1) Raw data‚ not seasonalized 2) Seasonal Adjustment used: Census II X-12 multiplicative (MASA): Used because of the presence of seasonal variations that are increasing with the level of my series. Increasing degree of variability overtime… TX non seasonalized and seasonalized 3) Combined seasonally adjusted with non-seasonally adjusted De-seasonalizing the data helped with the removal of seasonal component that creates higher volatility in model. Now‚ variations
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ANC Introduction: Headlines: • Typhoon ‘Lawin’ gets stronger‚ heads far northern Luzon • Eye of ’Lawin’ to spare northern Luzon: PAGASA • CebuPac cancels 4 Caticlan flights • ’Lawin’ slightly weakens Reporter 1: Typhoon ‘Lawin’ gets stronger‚ heads far northern Luzon Typhoon “Lawin” sped up slightly as it continued its movement towards the northern Philippines‚ the state weather bureau said. At 4 p.m. Wednesday‚ the eye of the supertyphoon was plotted by satellite and surface data at
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LECTURE 3 CASH BUDGETING CLASS QUESTION 1 Alberta Limited needs a cash budget for the month of November. The following information is available: The cash balance on November 1 is $6‚000. Sales for October and November are $80‚000 and $60‚000 respectively. Cash collections on sales are 30 percent in the month of sale‚ 65 percent in the following month‚ and 5 percent uncollectible. General expenses are budgeted to be $23‚000 for November. Inventory purchases will total $30‚000 in October and
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on the importance of forecasting. The presentation would be done along the following lines. * THE MEANING OF FORECASTING * STEPS USED TO DEVELOP A FORECASTING SYSTEM * QUALITATIVE FORECASTING * QUANTITATIVE FORECASTING * BENEFITS OF FORECASTING THE MEANING OF FORECASTING A planning tool that helps management in its attempts to cope with the uncertainty of the future‚ relying mainly on data from the past and present and analysis of trends. Forecasting entails the use of
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Forecasting Assignment Forecasting as a Process‚ not a Hunch Generally speaking‚ managers are faced with decision situations in which they should obtain complete and perfect information and eliminate uncertainty‚ however evaluating data rationally and logically is the toughest part of the decision-making process and that is where forecasting comes into play. The process of utilizing business forecasting is critical to a company’s production or operations department regardless of whether a
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FORECASTING IN QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS I am highly honoured to give a presentation on forecasting. You are all welcome. Every organisation’s success depends on how well it is able to forecast. We will look at the meaning of forecast‚ the steps‚ qualitative and quantitative forecasting and finally the benefits. The Meaning Of Forecasting Forecasting is a process of predicting or estimating the future based on past and present data. Forecasting provides information about the potential future events
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16 Key Luxury Brand Distributors A round up of sixteen of the most prominent luxury goods distributors‚ including Bosco di Ciliegi‚ Bluebell‚ Swiss Prestige and Chalhoub Group. Despite their inherant focus on brand control‚ luxury manufacturers have commonly relied on local distributors to introduce products to new markets‚ acknowledging that whilst they might know what is best for their brand communications‚ design and development‚ they may not necessarily understand local cultures‚ retail climates
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Qualitative Forecasting Approaches Qualitative forecasting methods are based primarily on human judgement. Quantitative forecasting methods are based primarily on the mathematical modelling of historical data. Here we provide a brief overview of the most important qualitative forecasting approaches. In many environments the time horizon is closely linked to the type of forecasting method used. Longer term and higher level forecasting will often require qualitative forecasting techniques. Such techniques
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Case: Boston Beer Company Address the following questions in a 4-5 page write-up of the Boston Beer Company Case to explore the issue of Initial Public Offerings. 1) What do you think of Boston Beer’s business model relative to the traditional beer companies’ business model? Relative to Redhook and Pete’s? (Hint: consider their brewing‚ production‚ distribution‚ marketing strategies. How is each firm attempting to achieve its own sustainable comparative advantage in the market place
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Table of Contents What is the current situation? 2 What has made MMBC successful & distinguishes it? 2 What enabled MMBC to create such a strong brand? 3 What has caused MMBC’s decline in spite of its strong brand? 3 Should MMBC introduce a light beer? 4 Is MM Light financially feasible for MMBC? 5 Break-Even Point (BEP) Analysis 6 MM Lager Cannibalization 6 MM Light Marketing Strategies 7 Exhibit 1 – SWOT Analysis 9 Exhibit 2 – Financial Data and Assumptions 10 Exhibit 3 – Break-Even Point
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