Chapter 13 Risk Analysis and Project Evaluation 13-1. Crusik Distribution Company thinks that there are two possible outcomes for its new facial care product: Either it will be very successful‚ or customers will not appreciate its “unique appeal.” The two outcomes are equally likely‚ but the successful outcome obviously comes with higher revenues. We can picture the situation like this: 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% $1‚000‚000 $5‚000‚000 Thus Crusik’s revenues will be either $1M or $5M. The expected
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the easiest step in the capital budgeting process. a. True b. False ANSWER: False 2. Estimating project cash flows is generally the most important‚ but also the most difficult‚ step in the capital budgeting process. Methodology‚ such as the use of NPV versus IRR‚ is important‚ but less so than obtaining a reasonably accurate estimate of projects’ cash flows. a. True b. False ANSWER: True 3. Although it is extremely difficult to make accurate forecasts of the revenues that a project will generate
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Question 1 (1 mark) The methods that a firm can use to evaluate a potential investment: 1) ‘Discounting’ Methods: Net Present Value (NPV): the present value of the future after-tax cash flow minus the investment outlay made initially. The decision rule for the NPV as follows: invest if NPV> 0‚ do not invest if NPV< 0 Internal Rate of Return (IRR): calculates the interest rate that equates the present value of the future after-tax cash flows equal that investment outlay;
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been set up in a dynamic approach. This means that the four underlying scenarios (25 years with and without tax and 15 years with and without tax) are linked to separate sheets‚ which enables the user of the model to calculate the net present value (NPV) for the different scenarios with ease. This is why we refrain from explaining every single step of the underlying calculation. In order to get a more detailed understanding of the various calculations‚ the reader of this analysis is welcome to have
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methods used as being the Net Present value (NPV) method‚ the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) method‚ the Payback method‚ and the Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) method. Conversely‚ Brealey‚ Myers and Allen (2011) proposes that the NPV and IRR methods are considered prestige compared to the ARR and the Payback Methods‚ as they take into account the time value of money. Thus‚ the following project evaluation will focus on using the NPV and IRR methods. NPV Method: The Net Present Value method discounts
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Question: *Must prepare a spreadsheet for the base case NPV and some sensitivity analysis. *And you have to prepare a 1 page analysis that answers the questions given for LAURENTIAN BAKERIES. (Make sure to answer questions stated in Decision problems Section on the case.) Solution: Base case of npv and Sensitivity analysis is in the spreadsheet NPV is $ 8‚340‚451. Analysis for LAURENTIAN BAKERIES Laurentian bakeries are a renowned company in a food industry in U.S. frozen pizza market. The
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“Internal rate of return (IRR) is the discount rate that gives the project a zero NPV” (McLaney‚ 2006). It is a good choice to use for investment projects. There is a formula for the internal rate of return: (A is the lower discount rate and B is the higher rate‚ a is the NPV at the lower rate and b is the NPV at the higher rate.) For example the Net Present Value (NPV) is 88 when the discount rate is 20%‚ and the NPV is 12 when the discount rate is 30%. Therefore the IRR in this situation is 28
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not recommend that the company invest in the project named Goliath Facility. In my analysis‚ I utilized some of the more popular valuation techniques to guide my decision: (i) Payback Method (ii) Discounted Payback Method (iii) Net Present Value (NPV)‚ (iv) Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and (v) Profitability Index. Results of Analyses I outline below the various techniques of assessment‚ the results and the rationale for accepting or rejecting the investment. 1. Payback Method – The investment
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Compute the NPV of Ariel-Mexico in pesos. How should this NPV be translated into Euros? Assume expected future inflation for France is 3% pa. 2.Compute the NPV in Euros by translating the project’s future peso cash flows into Euros at expected future spot exchange rates. Note that Ariel’s Euro hurdle rate for a project of this type was 8%. Again‚ assume that annual inflation rates are expected to be 7% in Mexico and 3% in France. 3.Compare the two sets of calculations and the corresponding NPVs. How and
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Gopher Place‚ and Remodeling of the Stadium to the Capital Expenditure Committee (CEC). The Barn promised the highest NPV compared to its low investment cost‚ and holds the highest NPV even at the worst-case scenario. The Gopher place also offered a high NPV with a low investment cost with the second highest NPV at worst-case scenario. The Stadium Remodel yielded the highest NPV to Investment ratio while having the highest median income market with the highest percentage of college graduates. These
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