INTL402 Assignment 2 HOWARD DAVIS Professor Vestal INTL402 – Intelligence Analysis 20 September 2013 Analysis of Competing Hypotheses Introduction to the Intelligence Question: Will Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad honor his agreement with the International Community to dispose of the Syrian chemical weapons arsenal? What started as a peaceful demonstration during the Arab Spring of 2011‚ quickly escalated into violence as Syrian government forces
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its multi-religious and multi-ethnic society. For a year and a half since the “Arab Spring”‚ the rebel movement has protested the restrictions on their rights and the lack of government transparency‚ while the oppressive Syrian government‚ led by Bashar al-Assad‚ is fraught with corruption and attempts to stifle the rebels. Syria receives support from surrounding countries in the Middle East and Asia in the form of weapons and propaganda. A major problem is that the Syrian conflict has forced millions
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In April of 2017‚ The Assad government struck a chemical attack in Syria. The article “U.S. fires missiles after Syrian town is target of deadly chemical attack” states that “The government‚ led by President Bashar al-Assad‚ has killed many who oppose him since the start of civil war in 2011 (Agence France-Presse 2). This shows how strong revenge can be to cause corruption in a society. It causes victims to be involved in group revolts. Those are the kind of
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a central Beirut square for a funeral service for the victims. As the flag-draped coffins of General Hassan and his bodyguard passed through the crowd gathered in Beirut’s Martyrs’ Square‚ mourners chanted angry slogans against Syria’s president‚ Bashar al-Assad‚ and against Hezbollah‚ its ally and the dominant force in Lebanon’s coalition government. Many carried the flag of the Syrian rebels‚ and there were
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is corrupt and we will also be killing many innocent lives in Syria. In the past Syria has three years of civil war which have destroy the country. On top of that the rise of rebel groups make President Bashar al-Assad even harder to repair Syria. However‚ the rebels group and President Bashar al-Assad have common enemy‚ ISIS. In the past President Obama had try to conduct military action with Syria’s government. This raised many questions‚ such as‚ does US really want to work with Syria’s government
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SYRIA A brief history of Syria since the French occupation until 1970. WE CAN CATEGORIZE THE EVENTS THROUGH WHICH SYRIA WITNESSED INTO THE FOLLOWING: • Syria after the fall of the Ottoman Empire and French Occupation in 1920 until the independence in 1946 • Syria since the independence until 8th march 1963. • Syria since the first days of 8th march coup until 1970 • Syria under the rule of Al-Assad until today. SYRIA’S FIRST INDEPENDENCE AND THE FRENCH MANDATE • By the end of the ottoman
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Iraq had gotten much worse in June 2012‚ mostly due to the Isis car bomb attacks‚ and by July 2013‚ the casualties ever month exceeded 1‚000 which weren’t seen since April 2008. In March 2011‚ protests began in Syria against the Syrian government of Bashar al-Assad. In the following months‚ violence between demonstrators and security forces led to a gradual militarization of the conflict. In August‚ al-Baghdadi began sending Syrian and Iraqi ISIS members into Syria to establish an organization there
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Mubarak’s two sons‚ began to be groomed to succeed his father as the next president of Egypt around the year 2000.[48] Gamal started receiving considerable attention in the Egyptian media‚ as there were no other apparent heirs to the presidency.[49] Bashar al-Assad’s rise to power in Syria in June 2000‚ just hours after Hafez al-Assad’s death‚ sparked a heated debate in the Egyptian press regarding the prospects for a similar scenario occurring in Cairo.[50] In the years after Mubarak’s 2005 reelection
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Right now in Syria‚ the Syrian government has been engaged in a brutal and violent crackdown against its own people who were demonstrating against the killings of thousands of civilians and unjust imprisonment. The civil strife had ballooned into indiscriminate assaults on civilian areas which in turn have led to horrible situation. While the first generation of Human Rights states that “The right to own property and the right not to be deprived of it arbitrarily”‚ thousands of Syrian people have
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Neorealist When researching Russia’s involvement it is clear to see why they have chosen to be on the side of the Assad regime despite the fact that Bashar al-Assad disobeyed the wishes of Russia used chemical weapons. In fact it is specifically this disobedience that lead Russia to support Assad. It seems that the acts of Russia are fairly transparent. He is waging his bets on the fact that he can regain the full cooperation of a waning ally. Russia has made the move to keep Syria as an ally even
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