoever‚ one reason for them to buy the rights to create sequels would be to exploit a possible arbitrage in between the price they would pay for an option to sequels and its real value. Therefore valuing the said option correctly is of the most importance. 1.2 We believe that portfolio negotiation rather than on a film-by-film basis will level the playing field. Since the partners do not have
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Case Write-Up: Arundel Partners 15.415 Finance Theory Section B‚ Oysters Arundel Partners: The Sequel Project With the purchase of sequel rights‚ what Arundel is achieving is to have a call option on the revenue that each movie brings. This helps to remove the uncertainty and risks associated with producing a movie‚ especially with regard to moviegoers’ taste. With the sequel right‚ Arundel will only exercise this option to produce a sequel if the first movie proved to be popular and the
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INTRODUCTION In 1992‚ Arundel Partners was looking into the idea of purchasing the sequel rights associated with films produced by one or more major movie studios. Movie rights were to be purchased prior to films being made. Arundel wanted to determine if this innovative business strategy is viable by estimating the value of the sequel rights. 2. OBJECTIVE Our report aims to investigate the viability of the implementation of Arundel’s strategy in purchasing sequel rights to produce potential
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