RISK THEORY - LECTURE NOTES 1. INTRODUCTION The primary subject of Risk Theory is the development and study of mathematical and statistical models to describe and predict the behaviour of insurance portfolios‚ which are simply financial instruments composed of a (possibly quite large) number of individual policies. For the purposes of this course‚ we will define a policy as a random (or stochastic) process generating a deterministic income in the form of periodic premiums‚ and incurring financial
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Class Professor’s Name Institution Date Introduction Game theory is an important tool that can be used to determine how the decisions made by others come into play and also subsequently influence other’s decisions. It borrows from parlor games such as chess and poker to come up with the concepts that influence it. The concept goes a long way in explaining where the theory gets its name. Its main application areas include places
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CONSUMER THEORY I Consumer theory – deals with how a consumer chooses the best bundle of goods he/she can afford. BUDGET CONSTRAINT To know which bundle of goods a consumer can afford‚ we have to look into the consumer’s budget constraint. We first assume that there are only two goods‚ say good x1 and x2. A consumer can choose from bundle A (3‚ 2) – 3 units of good 1 and 2 units of good 2; bundle B (6‚ 5) – 6 units of good 1 and 5 units of good‚ so forth. Given the price of good 1 (p1)‚
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commercial purpose without the explicit permission of the Econometric Society. For this purpose‚ contact Claire Sashi‚ General Manager‚ at sashi@econometricsociety.org. Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky Econometrica‚ 47(2)‚ pp. 263-291‚ March 1979 PROSPECT THEORY: AN ANALYSIS OF DECISION UNDER RISK DANIEL KAHNEMAN; AMOS TVERSKY Econometrica (pre-1986); Mar 1979; 47‚ 2; ABI/INFORM Global pg. 263 Reproduced with permission of the copyright
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The Theory of Constraints and Drum–Buffer–Rope Drum – Buffer – Rope (DBR) is an operations scheduling methodology based on Dr Eli Goldratt’s Theory of Constraints (TOC) and first written about in The Goal and further explained in The Race. Drum Buffer Rope is just one part of the TOC Operations solution; it is the machine that sets the plan for Operations. However the second part of the TOC Operations solution is Buffer Management. Buffer Management is the monitor and control mechanism that ensures
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Feminist Theory Perception: the process by which an individual receives and analyses information. Feminist theory‚ or feminism‚ is support of equality for women and men. Although all feminists strive for gender equality‚ there are various ways to approach this theory‚ including liberal feminism‚ socialist feminism‚ and finally radical feminism. Let’s take a look at the basic feminist ideas and various approaches to achieving gender equality. Looks at ways that women can be liberated or gain more
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are several theories that explain how mind reading works‚ the one that I find most plausible is the simulation theory. The simulation theory states that we generate certain mental states in ourselves and are then able to predict and explain the mental states of others. In simpler terms‚ with the simulation theory‚ we want to say what brought a person to behave in a certain way‚ so we ask ourselves‚ “What would I do in this situation?”. The simulation theory is an attractive theory for several
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Jean Piaget Cognitive Development Theory Biography: Jean Piaget was born in Neuchatel‚ Switzerland on August 9‚ 1986 to Arthur Piaget and Rebecca Jackson. At a young age‚ he displayed great fascination for Biology‚ his intellectual love. Jean Piaget‚ at the age of 10 published his first article‚ which described the albino sparrow he observed. Between the ages of 15 and 18‚ he published several more articles and most of them are mollusks. Jean Piaget was especially
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When trying to evaluate a theory and deem whether it is a good enough theory that can be applied throughout a vast majority of situations‚ in this case crimes‚ theorists have a specific criteria that they have to meet. When developing a theory‚ theorists must construct their theory so that it can be judged by this certain criteria. This criteria is made out of: 1.) empirical validity‚ 2.) its logical consistency‚ 3.) scope‚ and parsimony‚ 4.) testability as well as 5.) The usefulness and 6.) the
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Q1. General System Theory General System Theory accounts for similarities in the functioning of diverse phenomena such as living organisms‚ machines‚ galaxy and organizations. All forms‚ from atomic particles through atoms‚ molecules‚ crystals‚ planets‚ solar system‚ and even galaxies may be regarded as ’system’. ’System’ may be referred as ’complexes of elements standing in interaction. (Definition by Bertalanffy). The closed system is system that neither takes in nor emits matter. (only
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