Abstract Nowadays it is a key issue to forecast the stock market. Forecasting stock market depends on forecasting the volatility by different linear or non-linear models. The volatility of asset returns is time-varying and predictable‚ but forecasting the future level of volatility is very difficult. Hence‚ in this study we have provided a simple‚ yet highly effective framework for forecasting a stock market by considering the transition probability and long run probability of different classified
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ABOUT FISH Fish is a food consumed by many species‚ including humans. The word ‘’fish’’ refers to both the animals and to the food prepared from it. Fish has been an important source of protein for humans throughout recorded history. Fish are a paraphyletic group of organisms that consist of all gill-bearing aquatic vertebrate animals that lack limbs with digits. Most fish are cold-blooded‚ allowing their body temperatures to vary as ambient temperatures change‚ though some of the large active
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Why Invest at all? Why invest? This came to me sometime in late 2004/early 2005 as I strongly felt the need for making my money work better for me. We were blessed with twin daughters‚ and full of hopes and dreams. I was transforming to become more financially responsible and aware. No one needed to educate me on why invest‚ as I suddenly realised that to achieve these dreams‚ I needed to shed a bit of my happy-go-lucky attitude and set longer term financial goals. And to achieve these financial
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Many years ago stock options were rarely used as incidental benefits for top executives. Nowadays‚ compensating employee whit stock options has become an increasingly common practice. Before the year 1996‚ only the intrinsic value method was used to record these transactions. This method distorted the issuer’s reported financial condition and results of operations‚ which could lead to inappropriate decisions taken by investors. Followed by the increased use of employee stock options and the surrounding
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Industry Association of America) succeeded in disbanding the pioneer Internet file-sharing program‚ Napster‚ but is facing confrontation with similar programs that are escaping American copyright laws. While there is an obvious connection between declining popular music sales and increasing file sharing‚ there is more going on than the RIAA wants to admit. I will show that the recording companies are overpricing their products‚ and not sufficiently using the Internet as an opportunity to market and
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There is a market for partial ownership of companies where buyers and sellers come together it is called stock market. Capital is always flowing to companies that show themselves to be successful by ensuring high returns at a low risk for their investors. Therefore‚ when the stock market goes through its daily fluctuations‚ it is moving resources from areas of low yield to areas of high yield. As capital moves away from companies that cannot guarantee investors returns‚ it moves toward companies
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AUTOZONE Q#1. How has AutoZone’s stock price performed over the previous five years? What other financial measures can you cite that are consistent with the stock price performance? AutoZone’s shareholders had enjoyed strong price appreciation since 1997‚ with an average annual return of 11.5%. Over the previous five years‚ AutoZone’s stock price has increased dramatically. On February 1. 2012 the stock price was $348 compared to the $125 on February 1. 2007. The strong price appreciation
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If you bought a share of stock‚ what would you expect to receive‚ when would you expect to receive it‚ and would you be certain that your expectations would be met? 2. If most investors expect the same cash flows from Companies A and B but are more confident that Company A’s cash flow will be close to their expected value‚ which should have the higher stock price? Explain. 3. When is a stock said to be in equilibrium? At any given time‚ would you guess that most stocks are in equilibrium as you
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APPLE INC. Stock Analysis FIN 534 Ganduulga Shuree Instructor: Thomas Alexander Strayer University – Arlington Campus 2012 Table of Content Introduction …………………………………………………………………………... 3 Methodology…………………………………………………………………………… 3 Descriptive Statistics and Financial Analysis ……………………………………….. 4 Analysis of Stock Price ………………………………………………………………... 5 Financial Statement Analysis …………………………………………………………. 9 Ratio Analysis …………………………………………………………………………... 10 Risk Analysis
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Stock repurchase is a special type of dividend. If there were no separate tax treatments between ordinary income and capital gains‚ and if a proportionate number of the shares were acquired from all stockholders‚ the economic effects would be almost identical for stock repurchase as for a cash dividend. If the stock is not acquired proportionately from all investors‚ stock repurchase is a special type of dividend‚ since it goes only to the stockholders who prefer cash compared to increased ownership
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