CASE 2 Cash Flow Estimation and Risk Analysis Robert Montoya‚ Inc. Robert Montoya‚ Inc.‚ is a leading producer of wine in the United States. The firm was founded in 1960 by Robert Montoya‚ an Air Force veteran who had spent several years in France both before and after World War II. This experience convinced him that California could produce wines that were as good as or better than the best France had to offer. Originally‚ Robert Montoya sold his wine to wholesalers for distribution
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8. Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Taxable income $9‚100 $10‚250 $15‚300 Marginal tax rate .30 .30 .30 Tax $2‚730 $3‚075 $4‚590 Revenue $13‚000 $16‚250 $23‚400 Expenses (4‚250) (8‚000) (8‚100) Tax cost (2‚730) (3‚075) (4‚590) Net cash flow $6‚020 $5‚175 $10‚710 Discount factor (6%) .943 .890 Present value $6‚020 $4‚880 $9‚532 NPV $20‚432 11. a. Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Before-tax cash flow $(500‚000) $52‚500 $47‚500 $35‚500 $530‚500 Tax cost (7‚875)
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(revised 1997) Cash Flow Statements Contents OBJECTIVE SCOPE BENEFITS OF CASH FLOW INFORMATION DEFINITIONS Cash and Cash Equivalents PRESENTATION OF A CASH FLOW STATEMENT Operating Activities Investing Activities Financing Activities REPORTING CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES REPORTING CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING AND FINANCING ACTIVITIES REPORTING CASH FLOWS ON A NET BASIS FOREIGN CURRENCY CASH FLOWS EXTRAORDINARY ITEMS INTEREST AND DIVIDENDS TAXES ON INCOME Paragraphs 1-2 3-4 5-7 6-7 8-17 11-14
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determined by the terminal value mostly. So the stock price is also determined by terminal value. The concept of going concern can explain that Terminal value is often higher than the present value of near term cash flows‚ which means that a company’s long-term cash-flow capacity is more important. 2. Drawing on case Exhibit 4 and your own general knowledge‚ where would the various estimators be appropriate? Where would they be inappropriate? (Simon’s second task) |Approach |appropriate
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that growth rate : g = 2%‚ RPm = 4% ‚ tax rate is 35% Unlevered cost of equity rsu = rf + RPm (bu) = 7.2% + 4%(.839) = 10.56% Operating cash flow using base case projections: 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Cash Flow 7‚772 9‚233 9‚807 10‚292 10‚513 Interest Expenses 3‚587 3‚042 2‚324 1‚507 599 Interest * Tax rate 1255.45 1064.7 813.4 527.45 209.65 TV1999 = 10513 + (10513*1.02)/(10.56%-2% ) = $135.81 Million Vunlevered = Net present value of future operating cash flow = $ 110.9 million. The
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Forecast for 2002 and 2003 3 Key Driver Assumptions 5 Star River WACC 5 Free Cash Flows of the Packaging Machine Investment 7 Appendices 7 i. Objectives This report seeks to answer the following five questions about Star River Electronics Ltd.: 1. Assess the current financial health and recent financial performance of the company. What strengths and/or weaknesses would you highlight to Adeline Koh? 2. Forecast the firm’s financial statements for 2002 and 2003. What will be the
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Cash Flow Preparation FIN/200 September 8‚ 2011 Axia College of University of Phoenix WEEK 1 ASSIGNMENT – CASH FLOW PREPARATION 1. Prepare a statement of cash flows for the Widget Corporation. Follow the general procedures indicated in Table 2–10. ___________________________________________________________________ WIDGET CORPORATION Income Statement For the Year Ended December 31‚ 2008 Sales $2‚200‚000 Cost of goods sold 1‚300‚000 Gross profits 900‚000 Selling and administrative
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Week 8 / Checkpoint The differences between direct and indirect that they involve the way Cash Flow are from operations of activities. This I do recall is the first part of the Cash Flow Statement. The differences are to each are to follow. Direct Presentation: involves the cash flows in which analyze the company results and uses of cash. There are three parts that report cash receipts and cash payments. These parts are operations‚ investments‚ and finance transactions. Operating transactions
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The role of cash flow information in discriminating between bankrupt and non-bankrupt companies remains a contentious issue. In a number of literature reviews on bankruptcy prediction (e.g. Zavgren‚ 1983; Jones‚ 1987; Neill et al. 1991; Watson‚ 1996) the common view is that cash flow information does not contain significant incremental information content over accrual information in discriminating between bankrupt and non-bankrupt firms. (Divesh S. Sharma‚ Senior Lecturer‚ School of Accounting‚ Banking
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2. Is CFO>0? CFO compared to Net Income 3. CFO>Capex? 4. CFO>Capex + Dividends 5. Excess Cash 6. Source of cash to pay Capex and/or Dividends 7. Were working capital accounts other than cash and cash equivalents primary sources of cash or users of cash? 8.What other major items affected cash flows? 1991 1. Major sources of cash are cash received from customers and proceeds from the issuance of common stock. Major uses of cash are cash
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